FA Cup· Quarter-finals· · referee: not announced
Predicted match statistics
Goalstotal 2.63
1.42home
0.46–2.38 safe0.20–2.64 safer1.21away
0.35–2.07 safe0.10–2.32 saferShots on targettotal 9.21
5.06home
3.21–6.92 safe2.71–7.42 safer4.14away
2.44–5.85 safe1.97–6.32 saferTotal shotstotal 24.03
12.44home
8.74–16.15 safe7.71–17.18 safer11.59away
8.21–14.97 safe7.28–15.90 saferShots in boxtotal 15.21
8.78home
6.26–11.30 safe5.40–12.16 safer6.43away
4.12–8.73 safe3.33–9.52 saferBlocked shotstotal 6.67
3.87home
2.29–5.45 safe1.75–5.99 safer2.80away
1.39–4.22 safe0.90–4.70 saferCornerstotal 8.63
4.27home
2.06–6.47 safe1.47–7.07 safer4.36away
2.38–6.34 safe1.85–6.88 saferPossession %
48.04home
41.72–54.35 safe40.12–55.95 safer52.84away
46.52–59.16 safe44.93–60.76 saferPassestotal 779
372home
306–437 safe289–455 safer407away
343–472 safe325–490 saferPass accuracy %
72.39home
68.17–76.60 safe66.87–77.91 safer72.34away
67.83–76.85 safe66.50–78.18 saferFoulstotal 23.80
11.82home
8.96–14.67 safe8.07–15.56 safer11.98away
9.04–14.93 safe8.12–15.84 saferOffsidestotal 3.74
1.99home
0.78–3.20 safe0.44–3.55 safer1.74away
0.58–2.91 safe0.25–3.24 saferYellow cardstotal 3.60
1.99home
0.94–3.05 safe0.67–3.32 safer1.61away
0.49–2.73 safe0.20–3.02 saferRed cardstotal 0.12
0.06home
0.00–0.21 safe0.00–0.37 safer0.05away
0.00–0.25 safe0.00–0.39 saferGK savestotal 5.40
2.42home
1.01–3.83 safe0.62–4.22 safer2.98away
1.43–4.54 safe1.00–4.97 safer| Stat | Home | safe | safer | Away | safe | safer | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.42 | 0.46–2.38 | 0.20–2.64 | 1.21 | 0.35–2.07 | 0.10–2.32 | 2.630.30–4.96 |
| Shots on target | 5.06 | 3.21–6.92 | 2.71–7.42 | 4.14 | 2.44–5.85 | 1.97–6.32 | 9.214.68–13.74 |
| Total shots | 12.44 | 8.74–16.15 | 7.71–17.18 | 11.59 | 8.21–14.97 | 7.28–15.90 | 24.0314.99–33.08 |
| Shots in box | 8.78 | 6.26–11.30 | 5.40–12.16 | 6.43 | 4.12–8.73 | 3.33–9.52 | 15.218.73–21.69 |
| Blocked shots | 3.87 | 2.29–5.45 | 1.75–5.99 | 2.80 | 1.39–4.22 | 0.90–4.70 | 6.672.65–10.69 |
| Corners | 4.27 | 2.06–6.47 | 1.47–7.07 | 4.36 | 2.38–6.34 | 1.85–6.88 | 8.633.31–13.94 |
| Possession % | 48.04 | 41.72–54.35 | 40.12–55.95 | 52.84 | 46.52–59.16 | 44.93–60.76 | — |
| Passes | 372 | 306–437 | 289–455 | 407 | 343–472 | 325–490 | 779614–944 |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.39 | 68.17–76.60 | 66.87–77.91 | 72.34 | 67.83–76.85 | 66.50–78.18 | — |
| Fouls | 11.82 | 8.96–14.67 | 8.07–15.56 | 11.98 | 9.04–14.93 | 8.12–15.84 | 23.8016.19–31.40 |
| Offsides | 1.99 | 0.78–3.20 | 0.44–3.55 | 1.74 | 0.58–2.91 | 0.25–3.24 | 3.740.69–6.79 |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 | 0.94–3.05 | 0.67–3.32 | 1.61 | 0.49–2.73 | 0.20–3.02 | 3.600.86–6.34 |
| Red cards | 0.06 | 0.00–0.21 | 0.00–0.37 | 0.05 | 0.00–0.25 | 0.00–0.39 | 0.120.00–0.76 |
| GK saves | 2.42 | 1.01–3.83 | 0.62–4.22 | 2.98 | 1.43–4.54 | 1.00–4.97 | 5.401.61–9.19 |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic
Who wins each stat?
home draw away
Goals
42%
26%
32%
Shots on target
55%
32%
Total shots
53%
39%
Shots in box
68%
23%
Blocked shots
59%
15%
27%
Corners
42%
14%
44%
Fouls
45%
47%
Offsides
44%
21%
34%
Yellow cards
47%
22%
31%
Red cards
89%
GK saves
32%
17%
51%
Model-implied probabilities from the predicted rates (Poisson approximation, teams treated as independent).
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+