Superliga·Etapa 14·
Superliga·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
55%
22%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,001,223,21sigur1,03–2,970,36–2,071,39–5,04mai sigur0,78–3,220,13–2,300,91–5,52
Șuturi pe poartă
63%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,994,4410,43sigur4,13–7,862,69–6,186,83–14,04mai sigur3,64–8,352,23–6,645,87–14,99
Total șuturi
72%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,0712,5228,59sigur12,15–20,008,95–16,0821,10–36,08mai sigur11,06–21,097,99–17,0419,05–38,13
Șuturi din careu
79%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,127,2118,33sigur8,18–14,064,53–9,8912,70–23,95mai sigur7,35–14,893,79–10,6311,14–25,52
Șuturi blocate
56%
14%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,253,347,59sigur2,37–6,131,68–4,994,06–11,13mai sigur1,83–6,681,19–5,483,02–12,16
Cornere
69%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,214,1310,34sigur4,00–8,432,13–6,136,13–14,55mai sigur3,43–9,001,59–6,665,02–15,66
Posesie %
54%
41%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,0149,23sigur45,22–58,8042,45–56,02mai sigur43,55–60,4740,77–57,69
Pase
60%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție485454940sigur418–553388–521806–1073mai sigur400–571370–538770–1109
Precizie pase %
42%
52%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,3372,31sigur67,30–75,3667,98–76,63mai sigur66,01–76,6566,67–77,94
Faulturi
20%
74%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,2015,0226,22sigur8,36–14,0412,07–17,9620,44–32,00mai sigur7,61–14,7911,32–18,7118,93–33,51
Ofsaiduri
42%
23%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,731,583,30sigur0,57–2,890,48–2,671,05–5,56mai sigur0,27–3,190,19–2,960,46–6,15
Cartonașe galbene
26%
20%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,552,263,82sigur0,50–2,601,13–3,391,64–5,99mai sigur0,24–2,870,84–3,681,08–6,55
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,130,19sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,310,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,450,00–0,82
Parade portar
33%
15%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,263,897,15sigur1,82–4,702,33–5,454,16–10,14mai sigur1,44–5,081,91–5,873,34–10,95
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,00 1,03–2,97 0,78–3,22 | 1,22 0,36–2,07 0,13–2,30 | 3,21 1,39–5,04 0,91–5,52 | 55% 22% 23% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,99 4,13–7,86 3,64–8,35 | 4,44 2,69–6,18 2,23–6,64 | 10,43 6,83–14,04 5,87–14,99 | 63% 26% |
| Total șuturi | 16,07 12,15–20,00 11,06–21,09 | 12,52 8,95–16,08 7,99–17,04 | 28,59 21,10–36,08 19,05–38,13 | 72% 22% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,12 8,18–14,06 7,35–14,89 | 7,21 4,53–9,89 3,79–10,63 | 18,33 12,70–23,95 11,14–25,52 | 79% 15% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,25 2,37–6,13 1,83–6,68 | 3,34 1,68–4,99 1,19–5,48 | 7,59 4,06–11,13 3,02–12,16 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Cornere | 6,21 4,00–8,43 3,43–9,00 | 4,13 2,13–6,13 1,59–6,66 | 10,34 6,13–14,55 5,02–15,66 | 69% 21% |
| Posesie % | 52,01 45,22–58,80 43,55–60,47 | 49,23 42,45–56,02 40,77–57,69 | — | 54% 41% |
| Pase | 485 418–553 400–571 | 454 388–521 370–538 | 940 806–1073 770–1109 | 60% 40% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,33 67,30–75,36 66,01–76,65 | 72,31 67,98–76,63 66,67–77,94 | — | 42% 52% |
| Faulturi | 11,20 8,36–14,04 7,61–14,79 | 15,02 12,07–17,96 11,32–18,71 | 26,22 20,44–32,00 18,93–33,51 | 20% 74% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,73 0,57–2,89 0,27–3,19 | 1,58 0,48–2,67 0,19–2,96 | 3,30 1,05–5,56 0,46–6,15 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,55 0,50–2,60 0,24–2,87 | 2,26 1,13–3,39 0,84–3,68 | 3,82 1,64–5,99 1,08–6,55 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,13 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,45 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 3,26 1,82–4,70 1,44–5,08 | 3,89 2,33–5,45 1,91–5,87 | 7,15 4,16–10,14 3,34–10,95 | 33% 15% 52% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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