FA Cup· 3rd Round Qualifying· · referee: not announced
Predicted match statistics
squad not published · form-based estimateGoalstotal 2.52
1.31home
0.35–2.28 safe0.09–2.54 safer1.21away
0.35–2.07 safe0.10–2.32 saferShots on targettotal 8.57
4.76home
2.90–6.61 safe2.40–7.11 safer3.81away
2.10–5.52 safe1.63–5.98 saferTotal shotstotal 18.67
10.41home
6.70–14.11 safe5.67–15.14 safer8.26away
4.88–11.64 safe3.95–12.57 saferShots in boxtotal 2.51
1.46home
0.00–3.98 safe0.00–4.84 safer1.05away
0.00–3.35 safe0.00–4.14 saferBlocked shotstotal 0.74
0.50home
0.00–2.08 safe0.00–2.62 safer0.24away
0.00–1.65 safe0.00–2.14 saferCornerstotal 8.97
4.86home
2.65–7.06 safe2.06–7.66 safer4.11away
2.13–6.09 safe1.59–6.62 saferPossession %
51.10home
44.78–57.42 safe43.19–59.01 safer48.06away
41.74–54.37 safe40.14–55.97 saferPassestotal 757
393home
327–458 safe310–476 safer364away
299–429 safe282–446 saferPass accuracy %
68.77home
64.55–72.99 safe63.25–74.29 safer68.64away
64.14–73.15 safe62.81–74.48 saferFoulstotal 26.76
13.56home
10.70–16.41 safe9.82–17.30 safer13.20away
10.25–16.14 safe9.34–17.06 saferOffsidestotal 2.36
1.27home
0.06–2.48 safe0.00–2.82 safer1.09away
0.00–2.25 safe0.00–2.58 saferYellow cardstotal 3.37
1.63home
0.58–2.69 safe0.31–2.96 safer1.74away
0.62–2.86 safe0.33–3.15 saferRed cardstotal 0.14
0.09home
0.00–0.24 safe0.00–0.39 safer0.06away
0.00–0.25 safe0.00–0.39 saferGK savestotal 4.40
2.11home
0.69–3.52 safe0.30–3.91 safer2.29away
0.74–3.85 safe0.31–4.28 safer| Stat | Home | safe | safer | Away | safe | safer | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 | 0.35–2.28 | 0.09–2.54 | 1.21 | 0.35–2.07 | 0.10–2.32 | 2.520.19–4.85 |
| Shots on target | 4.76 | 2.90–6.61 | 2.40–7.11 | 3.81 | 2.10–5.52 | 1.63–5.98 | 8.574.04–13.10 |
| Total shots | 10.41 | 6.70–14.11 | 5.67–15.14 | 8.26 | 4.88–11.64 | 3.95–12.57 | 18.679.63–27.71 |
| Shots in box | 1.46 | 0.00–3.98 | 0.00–4.84 | 1.05 | 0.00–3.35 | 0.00–4.14 | 2.510.00–8.99 |
| Blocked shots | 0.50 | 0.00–2.08 | 0.00–2.62 | 0.24 | 0.00–1.65 | 0.00–2.14 | 0.740.00–4.76 |
| Corners | 4.86 | 2.65–7.06 | 2.06–7.66 | 4.11 | 2.13–6.09 | 1.59–6.62 | 8.973.65–14.28 |
| Possession % | 51.10 | 44.78–57.42 | 43.19–59.01 | 48.06 | 41.74–54.37 | 40.14–55.97 | — |
| Passes | 393 | 327–458 | 310–476 | 364 | 299–429 | 282–446 | 757592–922 |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.77 | 64.55–72.99 | 63.25–74.29 | 68.64 | 64.14–73.15 | 62.81–74.48 | — |
| Fouls | 13.56 | 10.70–16.41 | 9.82–17.30 | 13.20 | 10.25–16.14 | 9.34–17.06 | 26.7619.15–34.36 |
| Offsides | 1.27 | 0.06–2.48 | 0.00–2.82 | 1.09 | 0.00–2.25 | 0.00–2.58 | 2.360.00–5.41 |
| Yellow cards | 1.63 | 0.58–2.69 | 0.31–2.96 | 1.74 | 0.62–2.86 | 0.33–3.15 | 3.370.64–6.11 |
| Red cards | 0.09 | 0.00–0.24 | 0.00–0.39 | 0.06 | 0.00–0.25 | 0.00–0.39 | 0.140.00–0.79 |
| GK saves | 2.11 | 0.69–3.52 | 0.30–3.91 | 2.29 | 0.74–3.85 | 0.31–4.28 | 4.400.61–8.19 |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic
Who wins each stat?
home draw away
Goals
39%
27%
34%
Shots on target
56%
13%
31%
Total shots
65%
27%
Shots in box
47%
26%
27%
Blocked shots
33%
54%
14%
Corners
53%
13%
34%
Fouls
49%
43%
Offsides
41%
28%
32%
Yellow cards
36%
23%
41%
Red cards
87%
GK saves
37%
20%
44%
Model-implied probabilities from the predicted rates (Poisson approximation, teams treated as independent).
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+