FA Cup·3rd Round Qualifying·FA Cup·3rd Round Qualifying·Thame United
VS
Eastbourne BoroughPredicted match statistics
Goals
36%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.553.01safe0.49–2.420.69–2.411.19–4.83safer0.23–2.680.45–2.660.68–5.34
Shots on target
50%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.044.529.56safe3.18–6.892.82–6.236.00–13.13safer2.68–7.392.35–6.705.03–14.09
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5110.1923.70safe9.80–17.216.81–13.5716.61–30.78safer8.77–18.245.88–14.5014.65–32.74
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction5.169.0414.20safe2.65–7.686.74–11.349.38–19.02safer1.78–8.545.94–12.147.72–20.68
Blocked shots
29%
15%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.963.896.86safe1.38–4.552.48–5.313.86–9.85safer0.84–5.081.99–5.792.84–10.88
Corners
45%
13%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.844.709.54safe2.63–7.042.72–6.685.36–13.72safer2.04–7.642.19–7.224.22–14.86
Possession %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction46.5453.22safe40.22–52.8646.90–59.54safer38.63–54.4545.30–61.14
Passes
26%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction329405734safe264–394340–469604–864safer246–412322–487569–899
Pass accuracy %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction65.0271.93safe60.80–69.2367.42–76.44safer59.50–70.5466.09–77.77
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7912.9724.77safe8.94–14.6510.03–15.9218.96–30.57safer8.05–15.539.11–16.8417.16–32.37
Offsides
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.893.55safe0.45–2.870.73–3.051.18–5.92safer0.11–3.210.40–3.390.50–6.60
Yellow cards
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.643.30safe0.60–2.710.52–2.761.12–5.48safer0.33–2.990.23–3.050.56–6.04
Red cards
91%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.040.10safe0.00–0.210.00–0.230.00–0.45safer0.00–0.370.00–0.380.00–0.74
GK saves
29%
17%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.323.115.43safe0.91–3.731.55–4.662.46–8.40safer0.52–4.121.12–5.091.64–9.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.49–2.42 0.23–2.68 | 1.55 0.69–2.41 0.45–2.66 | 3.01 1.19–4.83 0.68–5.34 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Shots on target | 5.04 3.18–6.89 2.68–7.39 | 4.52 2.82–6.23 2.35–6.70 | 9.56 6.00–13.13 5.03–14.09 | 50% 37% |
| Total shots | 13.51 9.80–17.21 8.77–18.24 | 10.19 6.81–13.57 5.88–14.50 | 23.70 16.61–30.78 14.65–32.74 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 5.16 2.65–7.68 1.78–8.54 | 9.04 6.74–11.34 5.94–12.14 | 14.20 9.38–19.02 7.72–20.68 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 2.96 1.38–4.55 0.84–5.08 | 3.89 2.48–5.31 1.99–5.79 | 6.86 3.86–9.85 2.84–10.88 | 29% 15% 56% |
| Corners | 4.84 2.63–7.04 2.04–7.64 | 4.70 2.72–6.68 2.19–7.22 | 9.54 5.36–13.72 4.22–14.86 | 45% 13% 42% |
| Possession % | 46.54 40.22–52.86 38.63–54.45 | 53.22 46.90–59.54 45.30–61.14 | — | 31% 64% |
| Passes | 329 264–394 246–412 | 405 340–469 322–487 | 734 604–864 569–899 | 26% 74% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.02 60.80–69.23 59.50–70.54 | 71.93 67.42–76.44 66.09–77.77 | — | 18% 79% |
| Fouls | 11.79 8.94–14.65 8.05–15.53 | 12.97 10.03–15.92 9.11–16.84 | 24.77 18.96–30.57 17.16–32.37 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.45–2.87 0.11–3.21 | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.40–3.39 | 3.55 1.18–5.92 0.50–6.60 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.60–2.71 0.33–2.99 | 1.64 0.52–2.76 0.23–3.05 | 3.30 1.12–5.48 0.56–6.04 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.37 | 0.04 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.45 0.00–0.74 | 91% |
| GK saves | 2.32 0.91–3.73 0.52–4.12 | 3.11 1.55–4.66 1.12–5.09 | 5.43 2.46–8.40 1.64–9.22 | 29% 17% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+