FA Cup· 3rd Round Qualifying· · referee: not announced
Predicted match statistics
Goalstotal 3.06
1.84home
0.88–2.80 safe0.62–3.06 safer1.22away
0.36–2.08 safe0.11–2.33 saferShots on targettotal 9.12
5.97home
4.12–7.83 safe3.62–8.33 safer3.15away
1.44–4.86 safe0.98–5.33 saferTotal shotstotal 20.80
12.78home
9.08–16.48 safe8.05–17.51 safer8.02away
4.64–11.40 safe3.71–12.33 saferShots in boxtotal 15.94
8.81home
6.30–11.33 safe5.43–12.19 safer7.12away
4.82–9.42 safe4.03–10.22 saferBlocked shotstotal 7.01
3.77home
2.19–5.36 safe1.66–5.89 safer3.24away
1.82–4.65 safe1.34–5.14 saferCornerstotal 9.23
5.03home
2.83–7.24 safe2.23–7.83 safer4.20away
2.22–6.17 safe1.68–6.71 saferPossession %
50.37home
44.05–56.69 safe42.45–58.28 safer50.03away
43.71–56.35 safe42.11–57.95 saferPassestotal 789
391home
326–457 safe308–474 safer397away
333–462 safe315–479 saferPass accuracy %
70.81home
66.59–75.03 safe65.29–76.33 safer71.44away
66.94–75.95 safe65.61–77.28 saferFoulstotal 24.20
11.79home
8.93–14.65 safe8.05–15.53 safer12.41away
9.47–15.36 safe8.55–16.27 saferOffsidestotal 3.39
1.66home
0.45–2.87 safe0.11–3.21 safer1.73away
0.56–2.89 safe0.23–3.22 saferYellow cardstotal 3.01
1.38home
0.32–2.43 safe0.05–2.70 safer1.63away
0.51–2.75 safe0.22–3.04 saferRed cardstotal 0.13
0.06home
0.00–0.22 safe0.00–0.37 safer0.06away
0.00–0.26 safe0.00–0.40 saferGK savestotal 5.18
2.43home
1.02–3.85 safe0.63–4.24 safer2.75away
1.19–4.30 safe0.76–4.73 safer| Stat | Home | safe | safer | Away | safe | safer | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.84 | 0.88–2.80 | 0.62–3.06 | 1.22 | 0.36–2.08 | 0.11–2.33 | 3.060.73–5.39 |
| Shots on target | 5.97 | 4.12–7.83 | 3.62–8.33 | 3.15 | 1.44–4.86 | 0.98–5.33 | 9.124.59–13.65 |
| Total shots | 12.78 | 9.08–16.48 | 8.05–17.51 | 8.02 | 4.64–11.40 | 3.71–12.33 | 20.8011.76–29.85 |
| Shots in box | 8.81 | 6.30–11.33 | 5.43–12.19 | 7.12 | 4.82–9.42 | 4.03–10.22 | 15.949.46–22.41 |
| Blocked shots | 3.77 | 2.19–5.36 | 1.66–5.89 | 3.24 | 1.82–4.65 | 1.34–5.14 | 7.012.99–11.03 |
| Corners | 5.03 | 2.83–7.24 | 2.23–7.83 | 4.20 | 2.22–6.17 | 1.68–6.71 | 9.233.91–14.54 |
| Possession % | 50.37 | 44.05–56.69 | 42.45–58.28 | 50.03 | 43.71–56.35 | 42.11–57.95 | — |
| Passes | 391 | 326–457 | 308–474 | 397 | 333–462 | 315–479 | 789624–954 |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.81 | 66.59–75.03 | 65.29–76.33 | 71.44 | 66.94–75.95 | 65.61–77.28 | — |
| Fouls | 11.79 | 8.93–14.65 | 8.05–15.53 | 12.41 | 9.47–15.36 | 8.55–16.27 | 24.2016.60–31.81 |
| Offsides | 1.66 | 0.45–2.87 | 0.11–3.21 | 1.73 | 0.56–2.89 | 0.23–3.22 | 3.390.34–6.44 |
| Yellow cards | 1.38 | 0.32–2.43 | 0.05–2.70 | 1.63 | 0.51–2.75 | 0.22–3.04 | 3.010.27–5.75 |
| Red cards | 0.06 | 0.00–0.22 | 0.00–0.37 | 0.06 | 0.00–0.26 | 0.00–0.40 | 0.130.00–0.77 |
| GK saves | 2.43 | 1.02–3.85 | 0.63–4.24 | 2.75 | 1.19–4.30 | 0.76–4.73 | 5.181.39–8.97 |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic
Who wins each stat?
home draw away
Goals
52%
23%
25%
Shots on target
78%
13%
Total shots
83%
Shots in box
62%
29%
Blocked shots
50%
15%
35%
Corners
54%
33%
Fouls
41%
51%
Offsides
37%
23%
40%
Yellow cards
32%
24%
44%
Red cards
88%
GK saves
36%
18%
46%
Model-implied probabilities from the predicted rates (Poisson approximation, teams treated as independent).
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+