FA Cup· Quarter-finals· · referee: not announced
Predicted match statistics
Goalstotal 2.80
1.18home
0.22–2.15 safe0.00–2.41 safer1.62away
0.76–2.48 safe0.51–2.73 saferShots on targettotal 8.68
4.33home
2.47–6.18 safe1.97–6.68 safer4.35away
2.64–6.06 safe2.17–6.52 saferTotal shotstotal 21.36
11.16home
7.46–14.86 safe6.43–15.89 safer10.20away
6.83–13.58 safe5.90–14.51 saferShots in boxtotal 11.56
4.27home
1.76–6.79 safe0.89–7.65 safer7.29away
4.98–9.59 safe4.19–10.38 saferBlocked shotstotal 5.66
2.36home
0.78–3.95 safe0.25–4.48 safer3.30away
1.88–4.71 safe1.39–5.20 saferCornerstotal 8.89
4.52home
2.31–6.72 safe1.72–7.32 safer4.37away
2.39–6.35 safe1.85–6.89 saferPossession %
45.40home
39.08–51.72 safe37.48–53.31 safer54.29away
47.97–60.61 safe46.37–62.20 saferPassestotal 769
343home
278–408 safe260–426 safer425away
361–490 safe343–508 saferPass accuracy %
66.77home
62.56–70.99 safe61.26–72.29 safer74.48away
69.97–78.98 safe68.64–80.31 saferFoulstotal 25.86
12.63home
9.78–15.49 safe8.89–16.38 safer13.23away
10.28–16.17 safe9.36–17.09 saferOffsidestotal 3.56
1.73home
0.52–2.94 safe0.18–3.29 safer1.83away
0.67–2.99 safe0.33–3.32 saferYellow cardstotal 3.32
1.79home
0.73–2.85 safe0.46–3.12 safer1.53away
0.41–2.65 safe0.12–2.94 saferRed cardstotal 0.13
0.08home
0.00–0.23 safe0.00–0.38 safer0.05away
0.00–0.25 safe0.00–0.39 saferGK savestotal 5.74
3.13home
1.71–4.54 safe1.32–4.93 safer2.61away
1.06–4.17 safe0.63–4.60 safer| Stat | Home | safe | safer | Away | safe | safer | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.18 | 0.22–2.15 | 0.00–2.41 | 1.62 | 0.76–2.48 | 0.51–2.73 | 2.800.48–5.13 |
| Shots on target | 4.33 | 2.47–6.18 | 1.97–6.68 | 4.35 | 2.64–6.06 | 2.17–6.52 | 8.684.15–13.21 |
| Total shots | 11.16 | 7.46–14.86 | 6.43–15.89 | 10.20 | 6.83–13.58 | 5.90–14.51 | 21.3612.32–30.41 |
| Shots in box | 4.27 | 1.76–6.79 | 0.89–7.65 | 7.29 | 4.98–9.59 | 4.19–10.38 | 11.565.08–18.04 |
| Blocked shots | 2.36 | 0.78–3.95 | 0.25–4.48 | 3.30 | 1.88–4.71 | 1.39–5.20 | 5.661.64–9.68 |
| Corners | 4.52 | 2.31–6.72 | 1.72–7.32 | 4.37 | 2.39–6.35 | 1.85–6.89 | 8.893.57–14.20 |
| Possession % | 45.40 | 39.08–51.72 | 37.48–53.31 | 54.29 | 47.97–60.61 | 46.37–62.20 | — |
| Passes | 343 | 278–408 | 260–426 | 425 | 361–490 | 343–508 | 769603–934 |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.77 | 62.56–70.99 | 61.26–72.29 | 74.48 | 69.97–78.98 | 68.64–80.31 | — |
| Fouls | 12.63 | 9.78–15.49 | 8.89–16.38 | 13.23 | 10.28–16.17 | 9.36–17.09 | 25.8618.26–33.47 |
| Offsides | 1.73 | 0.52–2.94 | 0.18–3.29 | 1.83 | 0.67–2.99 | 0.33–3.32 | 3.560.52–6.61 |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 | 0.73–2.85 | 0.46–3.12 | 1.53 | 0.41–2.65 | 0.12–2.94 | 3.320.58–6.05 |
| Red cards | 0.08 | 0.00–0.23 | 0.00–0.38 | 0.05 | 0.00–0.25 | 0.00–0.39 | 0.130.00–0.77 |
| GK saves | 3.13 | 1.71–4.54 | 1.32–4.93 | 2.61 | 1.06–4.17 | 0.63–4.60 | 5.741.95–9.53 |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic
Who wins each stat?
home draw away
Goals
28%
25%
48%
Shots on target
43%
14%
43%
Total shots
54%
38%
Shots in box
15%
77%
Blocked shots
27%
16%
57%
Corners
45%
14%
41%
Fouls
41%
51%
Offsides
37%
22%
41%
Yellow cards
44%
23%
33%
Red cards
88%
GK saves
50%
17%
33%
Model-implied probabilities from the predicted rates (Poisson approximation, teams treated as independent).
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+