FA Cup· 3rd Round Qualifying· · referee: not announced
Predicted match statistics
squad not published · form-based estimateGoalstotal 2.89
1.75home
0.78–2.71 safe0.52–2.97 safer1.15away
0.29–2.01 safe0.04–2.25 saferShots on targettotal 8.64
5.18home
3.32–7.03 safe2.82–7.53 safer3.47away
1.76–5.17 safe1.29–5.64 saferTotal shotstotal 21.16
12.39home
8.69–16.09 safe7.66–17.13 safer8.76away
5.39–12.14 safe4.46–13.07 saferShots in boxtotal 2.57
1.46home
0.00–3.97 safe0.00–4.84 safer1.11away
0.00–3.41 safe0.00–4.21 saferBlocked shotstotal 0.78
0.45home
0.00–2.04 safe0.00–2.57 safer0.32away
0.00–1.74 safe0.00–2.22 saferCornerstotal 10.03
5.77home
3.56–7.97 safe2.97–8.57 safer4.26away
2.28–6.24 safe1.75–6.78 saferPossession %
49.43home
43.11–55.74 safe41.51–57.34 safer50.18away
43.86–56.50 safe42.26–58.09 saferPassestotal 753
364home
299–429 safe281–447 safer389away
324–453 safe307–471 saferPass accuracy %
66.81home
62.60–71.03 safe61.30–72.33 safer70.74away
66.23–75.24 safe64.90–76.57 saferFoulstotal 26.37
13.14home
10.28–16.00 safe9.40–16.88 safer13.24away
10.29–16.18 safe9.37–17.10 saferOffsidestotal 1.55
1.07home
0.00–2.28 safe0.00–2.63 safer0.48away
0.00–1.64 safe0.00–1.97 saferYellow cardstotal 3.40
1.52home
0.46–2.57 safe0.19–2.85 safer1.88away
0.76–3.00 safe0.47–3.29 saferRed cardstotal 0.15
0.08home
0.00–0.23 safe0.00–0.39 safer0.07away
0.00–0.26 safe0.00–0.41 saferGK savestotal 3.45
1.34home
0.00–2.75 safe0.00–3.14 safer2.11away
0.55–3.66 safe0.12–4.09 safer| Stat | Home | safe | safer | Away | safe | safer | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.75 | 0.78–2.71 | 0.52–2.97 | 1.15 | 0.29–2.01 | 0.04–2.25 | 2.890.56–5.22 |
| Shots on target | 5.18 | 3.32–7.03 | 2.82–7.53 | 3.47 | 1.76–5.17 | 1.29–5.64 | 8.644.11–13.17 |
| Total shots | 12.39 | 8.69–16.09 | 7.66–17.13 | 8.76 | 5.39–12.14 | 4.46–13.07 | 21.1612.11–30.20 |
| Shots in box | 1.46 | 0.00–3.97 | 0.00–4.84 | 1.11 | 0.00–3.41 | 0.00–4.21 | 2.570.00–9.04 |
| Blocked shots | 0.45 | 0.00–2.04 | 0.00–2.57 | 0.32 | 0.00–1.74 | 0.00–2.22 | 0.780.00–4.80 |
| Corners | 5.77 | 3.56–7.97 | 2.97–8.57 | 4.26 | 2.28–6.24 | 1.75–6.78 | 10.034.71–15.34 |
| Possession % | 49.43 | 43.11–55.74 | 41.51–57.34 | 50.18 | 43.86–56.50 | 42.26–58.09 | — |
| Passes | 364 | 299–429 | 281–447 | 389 | 324–453 | 307–471 | 753588–918 |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.81 | 62.60–71.03 | 61.30–72.33 | 70.74 | 66.23–75.24 | 64.90–76.57 | — |
| Fouls | 13.14 | 10.28–16.00 | 9.40–16.88 | 13.24 | 10.29–16.18 | 9.37–17.10 | 26.3718.77–33.98 |
| Offsides | 1.07 | 0.00–2.28 | 0.00–2.63 | 0.48 | 0.00–1.64 | 0.00–1.97 | 1.550.00–4.60 |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 | 0.46–2.57 | 0.19–2.85 | 1.88 | 0.76–3.00 | 0.47–3.29 | 3.400.66–6.14 |
| Red cards | 0.08 | 0.00–0.23 | 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 | 0.00–0.26 | 0.00–0.41 | 0.150.00–0.79 |
| GK saves | 1.34 | 0.00–2.75 | 0.00–3.14 | 2.11 | 0.55–3.66 | 0.12–4.09 | 3.450.00–7.24 |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic
Who wins each stat?
home draw away
Goals
51%
24%
25%
Shots on target
66%
22%
Total shots
75%
18%
Shots in box
45%
26%
29%
Blocked shots
28%
53%
19%
Corners
62%
26%
Fouls
45%
47%
Offsides
50%
34%
16%
Yellow cards
31%
22%
46%
Red cards
87%
GK saves
24%
21%
55%
Model-implied probabilities from the predicted rates (Poisson approximation, teams treated as independent).
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+