FA Cup·3rd Round Qualifying·FA Cup·3rd Round Qualifying·Brentwood Town
VS
Dagenham & RedbridgePredicted match statistics
Goals
34%
26%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.422.71safe0.33–2.260.56–2.280.89–4.53safer0.07–2.520.31–2.520.38–5.04
Shots on target
55%
13%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.713.838.55safe2.86–6.572.13–5.544.98–12.11safer2.36–7.071.66–6.014.01–13.08
Total shots
73%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction13.389.9623.34safe9.68–17.086.58–13.3416.26–30.42safer8.65–18.125.65–14.2714.30–32.39
Shots in box
18%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction5.598.4514.04safe3.07–8.106.15–10.759.22–18.85safer2.20–8.975.35–11.557.56–20.51
Blocked shots
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.303.556.85safe1.72–4.882.14–4.973.85–9.85safer1.18–5.421.65–5.452.83–10.87
Corners
49%
13%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.774.309.07safe2.56–6.972.32–6.284.89–13.25safer1.97–7.571.79–6.823.76–14.39
Possession %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction48.9050.64safe42.58–55.2244.32–56.96safer40.99–56.8142.73–58.56
Passes
45%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction367382749safe301–432318–447619–879safer284–450300–464584–914
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction64.5870.49safe60.36–68.7965.99–75.00safer59.06–70.0964.66–76.33
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1712.2625.43safe10.32–16.039.32–15.2119.63–31.24safer9.43–16.928.40–16.1217.83–33.04
Offsides
38%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.923.79safe0.66–3.080.76–3.081.42–6.16safer0.32–3.420.42–3.410.74–6.84
Yellow cards
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.743.32safe0.53–2.640.62–2.861.15–5.50safer0.26–2.910.33–3.150.59–6.06
Red cards
90%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.050.11safe0.00–0.220.00–0.240.00–0.46safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.633.175.80safe1.21–4.041.62–4.732.83–8.77safer0.82–4.431.19–5.162.01–9.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.33–2.26 0.07–2.52 | 1.42 0.56–2.28 0.31–2.52 | 2.71 0.89–4.53 0.38–5.04 | 34% 26% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.71 2.86–6.57 2.36–7.07 | 3.83 2.13–5.54 1.66–6.01 | 8.55 4.98–12.11 4.01–13.08 | 55% 13% 32% |
| Total shots | 13.38 9.68–17.08 8.65–18.12 | 9.96 6.58–13.34 5.65–14.27 | 23.34 16.26–30.42 14.30–32.39 | 73% 21% |
| Shots in box | 5.59 3.07–8.10 2.20–8.97 | 8.45 6.15–10.75 5.35–11.55 | 14.04 9.22–18.85 7.56–20.51 | 18% 74% |
| Blocked shots | 3.30 1.72–4.88 1.18–5.42 | 3.55 2.14–4.97 1.65–5.45 | 6.85 3.85–9.85 2.83–10.87 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 4.77 2.56–6.97 1.97–7.57 | 4.30 2.32–6.28 1.79–6.82 | 9.07 4.89–13.25 3.76–14.39 | 49% 13% 37% |
| Possession % | 48.90 42.58–55.22 40.99–56.81 | 50.64 44.32–56.96 42.73–58.56 | — | 43% 52% |
| Passes | 367 301–432 284–450 | 382 318–447 300–464 | 749 619–879 584–914 | 45% 55% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.58 60.36–68.79 59.06–70.09 | 70.49 65.99–75.00 64.66–76.33 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 13.17 10.32–16.03 9.43–16.92 | 12.26 9.32–15.21 8.40–16.12 | 25.43 19.63–31.24 17.83–33.04 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.66–3.08 0.32–3.42 | 1.92 0.76–3.08 0.42–3.41 | 3.79 1.42–6.16 0.74–6.84 | 38% 21% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.53–2.64 0.26–2.91 | 1.74 0.62–2.86 0.33–3.15 | 3.32 1.15–5.50 0.59–6.06 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.05 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.76 | 90% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.21–4.04 0.82–4.43 | 3.17 1.62–4.73 1.19–5.16 | 5.80 2.83–8.77 2.01–9.59 | 33% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+