Liga Națiunilor·Liga C - etapa 4·
Liga Națiunilor·Liga C - etapa 4·Statistici estimate
Goluri
55%
24%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,751,002,75sigur0,78–2,720,15–1,860,93–4,57mai sigur0,53–2,970,00–2,090,45–5,05
Șuturi pe poartă
66%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,843,168,00sigur2,98–6,711,41–4,904,39–11,60mai sigur2,49–7,190,95–5,363,44–12,56
Total șuturi
78%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,949,7223,66sigur10,02–17,876,16–13,2816,17–31,15mai sigur8,93–18,965,20–14,2414,12–33,20
Șuturi din careu
77%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,426,0215,44sigur6,48–12,363,34–8,709,82–21,06mai sigur5,65–13,192,60–9,448,25–22,63
Șuturi blocate
53%
15%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,572,856,43sigur1,69–5,461,20–4,512,89–9,96mai sigur1,15–6,000,71–5,001,86–11,00
Cornere
66%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,773,949,71sigur3,56–7,981,94–5,945,49–13,92mai sigur2,98–8,561,40–6,474,39–15,03
Posesie %
60%
36%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,6347,47sigur45,84–59,4240,68–54,25mai sigur44,17–61,0939,01–55,93
Pase
73%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție492418910sigur425–559351–484776–1043mai sigur407–577334–502740–1079
Precizie pase %
44%
51%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,0769,72sigur65,04–73,1065,39–74,04mai sigur63,75–74,3964,08–75,35
Faulturi
41%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0811,7122,79sigur8,25–13,928,77–14,6517,01–28,58mai sigur7,49–14,688,02–15,4015,51–30,08
Ofsaiduri
50%
23%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,881,333,20sigur0,72–3,040,23–2,420,95–5,46mai sigur0,42–3,340,00–2,710,36–6,05
Cartonașe galbene
29%
22%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,431,893,31sigur0,38–2,480,76–3,021,13–5,49mai sigur0,11–2,740,47–3,310,58–6,05
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,110,17sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,290,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,430,00–0,80
Parade portar
31%
17%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,393,045,42sigur0,95–3,821,48–4,602,43–8,42mai sigur0,56–4,211,06–5,021,62–9,23
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,75 0,78–2,72 0,53–2,97 | 1,00 0,15–1,86 0,00–2,09 | 2,75 0,93–4,57 0,45–5,05 | 55% 24% 22% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,84 2,98–6,71 2,49–7,19 | 3,16 1,41–4,90 0,95–5,36 | 8,00 4,39–11,60 3,44–12,56 | 66% 22% |
| Total șuturi | 13,94 10,02–17,87 8,93–18,96 | 9,72 6,16–13,28 5,20–14,24 | 23,66 16,17–31,15 14,12–33,20 | 78% 16% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,42 6,48–12,36 5,65–13,19 | 6,02 3,34–8,70 2,60–9,44 | 15,44 9,82–21,06 8,25–22,63 | 77% 16% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,57 1,69–5,46 1,15–6,00 | 2,85 1,20–4,51 0,71–5,00 | 6,43 2,89–9,96 1,86–11,00 | 53% 15% 31% |
| Cornere | 5,77 3,56–7,98 2,98–8,56 | 3,94 1,94–5,94 1,40–6,47 | 9,71 5,49–13,92 4,39–15,03 | 66% 23% |
| Posesie % | 52,63 45,84–59,42 44,17–61,09 | 47,47 40,68–54,25 39,01–55,93 | — | 60% 36% |
| Pase | 492 425–559 407–577 | 418 351–484 334–502 | 910 776–1043 740–1079 | 73% 27% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,07 65,04–73,10 63,75–74,39 | 69,72 65,39–74,04 64,08–75,35 | — | 44% 51% |
| Faulturi | 11,08 8,25–13,92 7,49–14,68 | 11,71 8,77–14,65 8,02–15,40 | 22,79 17,01–28,58 15,51–30,08 | 41% 51% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,88 0,72–3,04 0,42–3,34 | 1,33 0,23–2,42 0,00–2,71 | 3,20 0,95–5,46 0,36–6,05 | 50% 23% 27% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,43 0,38–2,48 0,11–2,74 | 1,89 0,76–3,02 0,47–3,31 | 3,31 1,13–5,49 0,58–6,05 | 29% 22% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,39 0,95–3,82 0,56–4,21 | 3,04 1,48–4,60 1,06–5,02 | 5,42 2,43–8,42 1,62–9,23 | 31% 17% 52% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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