FA Cup· Quarter-finals· · referee: not announced
Predicted match statistics
squad not published · form-based estimateGoalstotal 2.88
1.57home
0.60–2.53 safe0.34–2.79 safer1.31away
0.45–2.17 safe0.20–2.42 saferShots on targettotal 9.23
5.12home
3.27–6.98 safe2.77–7.48 safer4.10away
2.40–5.81 safe1.93–6.28 saferTotal shotstotal 20.77
11.82home
8.12–15.52 safe7.09–16.55 safer8.95away
5.57–12.33 safe4.64–13.26 saferShots in boxtotal 3.08
1.77home
0.00–4.28 safe0.00–5.15 safer1.31away
0.00–3.61 safe0.00–4.41 saferBlocked shotstotal 0.75
0.44home
0.00–2.03 safe0.00–2.56 safer0.31away
0.00–1.73 safe0.00–2.21 saferCornerstotal 9.79
5.53home
3.32–7.73 safe2.73–8.33 safer4.26away
2.28–6.24 safe1.75–6.78 saferPossession %
51.82home
45.50–58.13 safe43.90–59.73 safer46.72away
40.40–53.04 safe38.80–54.63 saferPassestotal 806
424home
359–489 safe341–507 safer382away
317–446 safe299–464 saferPass accuracy %
71.88home
67.67–76.10 safe66.37–77.40 safer69.30away
64.80–73.81 safe63.47–75.14 saferFoulstotal 26.28
13.08home
10.22–15.93 safe9.33–16.82 safer13.21away
10.26–16.15 safe9.35–17.07 saferOffsidestotal 2.25
1.35home
0.14–2.56 safe0.00–2.90 safer0.90away
0.00–2.06 safe0.00–2.40 saferYellow cardstotal 3.21
1.54home
0.49–2.60 safe0.22–2.87 safer1.67away
0.55–2.79 safe0.26–3.08 saferRed cardstotal 0.16
0.09home
0.00–0.24 safe0.00–0.39 safer0.07away
0.00–0.27 safe0.00–0.41 saferGK savestotal 4.19
1.74home
0.32–3.15 safe0.00–3.54 safer2.45away
0.90–4.01 safe0.47–4.44 safer| Stat | Home | safe | safer | Away | safe | safer | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.57 | 0.60–2.53 | 0.34–2.79 | 1.31 | 0.45–2.17 | 0.20–2.42 | 2.880.55–5.20 |
| Shots on target | 5.12 | 3.27–6.98 | 2.77–7.48 | 4.10 | 2.40–5.81 | 1.93–6.28 | 9.234.70–13.76 |
| Total shots | 11.82 | 8.12–15.52 | 7.09–16.55 | 8.95 | 5.57–12.33 | 4.64–13.26 | 20.7711.72–29.81 |
| Shots in box | 1.77 | 0.00–4.28 | 0.00–5.15 | 1.31 | 0.00–3.61 | 0.00–4.41 | 3.080.00–9.56 |
| Blocked shots | 0.44 | 0.00–2.03 | 0.00–2.56 | 0.31 | 0.00–1.73 | 0.00–2.21 | 0.750.00–4.77 |
| Corners | 5.53 | 3.32–7.73 | 2.73–8.33 | 4.26 | 2.28–6.24 | 1.75–6.78 | 9.794.47–15.11 |
| Possession % | 51.82 | 45.50–58.13 | 43.90–59.73 | 46.72 | 40.40–53.04 | 38.80–54.63 | — |
| Passes | 424 | 359–489 | 341–507 | 382 | 317–446 | 299–464 | 806640–971 |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.88 | 67.67–76.10 | 66.37–77.40 | 69.30 | 64.80–73.81 | 63.47–75.14 | — |
| Fouls | 13.08 | 10.22–15.93 | 9.33–16.82 | 13.21 | 10.26–16.15 | 9.35–17.07 | 26.2818.68–33.89 |
| Offsides | 1.35 | 0.14–2.56 | 0.00–2.90 | 0.90 | 0.00–2.06 | 0.00–2.40 | 2.250.00–5.30 |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 | 0.49–2.60 | 0.22–2.87 | 1.67 | 0.55–2.79 | 0.26–3.08 | 3.210.47–5.95 |
| Red cards | 0.09 | 0.00–0.24 | 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 | 0.00–0.27 | 0.00–0.41 | 0.160.00–0.80 |
| GK saves | 1.74 | 0.32–3.15 | 0.00–3.54 | 2.45 | 0.90–4.01 | 0.47–4.44 | 4.190.40–7.98 |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic
Who wins each stat?
home draw away
Goals
43%
25%
32%
Shots on target
57%
31%
Total shots
70%
23%
Shots in box
48%
23%
28%
Blocked shots
28%
54%
18%
Corners
60%
28%
Fouls
45%
47%
Offsides
47%
28%
25%
Yellow cards
36%
23%
41%
Red cards
86%
GK saves
27%
19%
54%
Model-implied probabilities from the predicted rates (Poisson approximation, teams treated as independent).
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+