FA Cup· 3rd Round Qualifying· · referee: not announced
Predicted match statistics
squad not published · form-based estimateGoalstotal 2.61
1.52home
0.56–2.48 safe0.30–2.74 safer1.09away
0.23–1.95 safe0.00–2.20 saferShots on targettotal 7.50
4.80home
2.95–6.66 safe2.45–7.16 safer2.70away
0.99–4.41 safe0.52–4.88 saferTotal shotstotal 21.48
12.71home
9.00–16.41 safe7.97–17.44 safer8.78away
5.40–12.16 safe4.47–13.09 saferShots in boxtotal 10.17
6.94home
4.43–9.46 safe3.56–10.32 safer3.23away
0.93–5.53 safe0.13–6.33 saferBlocked shotstotal 4.07
2.59home
1.00–4.17 safe0.47–4.70 safer1.49away
0.07–2.90 safe0.00–3.39 saferCornerstotal 9.72
5.44home
3.23–7.65 safe2.64–8.24 safer4.28away
2.30–6.26 safe1.76–6.80 saferPossession %
54.37home
48.06–60.69 safe46.46–62.29 safer44.93away
38.61–51.25 safe37.01–52.84 saferPassestotal 754
428home
362–493 safe345–511 safer326away
262–391 safe244–408 saferPass accuracy %
72.94home
68.73–77.16 safe67.43–78.46 safer66.49away
61.98–70.99 safe60.65–72.33 saferFoulstotal 21.45
10.43home
7.57–13.29 safe6.69–14.17 safer11.02away
8.07–13.96 safe7.15–14.88 saferOffsidestotal 4.04
2.32home
1.11–3.52 safe0.76–3.87 safer1.72away
0.56–2.89 safe0.23–3.22 saferYellow cardstotal 3.36
1.59home
0.53–2.65 safe0.26–2.92 safer1.77away
0.65–2.89 safe0.36–3.18 saferRed cardstotal 0.17
0.09home
0.00–0.24 safe0.00–0.39 safer0.09away
0.00–0.28 safe0.00–0.42 saferGK savestotal 5.45
2.16home
0.75–3.58 safe0.36–3.97 safer3.29away
1.74–4.84 safe1.30–5.28 safer| Stat | Home | safe | safer | Away | safe | safer | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.52 | 0.56–2.48 | 0.30–2.74 | 1.09 | 0.23–1.95 | 0.00–2.20 | 2.610.29–4.94 |
| Shots on target | 4.80 | 2.95–6.66 | 2.45–7.16 | 2.70 | 0.99–4.41 | 0.52–4.88 | 7.502.97–12.03 |
| Total shots | 12.71 | 9.00–16.41 | 7.97–17.44 | 8.78 | 5.40–12.16 | 4.47–13.09 | 21.4812.44–30.53 |
| Shots in box | 6.94 | 4.43–9.46 | 3.56–10.32 | 3.23 | 0.93–5.53 | 0.13–6.33 | 10.173.69–16.65 |
| Blocked shots | 2.59 | 1.00–4.17 | 0.47–4.70 | 1.49 | 0.07–2.90 | 0.00–3.39 | 4.070.05–8.09 |
| Corners | 5.44 | 3.23–7.65 | 2.64–8.24 | 4.28 | 2.30–6.26 | 1.76–6.80 | 9.724.40–15.04 |
| Possession % | 54.37 | 48.06–60.69 | 46.46–62.29 | 44.93 | 38.61–51.25 | 37.01–52.84 | — |
| Passes | 428 | 362–493 | 345–511 | 326 | 262–391 | 244–408 | 754589–919 |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.94 | 68.73–77.16 | 67.43–78.46 | 66.49 | 61.98–70.99 | 60.65–72.33 | — |
| Fouls | 10.43 | 7.57–13.29 | 6.69–14.17 | 11.02 | 8.07–13.96 | 7.15–14.88 | 21.4513.84–29.05 |
| Offsides | 2.32 | 1.11–3.52 | 0.76–3.87 | 1.72 | 0.56–2.89 | 0.23–3.22 | 4.040.99–7.09 |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 | 0.53–2.65 | 0.26–2.92 | 1.77 | 0.65–2.89 | 0.36–3.18 | 3.360.62–6.09 |
| Red cards | 0.09 | 0.00–0.24 | 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 | 0.00–0.28 | 0.00–0.42 | 0.170.00–0.82 |
| GK saves | 2.16 | 0.75–3.58 | 0.36–3.97 | 3.29 | 1.74–4.84 | 1.30–5.28 | 5.451.66–9.24 |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic
Who wins each stat?
home draw away
Goals
47%
26%
27%
Shots on target
72%
17%
Total shots
77%
17%
Shots in box
85%
Blocked shots
61%
18%
21%
Corners
58%
30%
Fouls
41%
51%
Offsides
51%
20%
29%
Yellow cards
35%
23%
42%
Red cards
85%
GK saves
24%
16%
60%
Model-implied probabilities from the predicted rates (Poisson approximation, teams treated as independent).
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+