FA Cup· 3rd Round Qualifying· · referee: not announced
Predicted match statistics
squad not published · form-based estimateGoalstotal 2.81
1.43home
0.46–2.39 safe0.20–2.65 safer1.39away
0.53–2.25 safe0.28–2.49 saferShots on targettotal 9.56
5.18home
3.32–7.04 safe2.83–7.54 safer4.38away
2.67–6.09 safe2.21–6.56 saferTotal shotstotal 19.83
10.62home
6.92–14.33 safe5.89–15.36 safer9.21away
5.83–12.59 safe4.90–13.52 saferShots in boxtotal 1.60
0.88home
0.00–3.39 safe0.00–4.26 safer0.72away
0.00–3.02 safe0.00–3.82 saferBlocked shotstotal 0.84
0.49home
0.00–2.07 safe0.00–2.61 safer0.35away
0.00–1.76 safe0.00–2.25 saferCornerstotal 8.82
5.13home
2.92–7.33 safe2.33–7.93 safer3.69away
1.71–5.67 safe1.17–6.21 saferPossession %
49.67home
43.35–55.98 safe41.75–57.58 safer50.88away
44.56–57.20 safe42.96–58.80 saferPassestotal 777
374home
309–439 safe291–457 safer403away
339–468 safe321–485 saferPass accuracy %
66.44home
62.23–70.66 safe60.93–71.96 safer70.07away
65.56–74.57 safe64.23–75.90 saferFoulstotal 26.09
13.16home
10.30–16.02 safe9.42–16.90 safer12.93away
9.99–15.88 safe9.07–16.80 saferOffsidestotal 1.16
0.56home
0.00–1.77 safe0.00–2.11 safer0.60away
0.00–1.77 safe0.00–2.10 saferYellow cardstotal 3.23
1.46home
0.40–2.51 safe0.13–2.78 safer1.78away
0.66–2.90 safe0.37–3.19 saferRed cardstotal 0.18
0.11home
0.00–0.26 safe0.00–0.42 safer0.07away
0.00–0.26 safe0.00–0.40 saferGK savestotal 2.05
0.88home
0.00–2.29 safe0.00–2.68 safer1.17away
0.00–2.73 safe0.00–3.16 safer| Stat | Home | safe | safer | Away | safe | safer | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.43 | 0.46–2.39 | 0.20–2.65 | 1.39 | 0.53–2.25 | 0.28–2.49 | 2.810.49–5.14 |
| Shots on target | 5.18 | 3.32–7.04 | 2.83–7.54 | 4.38 | 2.67–6.09 | 2.21–6.56 | 9.565.03–14.09 |
| Total shots | 10.62 | 6.92–14.33 | 5.89–15.36 | 9.21 | 5.83–12.59 | 4.90–13.52 | 19.8310.79–28.88 |
| Shots in box | 0.88 | 0.00–3.39 | 0.00–4.26 | 0.72 | 0.00–3.02 | 0.00–3.82 | 1.600.00–8.08 |
| Blocked shots | 0.49 | 0.00–2.07 | 0.00–2.61 | 0.35 | 0.00–1.76 | 0.00–2.25 | 0.840.00–4.86 |
| Corners | 5.13 | 2.92–7.33 | 2.33–7.93 | 3.69 | 1.71–5.67 | 1.17–6.21 | 8.823.50–14.13 |
| Possession % | 49.67 | 43.35–55.98 | 41.75–57.58 | 50.88 | 44.56–57.20 | 42.96–58.80 | — |
| Passes | 374 | 309–439 | 291–457 | 403 | 339–468 | 321–485 | 777612–942 |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.44 | 62.23–70.66 | 60.93–71.96 | 70.07 | 65.56–74.57 | 64.23–75.90 | — |
| Fouls | 13.16 | 10.30–16.02 | 9.42–16.90 | 12.93 | 9.99–15.88 | 9.07–16.80 | 26.0918.49–33.70 |
| Offsides | 0.56 | 0.00–1.77 | 0.00–2.11 | 0.60 | 0.00–1.77 | 0.00–2.10 | 1.160.00–4.21 |
| Yellow cards | 1.46 | 0.40–2.51 | 0.13–2.78 | 1.78 | 0.66–2.90 | 0.37–3.19 | 3.230.49–5.97 |
| Red cards | 0.11 | 0.00–0.26 | 0.00–0.42 | 0.07 | 0.00–0.26 | 0.00–0.40 | 0.180.00–0.82 |
| GK saves | 0.88 | 0.00–2.29 | 0.00–2.68 | 1.17 | 0.00–2.73 | 0.00–3.16 | 2.050.00–5.84 |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic
Who wins each stat?
home draw away
Goals
38%
25%
37%
Shots on target
54%
34%
Total shots
58%
33%
Shots in box
37%
35%
28%
Blocked shots
30%
51%
19%
Corners
62%
25%
Fouls
48%
44%
Offsides
27%
43%
30%
Yellow cards
32%
23%
45%
Red cards
84%
GK saves
27%
30%
43%
Model-implied probabilities from the predicted rates (Poisson approximation, teams treated as independent).
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+