FA Cup· Quarter-finals· · referee: not announced
Predicted match statistics
squad not published · form-based estimateGoalstotal 2.82
1.56home
0.60–2.52 safe0.34–2.78 safer1.26away
0.40–2.12 safe0.16–2.37 saferShots on targettotal 8.67
4.89home
3.03–6.74 safe2.53–7.24 safer3.78away
2.07–5.49 safe1.60–5.95 saferTotal shotstotal 23.40
12.41home
8.70–16.11 safe7.67–17.14 safer10.99away
7.61–14.37 safe6.68–15.30 saferShots in boxtotal 13.85
8.75home
6.24–11.27 safe5.37–12.13 safer5.10away
2.79–7.40 safe2.00–8.19 saferBlocked shotstotal 5.97
3.55home
1.96–5.13 safe1.43–5.67 safer2.43away
1.01–3.84 safe0.53–4.33 saferCornerstotal 9.03
5.09home
2.89–7.30 safe2.29–7.89 safer3.94away
1.96–5.91 safe1.42–6.45 saferPossession %
51.78home
45.46–58.10 safe43.87–59.69 safer47.87away
41.55–54.19 safe39.95–55.78 saferPassestotal 793
401home
336–466 safe318–484 safer392away
327–457 safe310–474 saferPass accuracy %
75.81home
71.59–80.02 safe70.29–81.32 safer70.52away
66.01–75.02 safe64.68–76.36 saferFoulstotal 18.70
9.64home
6.79–12.50 safe5.90–13.39 safer9.06away
6.11–12.01 safe5.20–12.92 saferOffsidestotal 4.43
2.46home
1.25–3.67 safe0.91–4.01 safer1.97away
0.80–3.13 safe0.47–3.46 saferYellow cardstotal 3.62
1.94home
0.89–3.00 safe0.61–3.27 safer1.67away
0.55–2.80 safe0.26–3.09 saferRed cardstotal 0.16
0.09home
0.00–0.25 safe0.00–0.40 safer0.07away
0.00–0.26 safe0.00–0.41 saferGK savestotal 6.32
2.99home
1.57–4.40 safe1.18–4.79 safer3.33away
1.78–4.89 safe1.35–5.32 safer| Stat | Home | safe | safer | Away | safe | safer | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.56 | 0.60–2.52 | 0.34–2.78 | 1.26 | 0.40–2.12 | 0.16–2.37 | 2.820.49–5.15 |
| Shots on target | 4.89 | 3.03–6.74 | 2.53–7.24 | 3.78 | 2.07–5.49 | 1.60–5.95 | 8.674.14–13.20 |
| Total shots | 12.41 | 8.70–16.11 | 7.67–17.14 | 10.99 | 7.61–14.37 | 6.68–15.30 | 23.4014.35–32.44 |
| Shots in box | 8.75 | 6.24–11.27 | 5.37–12.13 | 5.10 | 2.79–7.40 | 2.00–8.19 | 13.857.37–20.33 |
| Blocked shots | 3.55 | 1.96–5.13 | 1.43–5.67 | 2.43 | 1.01–3.84 | 0.53–4.33 | 5.971.95–9.99 |
| Corners | 5.09 | 2.89–7.30 | 2.29–7.89 | 3.94 | 1.96–5.91 | 1.42–6.45 | 9.033.71–14.34 |
| Possession % | 51.78 | 45.46–58.10 | 43.87–59.69 | 47.87 | 41.55–54.19 | 39.95–55.78 | — |
| Passes | 401 | 336–466 | 318–484 | 392 | 327–457 | 310–474 | 793628–958 |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.81 | 71.59–80.02 | 70.29–81.32 | 70.52 | 66.01–75.02 | 64.68–76.36 | — |
| Fouls | 9.64 | 6.79–12.50 | 5.90–13.39 | 9.06 | 6.11–12.01 | 5.20–12.92 | 18.7011.10–26.31 |
| Offsides | 2.46 | 1.25–3.67 | 0.91–4.01 | 1.97 | 0.80–3.13 | 0.47–3.46 | 4.431.38–7.48 |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 | 0.89–3.00 | 0.61–3.27 | 1.67 | 0.55–2.80 | 0.26–3.09 | 3.620.88–6.35 |
| Red cards | 0.09 | 0.00–0.25 | 0.00–0.40 | 0.07 | 0.00–0.26 | 0.00–0.41 | 0.160.00–0.81 |
| GK saves | 2.99 | 1.57–4.40 | 1.18–4.79 | 3.33 | 1.78–4.89 | 1.35–5.32 | 6.322.53–10.11 |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic
Who wins each stat?
home draw away
Goals
44%
25%
31%
Shots on target
58%
29%
Total shots
57%
35%
Shots in box
80%
Blocked shots
60%
15%
25%
Corners
59%
29%
Fouls
51%
40%
Offsides
49%
19%
31%
Yellow cards
45%
22%
34%
Red cards
85%
GK saves
37%
16%
47%
Model-implied probabilities from the predicted rates (Poisson approximation, teams treated as independent).
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+