Superliga·Etapa 11·
Superliga·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
39%
26%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,361,272,62sigur0,39–2,320,41–2,120,80–4,44mai sigur0,14–2,580,18–2,350,32–4,92
Șuturi pe poartă
51%
13%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,714,158,86sigur2,85–6,582,41–5,895,26–12,47mai sigur2,36–7,071,94–6,364,30–13,42
Total șuturi
63%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,4112,1926,60sigur10,48–18,338,63–15,7519,11–34,09mai sigur9,39–19,427,67–16,7117,06–36,14
Șuturi din careu
55%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,827,8216,64sigur5,88–11,765,14–10,5011,01–22,26mai sigur5,05–12,594,40–11,249,45–23,83
Șuturi blocate
44%
15%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,593,457,04sigur1,70–5,471,80–5,113,51–10,58mai sigur1,16–6,011,31–5,602,47–11,61
Cornere
51%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,204,629,82sigur2,99–7,422,62–6,625,61–14,04mai sigur2,42–7,992,09–7,154,50–15,14
Posesie %
55%
40%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,9248,69sigur45,13–58,7141,90–55,47mai sigur43,46–60,3840,23–57,14
Pase
68%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție474416890sigur407–541350–482756–1024mai sigur389–560332–500721–1060
Precizie pase %
31%
65%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,2170,62sigur63,18–71,2466,30–74,95mai sigur61,89–72,5364,99–76,26
Faulturi
36%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,7214,0526,77sigur9,88–15,5611,11–16,9920,99–32,55mai sigur9,13–16,3110,36–17,7419,48–34,06
Ofsaiduri
44%
21%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,961,743,71sigur0,80–3,120,65–2,841,45–5,96mai sigur0,50–3,420,36–3,120,86–6,55
Cartonașe galbene
34%
21%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,772,033,80sigur0,72–2,820,90–3,161,62–5,97mai sigur0,45–3,080,61–3,451,06–6,53
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,080,17sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,270,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,400,00–0,80
Parade portar
35%
17%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,733,165,88sigur1,29–4,161,60–4,712,89–8,87mai sigur0,90–4,551,17–5,142,08–9,69
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,36 0,39–2,32 0,14–2,58 | 1,27 0,41–2,12 0,18–2,35 | 2,62 0,80–4,44 0,32–4,92 | 39% 26% 35% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,71 2,85–6,58 2,36–7,07 | 4,15 2,41–5,89 1,94–6,36 | 8,86 5,26–12,47 4,30–13,42 | 51% 13% 36% |
| Total șuturi | 14,41 10,48–18,33 9,39–19,42 | 12,19 8,63–15,75 7,67–16,71 | 26,60 19,11–34,09 17,06–36,14 | 63% 30% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,82 5,88–11,76 5,05–12,59 | 7,82 5,14–10,50 4,40–11,24 | 16,64 11,01–22,26 9,45–23,83 | 55% 36% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,59 1,70–5,47 1,16–6,01 | 3,45 1,80–5,11 1,31–5,60 | 7,04 3,51–10,58 2,47–11,61 | 44% 15% 40% |
| Cornere | 5,20 2,99–7,42 2,42–7,99 | 4,62 2,62–6,62 2,09–7,15 | 9,82 5,61–14,04 4,50–15,14 | 51% 36% |
| Posesie % | 51,92 45,13–58,71 43,46–60,38 | 48,69 41,90–55,47 40,23–57,14 | — | 55% 40% |
| Pase | 474 407–541 389–560 | 416 350–482 332–500 | 890 756–1024 721–1060 | 68% 31% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,21 63,18–71,24 61,89–72,53 | 70,62 66,30–74,95 64,99–76,26 | — | 31% 65% |
| Faulturi | 12,72 9,88–15,56 9,13–16,31 | 14,05 11,11–16,99 10,36–17,74 | 26,77 20,99–32,55 19,48–34,06 | 36% 56% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,96 0,80–3,12 0,50–3,42 | 1,74 0,65–2,84 0,36–3,12 | 3,71 1,45–5,96 0,86–6,55 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,77 0,72–2,82 0,45–3,08 | 2,03 0,90–3,16 0,61–3,45 | 3,80 1,62–5,97 1,06–6,53 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,73 1,29–4,16 0,90–4,55 | 3,16 1,60–4,71 1,17–5,14 | 5,88 2,89–8,87 2,08–9,69 | 35% 17% 49% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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