FA Cup· 3rd Round Qualifying· · referee: not announced
Predicted match statistics
squad not published · form-based estimateGoalstotal 2.72
1.53home
0.57–2.50 safe0.31–2.76 safer1.19away
0.33–2.05 safe0.08–2.29 saferShots on targettotal 6.48
4.22home
2.37–6.08 safe1.87–6.58 safer2.25away
0.55–3.96 safe0.08–4.43 saferTotal shotstotal 20.58
11.44home
7.73–15.14 safe6.70–16.17 safer9.14away
5.76–12.52 safe4.83–13.45 saferShots in boxtotal 9.51
6.26home
3.75–8.78 safe2.88–9.65 safer3.25away
0.95–5.55 safe0.15–6.35 saferBlocked shotstotal 4.10
2.61home
1.02–4.19 safe0.49–4.72 safer1.50away
0.08–2.91 safe0.00–3.40 saferCornerstotal 9.56
5.05home
2.84–7.25 safe2.25–7.85 safer4.51away
2.53–6.49 safe2.00–7.03 saferPossession %
47.95home
41.64–54.27 safe40.04–55.87 safer51.30away
44.98–57.62 safe43.38–59.21 saferPassestotal 726
352home
286–417 safe269–435 safer374away
310–439 safe292–457 saferPass accuracy %
68.96home
64.74–73.17 safe63.44–74.47 safer69.95away
65.45–74.46 safe64.12–75.79 saferFoulstotal 22.15
11.15home
8.29–14.01 safe7.41–14.89 safer11.00away
8.05–13.94 safe7.13–14.86 saferOffsidestotal 4.01
2.23home
1.02–3.44 safe0.67–3.78 safer1.78away
0.62–2.95 safe0.29–3.28 saferYellow cardstotal 3.26
1.58home
0.53–2.64 safe0.26–2.91 safer1.68away
0.56–2.80 safe0.27–3.09 saferRed cardstotal 0.20
0.10home
0.00–0.25 safe0.00–0.41 safer0.10away
0.00–0.30 safe0.00–0.44 saferGK savestotal 5.41
2.28home
0.87–3.69 safe0.48–4.08 safer3.13away
1.57–4.68 safe1.14–5.11 safer| Stat | Home | safe | safer | Away | safe | safer | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.53 | 0.57–2.50 | 0.31–2.76 | 1.19 | 0.33–2.05 | 0.08–2.29 | 2.720.39–5.05 |
| Shots on target | 4.22 | 2.37–6.08 | 1.87–6.58 | 2.25 | 0.55–3.96 | 0.08–4.43 | 6.481.95–11.01 |
| Total shots | 11.44 | 7.73–15.14 | 6.70–16.17 | 9.14 | 5.76–12.52 | 4.83–13.45 | 20.5811.54–29.62 |
| Shots in box | 6.26 | 3.75–8.78 | 2.88–9.65 | 3.25 | 0.95–5.55 | 0.15–6.35 | 9.513.03–15.99 |
| Blocked shots | 2.61 | 1.02–4.19 | 0.49–4.72 | 1.50 | 0.08–2.91 | 0.00–3.40 | 4.100.08–8.12 |
| Corners | 5.05 | 2.84–7.25 | 2.25–7.85 | 4.51 | 2.53–6.49 | 2.00–7.03 | 9.564.24–14.88 |
| Possession % | 47.95 | 41.64–54.27 | 40.04–55.87 | 51.30 | 44.98–57.62 | 43.38–59.21 | — |
| Passes | 352 | 286–417 | 269–435 | 374 | 310–439 | 292–457 | 726561–891 |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.96 | 64.74–73.17 | 63.44–74.47 | 69.95 | 65.45–74.46 | 64.12–75.79 | — |
| Fouls | 11.15 | 8.29–14.01 | 7.41–14.89 | 11.00 | 8.05–13.94 | 7.13–14.86 | 22.1514.54–29.75 |
| Offsides | 2.23 | 1.02–3.44 | 0.67–3.78 | 1.78 | 0.62–2.95 | 0.29–3.28 | 4.010.96–7.06 |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 | 0.53–2.64 | 0.26–2.91 | 1.68 | 0.56–2.80 | 0.27–3.09 | 3.260.52–6.00 |
| Red cards | 0.10 | 0.00–0.25 | 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 | 0.00–0.30 | 0.00–0.44 | 0.200.00–0.85 |
| GK saves | 2.28 | 0.87–3.69 | 0.48–4.08 | 3.13 | 1.57–4.68 | 1.14–5.11 | 5.411.62–9.20 |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic
Who wins each stat?
home draw away
Goals
45%
25%
29%
Shots on target
72%
16%
Total shots
65%
27%
Shots in box
79%
Blocked shots
61%
18%
21%
Corners
50%
37%
Fouls
47%
44%
Offsides
48%
20%
31%
Yellow cards
36%
23%
40%
Red cards
83%
GK saves
28%
17%
56%
Model-implied probabilities from the predicted rates (Poisson approximation, teams treated as independent).
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+