FA Cup· 3rd Round Qualifying· · referee: not announced
Predicted match statistics
Goalstotal 2.86
1.48home
0.52–2.45 safe0.26–2.71 safer1.38away
0.52–2.24 safe0.27–2.49 saferShots on targettotal 10.06
6.00home
4.15–7.86 safe3.65–8.36 safer4.05away
2.35–5.76 safe1.88–6.23 saferTotal shotstotal 22.75
13.90home
10.19–17.60 safe9.16–18.63 safer8.85away
5.47–12.23 safe4.54–13.16 saferShots in boxtotal 13.72
5.33home
2.82–7.85 safe1.95–8.71 safer8.39away
6.09–10.69 safe5.29–11.48 saferBlocked shotstotal 6.65
3.12home
1.53–4.70 safe1.00–5.23 safer3.54away
2.12–4.95 safe1.63–5.44 saferCornerstotal 9.20
5.00home
2.80–7.21 safe2.20–7.81 safer4.19away
2.22–6.17 safe1.68–6.71 saferPossession %
47.30home
40.98–53.62 safe39.39–55.21 safer52.09away
45.77–58.41 safe44.17–60.01 saferPassestotal 770
359home
293–424 safe276–441 safer411away
347–476 safe329–494 saferPass accuracy %
63.18home
58.96–67.40 safe57.66–68.70 safer70.18away
65.68–74.69 safe64.35–76.02 saferFoulstotal 25.36
12.31home
9.45–15.17 safe8.57–16.05 safer13.05away
10.11–16.00 safe9.19–16.92 saferOffsidestotal 3.37
1.58home
0.37–2.78 safe0.02–3.13 safer1.79away
0.63–2.96 safe0.30–3.29 saferYellow cardstotal 3.38
1.63home
0.58–2.69 safe0.31–2.96 safer1.74away
0.62–2.86 safe0.33–3.15 saferRed cardstotal 0.11
0.07home
0.00–0.22 safe0.00–0.37 safer0.04away
0.00–0.23 safe0.00–0.38 saferGK savestotal 5.16
2.13home
0.71–3.54 safe0.32–3.93 safer3.03away
1.48–4.59 safe1.05–5.02 safer| Stat | Home | safe | safer | Away | safe | safer | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 | 0.52–2.45 | 0.26–2.71 | 1.38 | 0.52–2.24 | 0.27–2.49 | 2.860.53–5.19 |
| Shots on target | 6.00 | 4.15–7.86 | 3.65–8.36 | 4.05 | 2.35–5.76 | 1.88–6.23 | 10.065.53–14.59 |
| Total shots | 13.90 | 10.19–17.60 | 9.16–18.63 | 8.85 | 5.47–12.23 | 4.54–13.16 | 22.7513.70–31.79 |
| Shots in box | 5.33 | 2.82–7.85 | 1.95–8.71 | 8.39 | 6.09–10.69 | 5.29–11.48 | 13.727.24–20.20 |
| Blocked shots | 3.12 | 1.53–4.70 | 1.00–5.23 | 3.54 | 2.12–4.95 | 1.63–5.44 | 6.652.63–10.67 |
| Corners | 5.00 | 2.80–7.21 | 2.20–7.81 | 4.19 | 2.22–6.17 | 1.68–6.71 | 9.203.88–14.51 |
| Possession % | 47.30 | 40.98–53.62 | 39.39–55.21 | 52.09 | 45.77–58.41 | 44.17–60.01 | — |
| Passes | 359 | 293–424 | 276–441 | 411 | 347–476 | 329–494 | 770605–935 |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.18 | 58.96–67.40 | 57.66–68.70 | 70.18 | 65.68–74.69 | 64.35–76.02 | — |
| Fouls | 12.31 | 9.45–15.17 | 8.57–16.05 | 13.05 | 10.11–16.00 | 9.19–16.92 | 25.3617.76–32.97 |
| Offsides | 1.58 | 0.37–2.78 | 0.02–3.13 | 1.79 | 0.63–2.96 | 0.30–3.29 | 3.370.32–6.42 |
| Yellow cards | 1.63 | 0.58–2.69 | 0.31–2.96 | 1.74 | 0.62–2.86 | 0.33–3.15 | 3.380.64–6.11 |
| Red cards | 0.07 | 0.00–0.22 | 0.00–0.37 | 0.04 | 0.00–0.23 | 0.00–0.38 | 0.110.00–0.75 |
| GK saves | 2.13 | 0.71–3.54 | 0.32–3.93 | 3.03 | 1.48–4.59 | 1.05–5.02 | 5.161.37–8.95 |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic
Who wins each stat?
home draw away
Goals
40%
25%
35%
Shots on target
68%
22%
Total shots
83%
Shots in box
17%
76%
Blocked shots
36%
16%
49%
Corners
54%
33%
Fouls
40%
52%
Offsides
34%
23%
43%
Yellow cards
36%
23%
41%
Red cards
90%
GK saves
26%
17%
57%
Model-implied probabilities from the predicted rates (Poisson approximation, teams treated as independent).
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+