FA Cup· 3rd Round Qualifying· · referee: not announced
Predicted match statistics
squad not published · form-based estimateGoalstotal 3.10
1.71home
0.75–2.67 safe0.49–2.93 safer1.39away
0.53–2.25 safe0.28–2.50 saferShots on targettotal 9.42
4.57home
2.71–6.42 safe2.21–6.92 safer4.85away
3.15–6.56 safe2.68–7.03 saferTotal shotstotal 24.30
13.01home
9.31–16.71 safe8.28–17.75 safer11.29away
7.91–14.67 safe6.98–15.60 saferShots in boxtotal 8.60
3.40home
0.88–5.92 safe0.02–6.78 safer5.20away
2.90–7.50 safe2.10–8.30 saferBlocked shotstotal 3.98
1.49home
0.00–3.07 safe0.00–3.60 safer2.49away
1.08–3.91 safe0.59–4.39 saferCornerstotal 8.86
5.04home
2.84–7.25 safe2.24–7.84 safer3.82away
1.84–5.80 safe1.30–6.34 saferPossession %
50.77home
44.45–57.08 safe42.85–58.68 safer48.87away
42.55–55.19 safe40.95–56.78 saferPassestotal 796
413home
348–479 safe330–496 safer383away
318–447 safe300–465 saferPass accuracy %
72.57home
68.35–76.79 safe67.05–78.09 safer71.97away
67.46–76.48 safe66.13–77.81 saferFoulstotal 23.05
11.56home
8.70–14.42 safe7.82–15.30 safer11.49away
8.54–14.43 safe7.63–15.35 saferOffsidestotal 4.10
1.97home
0.76–3.18 safe0.41–3.52 safer2.14away
0.97–3.30 safe0.64–3.63 saferYellow cardstotal 3.25
1.57home
0.52–2.63 safe0.25–2.90 safer1.68away
0.56–2.80 safe0.27–3.09 saferRed cardstotal 0.14
0.09home
0.00–0.24 safe0.00–0.39 safer0.06away
0.00–0.25 safe0.00–0.40 saferGK savestotal 6.43
3.40home
1.98–4.81 safe1.59–5.20 safer3.03away
1.48–4.59 safe1.05–5.02 safer| Stat | Home | safe | safer | Away | safe | safer | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.71 | 0.75–2.67 | 0.49–2.93 | 1.39 | 0.53–2.25 | 0.28–2.50 | 3.100.77–5.43 |
| Shots on target | 4.57 | 2.71–6.42 | 2.21–6.92 | 4.85 | 3.15–6.56 | 2.68–7.03 | 9.424.89–13.95 |
| Total shots | 13.01 | 9.31–16.71 | 8.28–17.75 | 11.29 | 7.91–14.67 | 6.98–15.60 | 24.3015.26–33.34 |
| Shots in box | 3.40 | 0.88–5.92 | 0.02–6.78 | 5.20 | 2.90–7.50 | 2.10–8.30 | 8.602.12–15.08 |
| Blocked shots | 1.49 | 0.00–3.07 | 0.00–3.60 | 2.49 | 1.08–3.91 | 0.59–4.39 | 3.980.00–8.00 |
| Corners | 5.04 | 2.84–7.25 | 2.24–7.84 | 3.82 | 1.84–5.80 | 1.30–6.34 | 8.863.55–14.18 |
| Possession % | 50.77 | 44.45–57.08 | 42.85–58.68 | 48.87 | 42.55–55.19 | 40.95–56.78 | — |
| Passes | 413 | 348–479 | 330–496 | 383 | 318–447 | 300–465 | 796631–961 |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.57 | 68.35–76.79 | 67.05–78.09 | 71.97 | 67.46–76.48 | 66.13–77.81 | — |
| Fouls | 11.56 | 8.70–14.42 | 7.82–15.30 | 11.49 | 8.54–14.43 | 7.63–15.35 | 23.0515.44–30.66 |
| Offsides | 1.97 | 0.76–3.18 | 0.41–3.52 | 2.14 | 0.97–3.30 | 0.64–3.63 | 4.101.05–7.15 |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 | 0.52–2.63 | 0.25–2.90 | 1.68 | 0.56–2.80 | 0.27–3.09 | 3.250.51–5.99 |
| Red cards | 0.09 | 0.00–0.24 | 0.00–0.39 | 0.06 | 0.00–0.25 | 0.00–0.40 | 0.140.00–0.79 |
| GK saves | 3.40 | 1.98–4.81 | 1.59–5.20 | 3.03 | 1.48–4.59 | 1.05–5.02 | 6.432.64–10.22 |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic
Who wins each stat?
home draw away
Goals
45%
24%
31%
Shots on target
40%
13%
47%
Total shots
60%
33%
Shots in box
21%
67%
Blocked shots
22%
19%
60%
Corners
59%
28%
Fouls
46%
45%
Offsides
37%
20%
43%
Yellow cards
36%
23%
41%
Red cards
87%
GK saves
48%
16%
36%
Model-implied probabilities from the predicted rates (Poisson approximation, teams treated as independent).
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+