FA Cup· 3rd Round Qualifying· · referee: not announced
Predicted match statistics
squad not published · form-based estimateGoalstotal 3.05
1.80home
0.84–2.76 safe0.58–3.02 safer1.26away
0.40–2.12 safe0.15–2.36 saferShots on targettotal 8.80
5.38home
3.52–7.23 safe3.02–7.73 safer3.43away
1.72–5.13 safe1.25–5.60 saferTotal shotstotal 24.24
13.58home
9.88–17.29 safe8.85–18.32 safer10.66away
7.28–14.04 safe6.35–14.97 saferShots in boxtotal 14.46
9.62home
7.10–12.13 safe6.24–13.00 safer4.85away
2.54–7.15 safe1.75–7.94 saferBlocked shotstotal 5.87
3.56home
1.98–5.14 safe1.44–5.68 safer2.31away
0.90–3.73 safe0.41–4.22 saferCornerstotal 9.28
5.30home
3.09–7.50 safe2.50–8.10 safer3.98away
2.00–5.96 safe1.46–6.50 saferPossession %
53.60home
47.28–59.91 safe45.68–61.51 safer46.44away
40.12–52.76 safe38.52–54.35 saferPassestotal 808
449home
383–514 safe366–532 safer359away
295–424 safe277–441 saferPass accuracy %
75.75home
71.54–79.97 safe70.23–81.27 safer67.63away
63.13–72.14 safe61.80–73.47 saferFoulstotal 21.07
10.33home
7.47–13.18 safe6.58–14.07 safer10.74away
7.80–13.69 safe6.88–14.61 saferOffsidestotal 4.25
2.25home
1.04–3.46 safe0.70–3.81 safer2.00away
0.83–3.16 safe0.50–3.49 saferYellow cardstotal 3.31
1.51home
0.46–2.57 safe0.18–2.84 safer1.79away
0.67–2.91 safe0.38–3.20 saferRed cardstotal 0.16
0.07home
0.00–0.22 safe0.00–0.37 safer0.09away
0.00–0.28 safe0.00–0.42 saferGK savestotal 5.95
2.74home
1.32–4.15 safe0.93–4.54 safer3.22away
1.66–4.77 safe1.23–5.20 safer| Stat | Home | safe | safer | Away | safe | safer | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.80 | 0.84–2.76 | 0.58–3.02 | 1.26 | 0.40–2.12 | 0.15–2.36 | 3.050.73–5.38 |
| Shots on target | 5.38 | 3.52–7.23 | 3.02–7.73 | 3.43 | 1.72–5.13 | 1.25–5.60 | 8.804.27–13.33 |
| Total shots | 13.58 | 9.88–17.29 | 8.85–18.32 | 10.66 | 7.28–14.04 | 6.35–14.97 | 24.2415.20–33.28 |
| Shots in box | 9.62 | 7.10–12.13 | 6.24–13.00 | 4.85 | 2.54–7.15 | 1.75–7.94 | 14.467.98–20.94 |
| Blocked shots | 3.56 | 1.98–5.14 | 1.44–5.68 | 2.31 | 0.90–3.73 | 0.41–4.22 | 5.871.85–9.89 |
| Corners | 5.30 | 3.09–7.50 | 2.50–8.10 | 3.98 | 2.00–5.96 | 1.46–6.50 | 9.283.96–14.59 |
| Possession % | 53.60 | 47.28–59.91 | 45.68–61.51 | 46.44 | 40.12–52.76 | 38.52–54.35 | — |
| Passes | 449 | 383–514 | 366–532 | 359 | 295–424 | 277–441 | 808643–973 |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.75 | 71.54–79.97 | 70.23–81.27 | 67.63 | 63.13–72.14 | 61.80–73.47 | — |
| Fouls | 10.33 | 7.47–13.18 | 6.58–14.07 | 10.74 | 7.80–13.69 | 6.88–14.61 | 21.0713.46–28.68 |
| Offsides | 2.25 | 1.04–3.46 | 0.70–3.81 | 2.00 | 0.83–3.16 | 0.50–3.49 | 4.251.20–7.30 |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 | 0.46–2.57 | 0.18–2.84 | 1.79 | 0.67–2.91 | 0.38–3.20 | 3.310.57–6.04 |
| Red cards | 0.07 | 0.00–0.22 | 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 | 0.00–0.28 | 0.00–0.42 | 0.160.00–0.80 |
| GK saves | 2.74 | 1.32–4.15 | 0.93–4.54 | 3.22 | 1.66–4.77 | 1.23–5.20 | 5.952.16–9.74 |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic
Who wins each stat?
home draw away
Goals
50%
23%
27%
Shots on target
69%
20%
Total shots
69%
24%
Shots in box
87%
Blocked shots
62%
15%
23%
Corners
60%
27%
Fouls
42%
49%
Offsides
45%
20%
35%
Yellow cards
33%
23%
45%
Red cards
86%
GK saves
34%
16%
49%
Model-implied probabilities from the predicted rates (Poisson approximation, teams treated as independent).
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+