FA Cup·3rd Round Qualifying·FA Cup·3rd Round Qualifying·Uxbridge
VS
Hungerford TownPredicted match statistics
squad not published · form-based estimateGoals
46%
25%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.232.84safe0.65–2.570.37–2.091.02–4.66safer0.39–2.830.12–2.330.51–5.17
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.483.959.43safe3.62–7.332.25–5.665.87–12.99safer3.12–7.831.78–6.134.90–13.96
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction11.939.8121.74safe8.23–15.646.43–13.1914.66–28.83safer7.20–16.675.50–14.1212.70–30.79
Shots in box
41%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.303.416.71safe0.78–5.811.11–5.711.89–11.52safer0.00–6.680.31–6.500.23–13.18
Blocked shots
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.673.42safe0.17–3.330.25–3.080.42–6.42safer0.00–3.870.00–3.570.00–7.44
Corners
50%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.413.918.32safe2.21–6.621.93–5.884.14–12.50safer1.61–7.211.39–6.423.00–13.64
Possession %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction51.3748.14safe45.05–57.6941.82–54.45safer43.46–59.2940.22–56.05
Passes
74%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction443365808safe377–508301–430678–938safer360–526283–448643–973
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction71.0569.09safe66.84–75.2764.58–73.59safer65.54–76.5763.25–74.92
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1912.4224.61safe9.33–15.049.47–15.3618.80–30.41safer8.44–15.938.56–16.2817.00–32.21
Offsides
57%
19%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.531.634.16safe1.32–3.740.47–2.791.79–6.53safer0.98–4.090.13–3.121.11–7.21
Yellow cards
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.733.32safe0.54–2.650.61–2.851.15–5.50safer0.27–2.920.32–3.140.58–6.06
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.050.12safe0.00–0.220.00–0.240.00–0.46safer0.00–0.380.00–0.380.00–0.76
GK saves
41%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.932.975.89safe1.51–4.341.41–4.522.93–8.86safer1.12–4.730.98–4.952.10–9.68
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.61 0.65–2.57 0.39–2.83 | 1.23 0.37–2.09 0.12–2.33 | 2.84 1.02–4.66 0.51–5.17 | 46% 25% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.48 3.62–7.33 3.12–7.83 | 3.95 2.25–5.66 1.78–6.13 | 9.43 5.87–12.99 4.90–13.96 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 11.93 8.23–15.64 7.20–16.67 | 9.81 6.43–13.19 5.50–14.12 | 21.74 14.66–28.83 12.70–30.79 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 3.30 0.78–5.81 0.00–6.68 | 3.41 1.11–5.71 0.31–6.50 | 6.71 1.89–11.52 0.23–13.18 | 41% 16% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 1.75 0.17–3.33 0.00–3.87 | 1.67 0.25–3.08 0.00–3.57 | 3.42 0.42–6.42 0.00–7.44 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Corners | 4.41 2.21–6.62 1.61–7.21 | 3.91 1.93–5.88 1.39–6.42 | 8.32 4.14–12.50 3.00–13.64 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Possession % | 51.37 45.05–57.69 43.46–59.29 | 48.14 41.82–54.45 40.22–56.05 | — | 56% 39% |
| Passes | 443 377–508 360–526 | 365 301–430 283–448 | 808 678–938 643–973 | 74% 25% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.05 66.84–75.27 65.54–76.57 | 69.09 64.58–73.59 63.25–74.92 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 12.19 9.33–15.04 8.44–15.93 | 12.42 9.47–15.36 8.56–16.28 | 24.61 18.80–30.41 17.00–32.21 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 2.53 1.32–3.74 0.98–4.09 | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.13–3.12 | 4.16 1.79–6.53 1.11–7.21 | 57% 19% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.65 0.27–2.92 | 1.73 0.61–2.85 0.32–3.14 | 3.32 1.15–5.50 0.58–6.06 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.38 | 0.05 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.76 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.93 1.51–4.34 1.12–4.73 | 2.97 1.41–4.52 0.98–4.95 | 5.89 2.93–8.86 2.10–9.68 | 41% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+