FA Cup· 3rd Round Qualifying· · referee: not announced
Predicted match statistics
Goalstotal 3.16
1.41home
0.45–2.38 safe0.19–2.64 safer1.75away
0.89–2.61 safe0.64–2.85 saferShots on targettotal 9.41
4.22home
2.36–6.07 safe1.86–6.57 safer5.19away
3.48–6.90 safe3.01–7.37 saferTotal shotstotal 25.52
12.44home
8.73–16.14 safe7.70–17.17 safer13.08away
9.70–16.46 safe8.77–17.39 saferShots in boxtotal 13.65
4.91home
2.39–7.42 safe1.53–8.29 safer8.74away
6.44–11.04 safe5.64–11.84 saferBlocked shotstotal 7.21
3.43home
1.84–5.01 safe1.31–5.55 safer3.79away
2.37–5.20 safe1.88–5.69 saferCornerstotal 9.00
3.88home
1.67–6.08 safe1.08–6.68 safer5.12away
3.15–7.10 safe2.61–7.64 saferPossession %
38.95home
32.63–45.27 safe31.04–46.86 safer59.95away
53.63–66.27 safe52.03–67.87 saferPassestotal 754
288home
222–353 safe205–371 safer466away
402–531 safe384–548 saferPass accuracy %
59.96home
55.75–64.18 safe54.45–65.48 safer75.02away
70.51–79.52 safe69.18–80.86 saferFoulstotal 23.44
11.54home
8.68–14.39 safe7.79–15.28 safer11.90away
8.96–14.85 safe8.04–15.76 saferOffsidestotal 3.74
1.78home
0.57–2.99 safe0.23–3.34 safer1.95away
0.79–3.12 safe0.46–3.45 saferYellow cardstotal 3.18
1.64home
0.59–2.70 safe0.32–2.97 safer1.54away
0.42–2.66 safe0.13–2.95 saferRed cardstotal 0.11
0.06home
0.00–0.22 safe0.00–0.37 safer0.04away
0.00–0.23 safe0.00–0.38 saferGK savestotal 5.83
2.72home
1.30–4.13 safe0.91–4.52 safer3.11away
1.56–4.67 safe1.13–5.10 safer| Stat | Home | safe | safer | Away | safe | safer | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.41 | 0.45–2.38 | 0.19–2.64 | 1.75 | 0.89–2.61 | 0.64–2.85 | 3.160.83–5.49 |
| Shots on target | 4.22 | 2.36–6.07 | 1.86–6.57 | 5.19 | 3.48–6.90 | 3.01–7.37 | 9.414.87–13.94 |
| Total shots | 12.44 | 8.73–16.14 | 7.70–17.17 | 13.08 | 9.70–16.46 | 8.77–17.39 | 25.5216.47–34.56 |
| Shots in box | 4.91 | 2.39–7.42 | 1.53–8.29 | 8.74 | 6.44–11.04 | 5.64–11.84 | 13.657.17–20.13 |
| Blocked shots | 3.43 | 1.84–5.01 | 1.31–5.55 | 3.79 | 2.37–5.20 | 1.88–5.69 | 7.213.19–11.23 |
| Corners | 3.88 | 1.67–6.08 | 1.08–6.68 | 5.12 | 3.15–7.10 | 2.61–7.64 | 9.003.69–14.32 |
| Possession % | 38.95 | 32.63–45.27 | 31.04–46.86 | 59.95 | 53.63–66.27 | 52.03–67.87 | — |
| Passes | 288 | 222–353 | 205–371 | 466 | 402–531 | 384–548 | 754589–919 |
| Pass accuracy % | 59.96 | 55.75–64.18 | 54.45–65.48 | 75.02 | 70.51–79.52 | 69.18–80.86 | — |
| Fouls | 11.54 | 8.68–14.39 | 7.79–15.28 | 11.90 | 8.96–14.85 | 8.04–15.76 | 23.4415.83–31.04 |
| Offsides | 1.78 | 0.57–2.99 | 0.23–3.34 | 1.95 | 0.79–3.12 | 0.46–3.45 | 3.740.69–6.79 |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 | 0.59–2.70 | 0.32–2.97 | 1.54 | 0.42–2.66 | 0.13–2.95 | 3.180.44–5.92 |
| Red cards | 0.06 | 0.00–0.22 | 0.00–0.37 | 0.04 | 0.00–0.23 | 0.00–0.38 | 0.110.00–0.75 |
| GK saves | 2.72 | 1.30–4.13 | 0.91–4.52 | 3.11 | 1.56–4.67 | 1.13–5.10 | 5.832.04–9.62 |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic
Who wins each stat?
home draw away
Goals
31%
23%
46%
Shots on target
31%
56%
Total shots
41%
51%
Shots in box
82%
Blocked shots
37%
15%
48%
Corners
28%
60%
Fouls
43%
49%
Offsides
36%
21%
43%
Yellow cards
41%
23%
36%
Red cards
90%
GK saves
35%
17%
48%
Model-implied probabilities from the predicted rates (Poisson approximation, teams treated as independent).
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+