FA Cup· 3rd Round Qualifying· · referee: not announced
Predicted match statistics
squad not published · form-based estimateGoalstotal 2.97
1.76home
0.79–2.72 safe0.53–2.98 safer1.21away
0.35–2.07 safe0.11–2.32 saferShots on targettotal 10.34
5.15home
3.30–7.01 safe2.80–7.51 safer5.18away
3.48–6.89 safe3.01–7.36 saferTotal shotstotal 26.59
14.32home
10.62–18.03 safe9.59–19.06 safer12.27away
8.89–15.65 safe7.96–16.58 saferShots in boxtotal 14.78
5.56home
3.04–8.07 safe2.18–8.94 safer9.23away
6.92–11.53 safe6.13–12.32 saferBlocked shotstotal 6.71
3.09home
1.51–4.68 safe0.97–5.21 safer3.62away
2.20–5.03 safe1.72–5.52 saferCornerstotal 8.75
4.74home
2.54–6.95 safe1.94–7.54 safer4.01away
2.03–5.99 safe1.49–6.52 saferPossession %
50.61home
44.29–56.92 safe42.69–58.52 safer49.00away
42.69–55.32 safe41.09–56.92 saferPassestotal 793
402home
336–467 safe319–485 safer392away
327–456 safe310–474 saferPass accuracy %
67.73home
63.51–71.94 safe62.21–73.25 safer72.07away
67.56–76.57 safe66.23–77.90 saferFoulstotal 23.59
11.15home
8.30–14.01 safe7.41–14.89 safer12.44away
9.49–15.38 safe8.57–16.30 saferOffsidestotal 3.41
1.66home
0.45–2.86 safe0.10–3.21 safer1.76away
0.59–2.92 safe0.26–3.25 saferYellow cardstotal 3.20
1.46home
0.40–2.51 safe0.13–2.78 safer1.74away
0.62–2.86 safe0.33–3.15 saferRed cardstotal 0.11
0.06home
0.00–0.22 safe0.00–0.37 safer0.05away
0.00–0.24 safe0.00–0.38 saferGK savestotal 5.41
2.42home
1.00–3.83 safe0.61–4.22 safer2.99away
1.44–4.55 safe1.01–4.98 safer| Stat | Home | safe | safer | Away | safe | safer | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.76 | 0.79–2.72 | 0.53–2.98 | 1.21 | 0.35–2.07 | 0.11–2.32 | 2.970.64–5.30 |
| Shots on target | 5.15 | 3.30–7.01 | 2.80–7.51 | 5.18 | 3.48–6.89 | 3.01–7.36 | 10.345.81–14.87 |
| Total shots | 14.32 | 10.62–18.03 | 9.59–19.06 | 12.27 | 8.89–15.65 | 7.96–16.58 | 26.5917.55–35.64 |
| Shots in box | 5.56 | 3.04–8.07 | 2.18–8.94 | 9.23 | 6.92–11.53 | 6.13–12.32 | 14.788.31–21.26 |
| Blocked shots | 3.09 | 1.51–4.68 | 0.97–5.21 | 3.62 | 2.20–5.03 | 1.72–5.52 | 6.712.69–10.73 |
| Corners | 4.74 | 2.54–6.95 | 1.94–7.54 | 4.01 | 2.03–5.99 | 1.49–6.52 | 8.753.44–14.07 |
| Possession % | 50.61 | 44.29–56.92 | 42.69–58.52 | 49.00 | 42.69–55.32 | 41.09–56.92 | — |
| Passes | 402 | 336–467 | 319–485 | 392 | 327–456 | 310–474 | 793628–958 |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.73 | 63.51–71.94 | 62.21–73.25 | 72.07 | 67.56–76.57 | 66.23–77.90 | — |
| Fouls | 11.15 | 8.30–14.01 | 7.41–14.89 | 12.44 | 9.49–15.38 | 8.57–16.30 | 23.5915.98–31.20 |
| Offsides | 1.66 | 0.45–2.86 | 0.10–3.21 | 1.76 | 0.59–2.92 | 0.26–3.25 | 3.410.36–6.46 |
| Yellow cards | 1.46 | 0.40–2.51 | 0.13–2.78 | 1.74 | 0.62–2.86 | 0.33–3.15 | 3.200.46–5.94 |
| Red cards | 0.06 | 0.00–0.22 | 0.00–0.37 | 0.05 | 0.00–0.24 | 0.00–0.38 | 0.110.00–0.75 |
| GK saves | 2.42 | 1.00–3.83 | 0.61–4.22 | 2.99 | 1.44–4.55 | 1.01–4.98 | 5.411.62–9.20 |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic
Who wins each stat?
home draw away
Goals
50%
23%
26%
Shots on target
43%
44%
Total shots
62%
31%
Shots in box
14%
80%
Blocked shots
34%
15%
50%
Corners
53%
13%
34%
Fouls
36%
56%
Offsides
37%
23%
41%
Yellow cards
32%
23%
45%
Red cards
90%
GK saves
32%
17%
51%
Model-implied probabilities from the predicted rates (Poisson approximation, teams treated as independent).
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+