FA Cup· 3rd Round Qualifying· · referee: not announced
Predicted match statistics
Goalstotal 3.14
1.84home
0.88–2.81 safe0.62–3.07 safer1.30away
0.44–2.16 safe0.19–2.40 saferShots on targettotal 10.04
5.39home
3.53–7.24 safe3.03–7.74 safer4.65away
2.94–6.36 safe2.47–6.82 saferTotal shotstotal 24.40
12.62home
8.92–16.33 safe7.89–17.36 safer11.78away
8.40–15.16 safe7.47–16.09 saferShots in boxtotal 17.88
10.33home
7.82–12.85 safe6.95–13.71 safer7.54away
5.24–9.85 safe4.45–10.64 saferBlocked shotstotal 7.38
4.08home
2.49–5.66 safe1.96–6.20 safer3.31away
1.89–4.72 safe1.40–5.21 saferCornerstotal 8.33
4.27home
2.06–6.48 safe1.47–7.07 safer4.06away
2.08–6.04 safe1.55–6.58 saferPossession %
51.32home
45.00–57.64 safe43.41–59.24 safer48.22away
41.90–54.54 safe40.30–56.14 saferPassestotal 804
415home
350–481 safe332–498 safer389away
324–453 safe306–471 saferPass accuracy %
75.02home
70.80–79.23 safe69.50–80.53 safer72.04away
67.53–76.54 safe66.20–77.87 saferFoulstotal 24.48
11.68home
8.82–14.53 safe7.93–15.42 safer12.81away
9.86–15.75 safe8.94–16.67 saferOffsidestotal 3.44
1.65home
0.45–2.86 safe0.10–3.21 safer1.78away
0.62–2.94 safe0.29–3.28 saferYellow cardstotal 3.35
1.65home
0.60–2.71 safe0.32–2.98 safer1.70away
0.58–2.82 safe0.29–3.11 saferRed cardstotal 0.11
0.06home
0.00–0.22 safe0.00–0.37 safer0.05away
0.00–0.24 safe0.00–0.39 saferGK savestotal 5.44
2.45home
1.04–3.87 safe0.65–4.26 safer2.99away
1.43–4.54 safe1.00–4.97 safer| Stat | Home | safe | safer | Away | safe | safer | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.84 | 0.88–2.81 | 0.62–3.07 | 1.30 | 0.44–2.16 | 0.19–2.40 | 3.140.81–5.47 |
| Shots on target | 5.39 | 3.53–7.24 | 3.03–7.74 | 4.65 | 2.94–6.36 | 2.47–6.82 | 10.045.51–14.57 |
| Total shots | 12.62 | 8.92–16.33 | 7.89–17.36 | 11.78 | 8.40–15.16 | 7.47–16.09 | 24.4015.36–33.45 |
| Shots in box | 10.33 | 7.82–12.85 | 6.95–13.71 | 7.54 | 5.24–9.85 | 4.45–10.64 | 17.8811.40–24.36 |
| Blocked shots | 4.08 | 2.49–5.66 | 1.96–6.20 | 3.31 | 1.89–4.72 | 1.40–5.21 | 7.383.36–11.40 |
| Corners | 4.27 | 2.06–6.48 | 1.47–7.07 | 4.06 | 2.08–6.04 | 1.55–6.58 | 8.333.02–13.65 |
| Possession % | 51.32 | 45.00–57.64 | 43.41–59.24 | 48.22 | 41.90–54.54 | 40.30–56.14 | — |
| Passes | 415 | 350–481 | 332–498 | 389 | 324–453 | 306–471 | 804639–969 |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.02 | 70.80–79.23 | 69.50–80.53 | 72.04 | 67.53–76.54 | 66.20–77.87 | — |
| Fouls | 11.68 | 8.82–14.53 | 7.93–15.42 | 12.81 | 9.86–15.75 | 8.94–16.67 | 24.4816.87–32.09 |
| Offsides | 1.65 | 0.45–2.86 | 0.10–3.21 | 1.78 | 0.62–2.94 | 0.29–3.28 | 3.440.39–6.49 |
| Yellow cards | 1.65 | 0.60–2.71 | 0.32–2.98 | 1.70 | 0.58–2.82 | 0.29–3.11 | 3.350.61–6.09 |
| Red cards | 0.06 | 0.00–0.22 | 0.00–0.37 | 0.05 | 0.00–0.24 | 0.00–0.39 | 0.110.00–0.76 |
| GK saves | 2.45 | 1.04–3.87 | 0.65–4.26 | 2.99 | 1.43–4.54 | 1.00–4.97 | 5.441.65–9.23 |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic
Who wins each stat?
home draw away
Goals
50%
23%
27%
Shots on target
53%
35%
Total shots
53%
39%
Shots in box
71%
22%
Blocked shots
54%
14%
32%
Corners
46%
14%
40%
Fouls
37%
55%
Offsides
36%
22%
41%
Yellow cards
38%
23%
40%
Red cards
89%
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
Model-implied probabilities from the predicted rates (Poisson approximation, teams treated as independent).
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+