FA Cup· Quarter-finals· · referee: not announced
Predicted match statistics
Goalstotal 3.05
1.21home
0.25–2.17 safe0.00–2.43 safer1.84away
0.98–2.70 safe0.74–2.95 saferShots on targettotal 9.75
3.54home
1.68–5.39 safe1.18–5.89 safer6.21away
4.51–7.92 safe4.04–8.39 saferTotal shotstotal 24.76
10.43home
6.72–14.13 safe5.69–15.16 safer14.34away
10.96–17.72 safe10.03–18.65 saferShots in boxtotal 12.93
4.85home
2.33–7.37 safe1.47–8.23 safer8.08away
5.78–10.38 safe4.98–11.18 saferBlocked shotstotal 7.14
3.69home
2.11–5.27 safe1.57–5.81 safer3.45away
2.03–4.86 safe1.54–5.35 saferCornerstotal 8.31
3.52home
1.31–5.72 safe0.72–6.32 safer4.79away
2.82–6.77 safe2.28–7.31 saferPossession %
40.81home
34.50–47.13 safe32.90–48.73 safer57.76away
51.44–64.08 safe49.84–65.68 saferPassestotal 793
329home
263–394 safe246–412 safer464away
400–529 safe382–546 saferPass accuracy %
64.50home
60.29–68.72 safe58.98–70.02 safer74.76away
70.25–79.26 safe68.92–80.59 saferFoulstotal 25.18
12.12home
9.27–14.98 safe8.38–15.87 safer13.05away
10.11–16.00 safe9.19–16.92 saferOffsidestotal 3.48
1.61home
0.40–2.82 safe0.06–3.17 safer1.87away
0.71–3.03 safe0.37–3.36 saferYellow cardstotal 3.53
1.83home
0.77–2.88 safe0.50–3.16 safer1.70away
0.58–2.82 safe0.29–3.11 saferRed cardstotal 0.12
0.07home
0.00–0.23 safe0.00–0.38 safer0.04away
0.00–0.24 safe0.00–0.38 saferGK savestotal 5.27
2.30home
0.89–3.72 safe0.50–4.11 safer2.97away
1.41–4.52 safe0.98–4.95 safer| Stat | Home | safe | safer | Away | safe | safer | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.21 | 0.25–2.17 | 0.00–2.43 | 1.84 | 0.98–2.70 | 0.74–2.95 | 3.050.72–5.38 |
| Shots on target | 3.54 | 1.68–5.39 | 1.18–5.89 | 6.21 | 4.51–7.92 | 4.04–8.39 | 9.755.22–14.28 |
| Total shots | 10.43 | 6.72–14.13 | 5.69–15.16 | 14.34 | 10.96–17.72 | 10.03–18.65 | 24.7615.72–33.81 |
| Shots in box | 4.85 | 2.33–7.37 | 1.47–8.23 | 8.08 | 5.78–10.38 | 4.98–11.18 | 12.936.45–19.41 |
| Blocked shots | 3.69 | 2.11–5.27 | 1.57–5.81 | 3.45 | 2.03–4.86 | 1.54–5.35 | 7.143.12–11.16 |
| Corners | 3.52 | 1.31–5.72 | 0.72–6.32 | 4.79 | 2.82–6.77 | 2.28–7.31 | 8.313.00–13.63 |
| Possession % | 40.81 | 34.50–47.13 | 32.90–48.73 | 57.76 | 51.44–64.08 | 49.84–65.68 | — |
| Passes | 329 | 263–394 | 246–412 | 464 | 400–529 | 382–546 | 793628–958 |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.50 | 60.29–68.72 | 58.98–70.02 | 74.76 | 70.25–79.26 | 68.92–80.59 | — |
| Fouls | 12.12 | 9.27–14.98 | 8.38–15.87 | 13.05 | 10.11–16.00 | 9.19–16.92 | 25.1817.57–32.78 |
| Offsides | 1.61 | 0.40–2.82 | 0.06–3.17 | 1.87 | 0.71–3.03 | 0.37–3.36 | 3.480.44–6.53 |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 | 0.77–2.88 | 0.50–3.16 | 1.70 | 0.58–2.82 | 0.29–3.11 | 3.530.79–6.27 |
| Red cards | 0.07 | 0.00–0.23 | 0.00–0.38 | 0.04 | 0.00–0.24 | 0.00–0.38 | 0.120.00–0.76 |
| GK saves | 2.30 | 0.89–3.72 | 0.50–4.11 | 2.97 | 1.41–4.52 | 0.98–4.95 | 5.271.48–9.06 |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic
Who wins each stat?
home draw away
Goals
25%
23%
52%
Shots on target
15%
76%
Total shots
19%
75%
Shots in box
15%
78%
Blocked shots
46%
15%
39%
Corners
27%
60%
Fouls
39%
53%
Offsides
34%
22%
44%
Yellow cards
42%
22%
36%
Red cards
89%
GK saves
30%
17%
53%
Model-implied probabilities from the predicted rates (Poisson approximation, teams treated as independent).
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+