Superliga·Etapa 12·
Superliga·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
35%
25%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,351,472,82sigur0,38–2,320,62–2,331,00–4,64mai sigur0,13–2,570,39–2,550,52–5,12
Șuturi pe poartă
40%
13%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,574,809,37sigur2,70–6,433,06–6,555,76–12,97mai sigur2,21–6,922,59–7,014,81–13,93
Total șuturi
46%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,1613,2026,36sigur9,23–17,089,64–16,7618,87–33,84mai sigur8,14–18,188,68–17,7216,82–35,90
Șuturi din careu
51%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,078,4317,50sigur6,13–12,015,75–11,1111,87–23,12mai sigur5,30–12,845,01–11,8510,31–24,69
Șuturi blocate
42%
16%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,443,456,89sigur1,56–5,321,79–5,103,35–10,42mai sigur1,02–5,871,30–5,592,32–11,46
Cornere
49%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,354,8910,24sigur3,14–7,562,89–6,896,03–14,46mai sigur2,56–8,142,36–7,434,92–15,56
Posesie %
44%
51%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,6951,30sigur42,90–56,4844,52–58,09mai sigur41,23–58,1542,85–59,76
Pase
43%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție462482945sigur395–530416–549811–1079mai sigur377–548398–566776–1114
Precizie pase %
29%
66%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,4675,17sigur67,43–75,4970,85–79,49mai sigur66,14–76,7869,54–80,80
Faulturi
58%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,8011,3124,11sigur9,96–15,648,37–14,2618,33–29,89mai sigur9,21–16,397,62–15,0016,82–31,40
Ofsaiduri
45%
22%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,951,663,61sigur0,79–3,110,57–2,751,36–5,86mai sigur0,49–3,410,28–3,040,77–6,45
Cartonașe galbene
38%
22%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,741,793,54sigur0,69–2,790,67–2,921,36–5,72mai sigur0,43–3,060,37–3,210,80–6,27
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,090,16sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,280,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,410,00–0,79
Parade portar
43%
16%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,193,156,35sigur1,76–4,631,60–4,713,35–9,34mai sigur1,37–5,021,17–5,132,54–10,15
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,35 0,38–2,32 0,13–2,57 | 1,47 0,62–2,33 0,39–2,55 | 2,82 1,00–4,64 0,52–5,12 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,57 2,70–6,43 2,21–6,92 | 4,80 3,06–6,55 2,59–7,01 | 9,37 5,76–12,97 4,81–13,93 | 40% 13% 46% |
| Total șuturi | 13,16 9,23–17,08 8,14–18,18 | 13,20 9,64–16,76 8,68–17,72 | 26,36 18,87–33,84 16,82–35,90 | 46% 46% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,07 6,13–12,01 5,30–12,84 | 8,43 5,75–11,11 5,01–11,85 | 17,50 11,87–23,12 10,31–24,69 | 51% 39% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,44 1,56–5,32 1,02–5,87 | 3,45 1,79–5,10 1,30–5,59 | 6,89 3,35–10,42 2,32–11,46 | 42% 16% 42% |
| Cornere | 5,35 3,14–7,56 2,56–8,14 | 4,89 2,89–6,89 2,36–7,43 | 10,24 6,03–14,46 4,92–15,56 | 49% 38% |
| Posesie % | 49,69 42,90–56,48 41,23–58,15 | 51,30 44,52–58,09 42,85–59,76 | — | 44% 51% |
| Pase | 462 395–530 377–548 | 482 416–549 398–566 | 945 811–1079 776–1114 | 43% 56% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,46 67,43–75,49 66,14–76,78 | 75,17 70,85–79,49 69,54–80,80 | — | 29% 66% |
| Faulturi | 12,80 9,96–15,64 9,21–16,39 | 11,31 8,37–14,26 7,62–15,00 | 24,11 18,33–29,89 16,82–31,40 | 58% 34% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,95 0,79–3,11 0,49–3,41 | 1,66 0,57–2,75 0,28–3,04 | 3,61 1,36–5,86 0,77–6,45 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,74 0,69–2,79 0,43–3,06 | 1,79 0,67–2,92 0,37–3,21 | 3,54 1,36–5,72 0,80–6,27 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,19 1,76–4,63 1,37–5,02 | 3,15 1,60–4,71 1,17–5,13 | 6,35 3,35–9,34 2,54–10,15 | 43% 16% 41% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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