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VS
BraintreePredicted match statistics
Goals
26%
23%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.853.09safe0.28–2.200.99–2.711.26–4.91safer0.02–2.460.74–2.960.76–5.42
Shots on target
46%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.334.138.46safe2.47–6.182.42–5.834.89–12.02safer1.97–6.681.95–6.303.92–12.99
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1710.6723.83safe9.46–16.877.29–14.0516.75–30.92safer8.43–17.906.36–14.9814.79–32.88
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction4.769.2514.01safe2.24–7.276.95–11.559.19–18.83safer1.38–8.146.15–12.357.53–20.49
Blocked shots
33%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.753.336.09safe1.17–4.341.92–4.753.09–9.08safer0.64–4.871.43–5.232.07–10.11
Corners
43%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.814.819.62safe2.60–7.012.83–6.795.43–13.80safer2.01–7.612.29–7.334.30–14.93
Possession %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction42.8756.33safe36.56–49.1950.01–62.65safer34.96–50.7948.42–64.25
Passes
14%
86%
homeawaytotalprediction327451778safe261–392387–516648–908safer244–410369–534613–943
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction63.5574.35safe59.34–67.7769.84–78.85safer58.04–69.0768.51–80.18
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7813.1425.92safe9.92–15.6310.20–16.0920.12–31.72safer9.03–16.529.28–17.0018.31–33.52
Offsides
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.772.063.83safe0.56–2.980.90–3.231.46–6.21safer0.22–3.320.57–3.560.78–6.88
Yellow cards
34%
25%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.522.88safe0.31–2.420.40–2.640.70–5.05safer0.03–2.690.11–2.930.14–5.62
Red cards
91%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.040.10safe0.00–0.210.00–0.230.00–0.45safer0.00–0.370.00–0.380.00–0.74
GK saves
32%
17%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.433.025.45safe1.02–3.841.46–4.572.48–8.42safer0.63–4.231.03–5.001.66–9.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.28–2.20 0.02–2.46 | 1.85 0.99–2.71 0.74–2.96 | 3.09 1.26–4.91 0.76–5.42 | 26% 23% 52% |
| Shots on target | 4.33 2.47–6.18 1.97–6.68 | 4.13 2.42–5.83 1.95–6.30 | 8.46 4.89–12.02 3.92–12.99 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Total shots | 13.17 9.46–16.87 8.43–17.90 | 10.67 7.29–14.05 6.36–14.98 | 23.83 16.75–30.92 14.79–32.88 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 4.76 2.24–7.27 1.38–8.14 | 9.25 6.95–11.55 6.15–12.35 | 14.01 9.19–18.83 7.53–20.49 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 2.75 1.17–4.34 0.64–4.87 | 3.33 1.92–4.75 1.43–5.23 | 6.09 3.09–9.08 2.07–10.11 | 33% 16% 51% |
| Corners | 4.81 2.60–7.01 2.01–7.61 | 4.81 2.83–6.79 2.29–7.33 | 9.62 5.43–13.80 4.30–14.93 | 43% 13% 44% |
| Possession % | 42.87 36.56–49.19 34.96–50.79 | 56.33 50.01–62.65 48.42–64.25 | — | 18% 78% |
| Passes | 327 261–392 244–410 | 451 387–516 369–534 | 778 648–908 613–943 | 14% 86% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.55 59.34–67.77 58.04–69.07 | 74.35 69.84–78.85 68.51–80.18 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 12.78 9.92–15.63 9.03–16.52 | 13.14 10.20–16.09 9.28–17.00 | 25.92 20.12–31.72 18.31–33.52 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.56–2.98 0.22–3.32 | 2.06 0.90–3.23 0.57–3.56 | 3.83 1.46–6.21 0.78–6.88 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.36 0.31–2.42 0.03–2.69 | 1.52 0.40–2.64 0.11–2.93 | 2.88 0.70–5.05 0.14–5.62 | 34% 25% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.37 | 0.04 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.45 0.00–0.74 | 91% |
| GK saves | 2.43 1.02–3.84 0.63–4.23 | 3.02 1.46–4.57 1.03–5.00 | 5.45 2.48–8.42 1.66–9.24 | 32% 17% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+