FA Cup· 3rd Round Qualifying· · referee: not announced
Predicted match statistics
squad not published · form-based estimateGoalstotal 2.90
1.74home
0.77–2.70 safe0.51–2.96 safer1.17away
0.31–2.03 safe0.06–2.27 saferShots on targettotal 9.84
5.38home
3.53–7.24 safe3.03–7.74 safer4.45away
2.75–6.16 safe2.28–6.63 saferTotal shotstotal 27.23
15.34home
11.64–19.05 safe10.61–20.08 safer11.88away
8.50–15.26 safe7.57–16.19 saferShots in boxtotal 10.84
7.65home
5.14–10.17 safe4.27–11.03 safer3.19away
0.89–5.49 safe0.09–6.29 saferBlocked shotstotal 4.39
2.73home
1.14–4.31 safe0.61–4.85 safer1.66away
0.25–3.08 safe0.00–3.56 saferCornerstotal 9.44
5.04home
2.83–7.25 safe2.24–7.84 safer4.40away
2.42–6.38 safe1.89–6.92 saferPossession %
53.51home
47.19–59.82 safe45.59–61.42 safer45.97away
39.65–52.29 safe38.05–53.88 saferPassestotal 772
439home
373–504 safe356–522 safer333away
269–398 safe251–415 saferPass accuracy %
77.29home
73.07–81.50 safe71.77–82.80 safer67.76away
63.25–72.26 safe61.92–73.59 saferFoulstotal 23.35
11.41home
8.55–14.26 safe7.66–15.15 safer11.94away
9.00–14.89 safe8.08–15.81 saferOffsidestotal 4.35
2.24home
1.03–3.45 safe0.69–3.79 safer2.11away
0.95–3.27 safe0.61–3.60 saferYellow cardstotal 3.48
1.59home
0.54–2.65 safe0.27–2.92 safer1.89away
0.77–3.01 safe0.48–3.30 saferRed cardstotal 0.19
0.10home
0.00–0.25 safe0.00–0.40 safer0.09away
0.00–0.28 safe0.00–0.43 saferGK savestotal 6.25
3.13home
1.71–4.54 safe1.32–4.93 safer3.12away
1.56–4.67 safe1.13–5.10 safer| Stat | Home | safe | safer | Away | safe | safer | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.74 | 0.77–2.70 | 0.51–2.96 | 1.17 | 0.31–2.03 | 0.06–2.27 | 2.900.57–5.23 |
| Shots on target | 5.38 | 3.53–7.24 | 3.03–7.74 | 4.45 | 2.75–6.16 | 2.28–6.63 | 9.845.31–14.37 |
| Total shots | 15.34 | 11.64–19.05 | 10.61–20.08 | 11.88 | 8.50–15.26 | 7.57–16.19 | 27.2318.18–36.27 |
| Shots in box | 7.65 | 5.14–10.17 | 4.27–11.03 | 3.19 | 0.89–5.49 | 0.09–6.29 | 10.844.36–17.32 |
| Blocked shots | 2.73 | 1.14–4.31 | 0.61–4.85 | 1.66 | 0.25–3.08 | 0.00–3.56 | 4.390.37–8.41 |
| Corners | 5.04 | 2.83–7.25 | 2.24–7.84 | 4.40 | 2.42–6.38 | 1.89–6.92 | 9.444.13–14.76 |
| Possession % | 53.51 | 47.19–59.82 | 45.59–61.42 | 45.97 | 39.65–52.29 | 38.05–53.88 | — |
| Passes | 439 | 373–504 | 356–522 | 333 | 269–398 | 251–415 | 772607–937 |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.29 | 73.07–81.50 | 71.77–82.80 | 67.76 | 63.25–72.26 | 61.92–73.59 | — |
| Fouls | 11.41 | 8.55–14.26 | 7.66–15.15 | 11.94 | 9.00–14.89 | 8.08–15.81 | 23.3515.74–30.95 |
| Offsides | 2.24 | 1.03–3.45 | 0.69–3.79 | 2.11 | 0.95–3.27 | 0.61–3.60 | 4.351.30–7.40 |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 | 0.54–2.65 | 0.27–2.92 | 1.89 | 0.77–3.01 | 0.48–3.30 | 3.480.74–6.22 |
| Red cards | 0.10 | 0.00–0.25 | 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 | 0.00–0.28 | 0.00–0.43 | 0.190.00–0.83 |
| GK saves | 3.13 | 1.71–4.54 | 1.32–4.93 | 3.12 | 1.56–4.67 | 1.13–5.10 | 6.252.46–10.03 |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic
Who wins each stat?
home draw away
Goals
51%
24%
26%
Shots on target
55%
32%
Total shots
71%
22%
Shots in box
89%
Blocked shots
60%
18%
22%
Corners
52%
35%
Fouls
41%
50%
Offsides
43%
20%
38%
Yellow cards
33%
22%
45%
Red cards
84%
GK saves
42%
16%
42%
Model-implied probabilities from the predicted rates (Poisson approximation, teams treated as independent).
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+