Superliga·Etapa 12·
Superliga·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
54%
23%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,771,072,84sigur0,81–2,740,22–1,921,02–4,67mai sigur0,56–2,990,00–2,150,54–5,15
Șuturi pe poartă
75%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,203,569,76sigur4,34–8,071,82–5,306,16–13,37mai sigur3,85–8,551,35–5,775,20–14,32
Total șuturi
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,909,4627,36sigur13,98–21,835,90–13,0219,88–34,85mai sigur12,89–22,924,94–13,9817,82–36,90
Șuturi din careu
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,726,3618,09sigur8,78–14,663,68–9,0412,46–23,71mai sigur7,95–15,492,94–9,7810,90–25,28
Șuturi blocate
73%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,042,847,88sigur3,16–6,921,19–4,494,34–11,41mai sigur2,61–7,470,69–4,983,31–12,45
Cornere
68%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,014,0110,02sigur3,80–8,222,01–6,015,80–14,23mai sigur3,22–8,801,47–6,544,69–15,34
Posesie %
70%
26%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,8746,04sigur49,08–62,6639,25–52,82mai sigur47,41–64,3337,58–54,49
Pase
76%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție512428940sigur445–579361–494806–1073mai sigur427–597344–512770–1109
Precizie pase %
45%
49%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,8170,20sigur65,78–73,8465,88–74,53mai sigur64,48–75,1364,57–75,84
Faulturi
40%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,4712,2723,74sigur8,64–14,319,32–15,2117,96–29,52mai sigur7,88–15,078,57–15,9616,45–31,03
Ofsaiduri
57%
20%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,291,413,70sigur1,13–3,450,32–2,501,44–5,95mai sigur0,83–3,750,03–2,790,86–6,54
Cartonașe galbene
23%
20%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,402,273,66sigur0,35–2,441,14–3,401,48–5,84mai sigur0,08–2,710,85–3,690,93–6,40
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,110,17sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,300,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,430,00–0,80
Parade portar
19%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,444,136,57sigur1,01–3,882,58–5,693,58–9,57mai sigur0,62–4,272,15–6,112,77–10,38
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,77 0,81–2,74 0,56–2,99 | 1,07 0,22–1,92 0,00–2,15 | 2,84 1,02–4,67 0,54–5,15 | 54% 23% 23% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,20 4,34–8,07 3,85–8,55 | 3,56 1,82–5,30 1,35–5,77 | 9,76 6,16–13,37 5,20–14,32 | 75% 15% |
| Total șuturi | 17,90 13,98–21,83 12,89–22,92 | 9,46 5,90–13,02 4,94–13,98 | 27,36 19,88–34,85 17,82–36,90 | 94% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,72 8,78–14,66 7,95–15,49 | 6,36 3,68–9,04 2,94–9,78 | 18,09 12,46–23,71 10,90–25,28 | 88% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,04 3,16–6,92 2,61–7,47 | 2,84 1,19–4,49 0,69–4,98 | 7,88 4,34–11,41 3,31–12,45 | 73% 16% |
| Cornere | 6,01 3,80–8,22 3,22–8,80 | 4,01 2,01–6,01 1,47–6,54 | 10,02 5,80–14,23 4,69–15,34 | 68% 21% |
| Posesie % | 55,87 49,08–62,66 47,41–64,33 | 46,04 39,25–52,82 37,58–54,49 | — | 70% 26% |
| Pase | 512 445–579 427–597 | 428 361–494 344–512 | 940 806–1073 770–1109 | 76% 24% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,81 65,78–73,84 64,48–75,13 | 70,20 65,88–74,53 64,57–75,84 | — | 45% 49% |
| Faulturi | 11,47 8,64–14,31 7,88–15,07 | 12,27 9,32–15,21 8,57–15,96 | 23,74 17,96–29,52 16,45–31,03 | 40% 52% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,29 1,13–3,45 0,83–3,75 | 1,41 0,32–2,50 0,03–2,79 | 3,70 1,44–5,95 0,86–6,54 | 57% 20% 23% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,40 0,35–2,44 0,08–2,71 | 2,27 1,14–3,40 0,85–3,69 | 3,66 1,48–5,84 0,93–6,40 | 23% 20% 57% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,44 1,01–3,88 0,62–4,27 | 4,13 2,58–5,69 2,15–6,11 | 6,57 3,58–9,57 2,77–10,38 | 19% 68% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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