FA Cup· 3rd Round Qualifying· · referee: not announced
Predicted match statistics
squad not published · form-based estimateGoalstotal 2.93
1.64home
0.68–2.60 safe0.42–2.86 safer1.29away
0.43–2.15 safe0.18–2.39 saferShots on targettotal 8.62
5.52home
3.66–7.38 safe3.16–7.87 safer3.10away
1.39–4.81 safe0.92–5.27 saferTotal shotstotal 23.03
14.39home
10.69–18.10 safe9.66–19.13 safer8.64away
5.26–12.01 safe4.33–12.94 saferShots in boxtotal 9.22
3.54home
1.02–6.06 safe0.16–6.92 safer5.68away
3.37–7.98 safe2.58–8.77 saferBlocked shotstotal 4.46
2.36home
0.78–3.95 safe0.24–4.48 safer2.10away
0.68–3.51 safe0.20–4.00 saferCornerstotal 9.65
5.17home
2.96–7.37 safe2.37–7.97 safer4.48away
2.50–6.46 safe1.97–7.00 saferPossession %
48.07home
41.75–54.38 safe40.15–55.98 safer51.93away
45.61–58.25 safe44.01–59.85 saferPassestotal 723
346home
281–412 safe263–429 safer377away
312–441 safe295–459 saferPass accuracy %
65.80home
61.58–70.02 safe60.28–71.32 safer70.24away
65.73–74.74 safe64.40–76.07 saferFoulstotal 24.79
11.69home
8.84–14.55 safe7.95–15.44 safer13.10away
10.15–16.04 safe9.24–16.96 saferOffsidestotal 3.76
1.93home
0.72–3.14 safe0.37–3.48 safer1.83away
0.67–2.99 safe0.33–3.32 saferYellow cardstotal 3.25
1.53home
0.47–2.58 safe0.20–2.85 safer1.72away
0.60–2.84 safe0.31–3.13 saferRed cardstotal 0.11
0.07home
0.00–0.22 safe0.00–0.37 safer0.04away
0.00–0.24 safe0.00–0.38 saferGK savestotal 5.34
2.00home
0.59–3.42 safe0.20–3.81 safer3.34away
1.78–4.89 safe1.35–5.32 safer| Stat | Home | safe | safer | Away | safe | safer | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.64 | 0.68–2.60 | 0.42–2.86 | 1.29 | 0.43–2.15 | 0.18–2.39 | 2.930.60–5.26 |
| Shots on target | 5.52 | 3.66–7.38 | 3.16–7.87 | 3.10 | 1.39–4.81 | 0.92–5.27 | 8.624.09–13.15 |
| Total shots | 14.39 | 10.69–18.10 | 9.66–19.13 | 8.64 | 5.26–12.01 | 4.33–12.94 | 23.0313.98–32.07 |
| Shots in box | 3.54 | 1.02–6.06 | 0.16–6.92 | 5.68 | 3.37–7.98 | 2.58–8.77 | 9.222.74–15.69 |
| Blocked shots | 2.36 | 0.78–3.95 | 0.24–4.48 | 2.10 | 0.68–3.51 | 0.20–4.00 | 4.460.44–8.48 |
| Corners | 5.17 | 2.96–7.37 | 2.37–7.97 | 4.48 | 2.50–6.46 | 1.97–7.00 | 9.654.33–14.97 |
| Possession % | 48.07 | 41.75–54.38 | 40.15–55.98 | 51.93 | 45.61–58.25 | 44.01–59.85 | — |
| Passes | 346 | 281–412 | 263–429 | 377 | 312–441 | 295–459 | 723558–888 |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.80 | 61.58–70.02 | 60.28–71.32 | 70.24 | 65.73–74.74 | 64.40–76.07 | — |
| Fouls | 11.69 | 8.84–14.55 | 7.95–15.44 | 13.10 | 10.15–16.04 | 9.24–16.96 | 24.7917.19–32.40 |
| Offsides | 1.93 | 0.72–3.14 | 0.37–3.48 | 1.83 | 0.67–2.99 | 0.33–3.32 | 3.760.71–6.80 |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 | 0.47–2.58 | 0.20–2.85 | 1.72 | 0.60–2.84 | 0.31–3.13 | 3.250.51–5.99 |
| Red cards | 0.07 | 0.00–0.22 | 0.00–0.37 | 0.04 | 0.00–0.24 | 0.00–0.38 | 0.110.00–0.75 |
| GK saves | 2.00 | 0.59–3.42 | 0.20–3.81 | 3.34 | 1.78–4.89 | 1.35–5.32 | 5.341.55–9.13 |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic
Who wins each stat?
home draw away
Goals
46%
24%
30%
Shots on target
74%
16%
Total shots
86%
Shots in box
19%
70%
Blocked shots
45%
19%
35%
Corners
52%
35%
Fouls
35%
57%
Offsides
41%
21%
37%
Yellow cards
34%
23%
43%
Red cards
90%
GK saves
21%
15%
64%
Model-implied probabilities from the predicted rates (Poisson approximation, teams treated as independent).
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+