FA Cup· Quarter-finals· · referee: not announced
Predicted match statistics
squad not published · form-based estimateGoalstotal 2.82
1.54home
0.58–2.51 safe0.32–2.77 safer1.28away
0.42–2.14 safe0.17–2.39 saferShots on targettotal 7.76
5.02home
3.17–6.88 safe2.67–7.38 safer2.74away
1.04–4.45 safe0.57–4.92 saferTotal shotstotal 21.56
12.63home
8.92–16.33 safe7.89–17.36 safer8.94away
5.56–12.32 safe4.63–13.25 saferShots in boxtotal 6.57
4.49home
1.97–7.00 safe1.10–7.87 safer2.09away
0.00–4.39 safe0.00–5.19 saferBlocked shotstotal 2.62
1.79home
0.21–3.37 safe0.00–3.91 safer0.83away
0.00–2.24 safe0.00–2.73 saferCornerstotal 9.78
5.60home
3.39–7.80 safe2.80–8.40 safer4.18away
2.20–6.16 safe1.66–6.70 saferPossession %
53.06home
46.75–59.38 safe45.15–60.98 safer46.20away
39.88–52.52 safe38.29–54.12 saferPassestotal 766
407home
342–473 safe324–490 safer359away
295–424 safe277–441 saferPass accuracy %
70.32home
66.10–74.53 safe64.80–75.84 safer66.96away
62.45–71.47 safe61.12–72.80 saferFoulstotal 24.16
11.83home
8.97–14.68 safe8.09–15.57 safer12.33away
9.38–15.27 safe8.47–16.19 saferOffsidestotal 3.57
2.09home
0.88–3.30 safe0.54–3.65 safer1.48away
0.32–2.65 safe0.00–2.98 saferYellow cardstotal 3.47
1.74home
0.68–2.79 safe0.41–3.07 safer1.73away
0.61–2.85 safe0.32–3.14 saferRed cardstotal 0.19
0.12home
0.00–0.27 safe0.00–0.42 safer0.07away
0.00–0.27 safe0.00–0.41 saferGK savestotal 5.09
2.36home
0.95–3.77 safe0.56–4.16 safer2.73away
1.18–4.29 safe0.75–4.72 safer| Stat | Home | safe | safer | Away | safe | safer | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.54 | 0.58–2.51 | 0.32–2.77 | 1.28 | 0.42–2.14 | 0.17–2.39 | 2.820.50–5.15 |
| Shots on target | 5.02 | 3.17–6.88 | 2.67–7.38 | 2.74 | 1.04–4.45 | 0.57–4.92 | 7.763.23–12.29 |
| Total shots | 12.63 | 8.92–16.33 | 7.89–17.36 | 8.94 | 5.56–12.32 | 4.63–13.25 | 21.5612.52–30.61 |
| Shots in box | 4.49 | 1.97–7.00 | 1.10–7.87 | 2.09 | 0.00–4.39 | 0.00–5.19 | 6.570.10–13.05 |
| Blocked shots | 1.79 | 0.21–3.37 | 0.00–3.91 | 0.83 | 0.00–2.24 | 0.00–2.73 | 2.620.00–6.64 |
| Corners | 5.60 | 3.39–7.80 | 2.80–8.40 | 4.18 | 2.20–6.16 | 1.66–6.70 | 9.784.46–15.09 |
| Possession % | 53.06 | 46.75–59.38 | 45.15–60.98 | 46.20 | 39.88–52.52 | 38.29–54.12 | — |
| Passes | 407 | 342–473 | 324–490 | 359 | 295–424 | 277–441 | 766601–932 |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.32 | 66.10–74.53 | 64.80–75.84 | 66.96 | 62.45–71.47 | 61.12–72.80 | — |
| Fouls | 11.83 | 8.97–14.68 | 8.09–15.57 | 12.33 | 9.38–15.27 | 8.47–16.19 | 24.1616.55–31.76 |
| Offsides | 2.09 | 0.88–3.30 | 0.54–3.65 | 1.48 | 0.32–2.65 | 0.00–2.98 | 3.570.53–6.62 |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 | 0.68–2.79 | 0.41–3.07 | 1.73 | 0.61–2.85 | 0.32–3.14 | 3.470.73–6.21 |
| Red cards | 0.12 | 0.00–0.27 | 0.00–0.42 | 0.07 | 0.00–0.27 | 0.00–0.41 | 0.190.00–0.84 |
| GK saves | 2.36 | 0.95–3.77 | 0.56–4.16 | 2.73 | 1.18–4.29 | 0.75–4.72 | 5.091.30–8.88 |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic
Who wins each stat?
home draw away
Goals
44%
25%
32%
Shots on target
74%
16%
Total shots
75%
18%
Shots in box
77%
Blocked shots
60%
23%
17%
Corners
61%
27%
Fouls
42%
50%
Offsides
52%
21%
27%
Yellow cards
39%
22%
39%
Red cards
83%
GK saves
35%
18%
47%
Model-implied probabilities from the predicted rates (Poisson approximation, teams treated as independent).
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+