FA Cup·3rd Round Qualifying·FA Cup·3rd Round Qualifying·Crowborough Athletic
VS
Wimborne TownPredicted match statistics
squad not published · form-based estimateGoals
55%
23%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.062.88safe0.85–2.780.20–1.921.05–4.70safer0.59–3.040.00–2.170.55–5.20
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.983.658.64safe3.13–6.841.95–5.365.07–12.20safer2.63–7.341.48–5.834.10–13.17
Total shots
76%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction12.118.4620.57safe8.40–15.815.09–11.8413.49–27.65safer7.37–16.844.16–12.7711.53–29.62
Shots in box
46%
26%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.132.64safe0.00–4.020.00–3.440.00–7.46safer0.00–4.890.00–4.230.00–9.12
Blocked shots
24%
59%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction0.360.270.63safe0.00–1.940.00–1.690.00–3.63safer0.00–2.480.00–2.170.00–4.65
Corners
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.373.408.77safe3.17–7.581.42–5.374.59–12.95safer2.57–8.170.88–5.913.45–14.09
Possession %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction52.7146.23safe46.39–59.0339.91–52.55safer44.80–60.6238.31–54.14
Passes
75%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction445366810safe379–510301–430680–940safer362–527284–448645–975
Pass accuracy %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction73.5469.39safe69.32–77.7564.88–73.89safer68.02–79.0663.55–75.22
Fouls
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6012.1423.73safe8.74–14.459.19–15.0817.93–29.54safer7.85–15.348.28–16.0016.13–31.34
Offsides
48%
30%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.210.731.94safe0.00–2.420.00–1.890.00–4.31safer0.00–2.770.00–2.220.00–4.99
Yellow cards
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.823.38safe0.51–2.620.69–2.941.20–5.55safer0.23–2.890.40–3.230.64–6.11
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.070.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.963.56safe0.19–3.020.40–3.510.59–6.53safer0.00–3.410.00–3.940.00–7.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.81 0.85–2.78 0.59–3.04 | 1.06 0.20–1.92 0.00–2.17 | 2.88 1.05–4.70 0.55–5.20 | 55% 23% 22% |
| Shots on target | 4.98 3.13–6.84 2.63–7.34 | 3.65 1.95–5.36 1.48–5.83 | 8.64 5.07–12.20 4.10–13.17 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 12.11 8.40–15.81 7.37–16.84 | 8.46 5.09–11.84 4.16–12.77 | 20.57 13.49–27.65 11.53–29.62 | 76% 18% |
| Shots in box | 1.51 0.00–4.02 0.00–4.89 | 1.13 0.00–3.44 0.00–4.23 | 2.64 0.00–7.46 0.00–9.12 | 46% 26% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 0.36 0.00–1.94 0.00–2.48 | 0.27 0.00–1.69 0.00–2.17 | 0.63 0.00–3.63 0.00–4.65 | 24% 59% 18% |
| Corners | 5.37 3.17–7.58 2.57–8.17 | 3.40 1.42–5.37 0.88–5.91 | 8.77 4.59–12.95 3.45–14.09 | 69% 20% |
| Possession % | 52.71 46.39–59.03 44.80–60.62 | 46.23 39.91–52.55 38.31–54.14 | — | 64% 32% |
| Passes | 445 379–510 362–527 | 366 301–430 284–448 | 810 680–940 645–975 | 75% 25% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.54 69.32–77.75 68.02–79.06 | 69.39 64.88–73.89 63.55–75.22 | — | 68% 28% |
| Fouls | 11.60 8.74–14.45 7.85–15.34 | 12.14 9.19–15.08 8.28–16.00 | 23.73 17.93–29.54 16.13–31.34 | 41% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.21 0.00–2.42 0.00–2.77 | 0.73 0.00–1.89 0.00–2.22 | 1.94 0.00–4.31 0.00–4.99 | 48% 30% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.62 0.23–2.89 | 1.82 0.69–2.94 0.40–3.23 | 3.38 1.20–5.55 0.64–6.11 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.41 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.81 | 85% |
| GK saves | 1.60 0.19–3.02 0.00–3.41 | 1.96 0.40–3.51 0.00–3.94 | 3.56 0.59–6.53 0.00–7.35 | 32% 22% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+