FA Cup·3rd Round Qualifying·FA Cup·3rd Round Qualifying·Gainsborough Trinity
VS
Anstey NomadsPredicted match statistics
Goals
64%
20%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.090.933.02safe1.13–3.050.07–1.791.20–4.85safer0.87–3.310.00–2.040.69–5.35
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.433.999.41safe3.57–7.282.28–5.695.85–12.98safer3.07–7.781.81–6.164.88–13.94
Total shots
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6411.6026.23safe10.93–18.348.22–14.9719.15–33.32safer9.90–19.377.29–15.9117.19–35.28
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.623.2510.87safe5.11–10.140.95–5.556.05–15.69safer4.24–11.000.15–6.354.39–17.35
Blocked shots
60%
16%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.132.045.17safe1.55–4.710.63–3.462.17–8.17safer1.01–5.250.14–3.941.15–9.19
Corners
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.052.558.59safe3.84–8.250.57–4.534.41–12.78safer3.25–8.850.03–5.063.28–13.91
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.5543.24safe51.23–63.8736.93–49.56safer49.64–65.4735.33–51.16
Passes
79%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction441345787safe376–507281–410657–916safer358–524263–427621–952
Pass accuracy %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction74.0267.53safe69.81–78.2463.02–72.04safer68.50–79.5461.69–73.37
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction10.859.3420.19safe7.99–13.716.40–12.2914.39–26.00safer7.11–14.595.48–13.2012.59–27.80
Offsides
53%
19%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.461.794.25safe1.25–3.670.63–2.951.88–6.63safer0.91–4.020.29–3.281.20–7.30
Yellow cards
35%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.693.23safe0.49–2.600.57–2.811.05–5.41safer0.22–2.870.28–3.100.49–5.97
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.763.716.47safe1.35–4.182.16–5.273.51–9.44safer0.96–4.571.73–5.702.68–10.26
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.09 1.13–3.05 0.87–3.31 | 0.93 0.07–1.79 0.00–2.04 | 3.02 1.20–4.85 0.69–5.35 | 64% 20% 16% |
| Shots on target | 5.43 3.57–7.28 3.07–7.78 | 3.99 2.28–5.69 1.81–6.16 | 9.41 5.85–12.98 4.88–13.94 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 14.64 10.93–18.34 9.90–19.37 | 11.60 8.22–14.97 7.29–15.91 | 26.23 19.15–33.32 17.19–35.28 | 69% 24% |
| Shots in box | 7.62 5.11–10.14 4.24–11.00 | 3.25 0.95–5.55 0.15–6.35 | 10.87 6.05–15.69 4.39–17.35 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 3.13 1.55–4.71 1.01–5.25 | 2.04 0.63–3.46 0.14–3.94 | 5.17 2.17–8.17 1.15–9.19 | 60% 16% 24% |
| Corners | 6.05 3.84–8.25 3.25–8.85 | 2.55 0.57–4.53 0.03–5.06 | 8.59 4.41–12.78 3.28–13.91 | 85% |
| Possession % | 57.55 51.23–63.87 49.64–65.47 | 43.24 36.93–49.56 35.33–51.16 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 441 376–507 358–524 | 345 281–410 263–427 | 787 657–916 621–952 | 79% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.02 69.81–78.24 68.50–79.54 | 67.53 63.02–72.04 61.69–73.37 | — | 77% 19% |
| Fouls | 10.85 7.99–13.71 7.11–14.59 | 9.34 6.40–12.29 5.48–13.20 | 20.19 14.39–26.00 12.59–27.80 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 2.46 1.25–3.67 0.91–4.02 | 1.79 0.63–2.95 0.29–3.28 | 4.25 1.88–6.63 1.20–7.30 | 53% 19% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.49–2.60 0.22–2.87 | 1.69 0.57–2.81 0.28–3.10 | 3.23 1.05–5.41 0.49–5.97 | 35% 23% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.76 1.35–4.18 0.96–4.57 | 3.71 2.16–5.27 1.73–5.70 | 6.47 3.51–9.44 2.68–10.26 | 28% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+