FA Cup· 3rd Round Qualifying· · referee: not announced
Predicted match statistics
Goalstotal 2.98
2.29home
1.32–3.25 safe1.06–3.51 safer0.70away
0.00–1.56 safe0.00–1.80 saferShots on targettotal 8.81
5.83home
3.98–7.69 safe3.48–8.19 safer2.98away
1.27–4.69 safe0.80–5.16 saferTotal shotstotal 24.32
15.97home
12.27–19.67 safe11.24–20.70 safer8.35away
4.97–11.73 safe4.04–12.66 saferShots in boxtotal 15.54
10.08home
7.57–12.60 safe6.70–13.46 safer5.46away
3.16–7.76 safe2.36–8.56 saferBlocked shotstotal 6.56
4.21home
2.63–5.80 safe2.10–6.33 safer2.35away
0.93–3.76 safe0.44–4.25 saferCornerstotal 8.00
5.43home
3.22–7.63 safe2.63–8.23 safer2.57away
0.60–4.55 safe0.06–5.09 saferPossession %
59.99home
53.67–66.30 safe52.07–67.90 safer40.37away
34.05–46.69 safe32.45–48.29 saferPassestotal 778
464home
399–530 safe381–547 safer314away
249–378 safe232–396 saferPass accuracy %
78.04home
73.82–82.25 safe72.52–83.55 safer68.12away
63.61–72.63 safe62.28–73.96 saferFoulstotal 25.26
12.17home
9.32–15.03 safe8.43–15.92 safer13.08away
10.14–16.03 safe9.22–16.94 saferOffsidestotal 3.45
1.59home
0.38–2.80 safe0.04–3.14 safer1.86away
0.70–3.02 safe0.36–3.35 saferYellow cardstotal 3.26
1.45home
0.40–2.51 safe0.13–2.78 safer1.81away
0.69–2.93 safe0.40–3.22 saferRed cardstotal 0.10
0.05home
0.00–0.21 safe0.00–0.36 safer0.04away
0.00–0.24 safe0.00–0.38 saferGK savestotal 5.30
2.45home
1.03–3.86 safe0.64–4.25 safer2.85away
1.30–4.40 safe0.86–4.84 safer| Stat | Home | safe | safer | Away | safe | safer | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.29 | 1.32–3.25 | 1.06–3.51 | 0.70 | 0.00–1.56 | 0.00–1.80 | 2.980.65–5.31 |
| Shots on target | 5.83 | 3.98–7.69 | 3.48–8.19 | 2.98 | 1.27–4.69 | 0.80–5.16 | 8.814.28–13.34 |
| Total shots | 15.97 | 12.27–19.67 | 11.24–20.70 | 8.35 | 4.97–11.73 | 4.04–12.66 | 24.3215.27–33.36 |
| Shots in box | 10.08 | 7.57–12.60 | 6.70–13.46 | 5.46 | 3.16–7.76 | 2.36–8.56 | 15.549.07–22.02 |
| Blocked shots | 4.21 | 2.63–5.80 | 2.10–6.33 | 2.35 | 0.93–3.76 | 0.44–4.25 | 6.562.54–10.58 |
| Corners | 5.43 | 3.22–7.63 | 2.63–8.23 | 2.57 | 0.60–4.55 | 0.06–5.09 | 8.002.69–13.32 |
| Possession % | 59.99 | 53.67–66.30 | 52.07–67.90 | 40.37 | 34.05–46.69 | 32.45–48.29 | — |
| Passes | 464 | 399–530 | 381–547 | 314 | 249–378 | 232–396 | 778613–943 |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.04 | 73.82–82.25 | 72.52–83.55 | 68.12 | 63.61–72.63 | 62.28–73.96 | — |
| Fouls | 12.17 | 9.32–15.03 | 8.43–15.92 | 13.08 | 10.14–16.03 | 9.22–16.94 | 25.2617.65–32.86 |
| Offsides | 1.59 | 0.38–2.80 | 0.04–3.14 | 1.86 | 0.70–3.02 | 0.36–3.35 | 3.450.40–6.50 |
| Yellow cards | 1.45 | 0.40–2.51 | 0.13–2.78 | 1.81 | 0.69–2.93 | 0.40–3.22 | 3.260.52–6.00 |
| Red cards | 0.05 | 0.00–0.21 | 0.00–0.36 | 0.04 | 0.00–0.24 | 0.00–0.38 | 0.100.00–0.74 |
| GK saves | 2.45 | 1.03–3.86 | 0.64–4.25 | 2.85 | 1.30–4.40 | 0.86–4.84 | 5.301.51–9.08 |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic
Who wins each stat?
home draw away
Goals
73%
17%
Shots on target
79%
Total shots
93%
Shots in box
85%
Blocked shots
70%
17%
Corners
80%
Fouls
39%
53%
Offsides
33%
22%
44%
Yellow cards
31%
23%
46%
Red cards
91%
GK saves
34%
18%
48%
Model-implied probabilities from the predicted rates (Poisson approximation, teams treated as independent).
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+