Superliga·Etapa 15·
Superliga·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
38%
26%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,321,272,59sigur0,35–2,290,42–2,130,77–4,41mai sigur0,10–2,540,19–2,360,29–4,89
Șuturi pe poartă
43%
14%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,404,418,81sigur2,54–6,262,67–6,155,20–12,41mai sigur2,05–6,752,20–6,624,25–13,37
Total șuturi
58%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,8412,2526,08sigur9,91–17,768,68–15,8118,59–33,57mai sigur8,82–18,857,72–16,7716,54–35,62
Șuturi din careu
42%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,338,6116,95sigur5,39–11,275,93–11,2911,32–22,57mai sigur4,56–12,105,20–12,039,76–24,14
Șuturi blocate
55%
14%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,363,517,87sigur2,48–6,241,86–5,164,33–11,41mai sigur1,93–6,791,36–5,663,30–12,44
Cornere
51%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,234,659,88sigur3,02–7,442,65–6,655,67–14,09mai sigur2,44–8,022,12–7,194,56–15,20
Posesie %
66%
30%
gazdeoaspețipredicție53,8645,92sigur47,07–60,6539,13–52,70mai sigur45,40–62,3237,46–54,37
Pase
82%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție497388886sigur430–565322–455752–1019mai sigur412–583304–472716–1055
Precizie pase %
50%
45%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,3670,93sigur67,33–75,3966,61–75,26mai sigur66,04–76,6865,30–76,57
Faulturi
33%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,6314,3927,02sigur9,79–15,4711,45–17,3421,24–32,81mai sigur9,04–16,2210,70–18,0919,74–34,31
Ofsaiduri
37%
21%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,922,084,00sigur0,76–3,080,99–3,171,75–6,25mai sigur0,46–3,380,70–3,461,16–6,84
Cartonașe galbene
33%
20%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,842,214,05sigur0,79–2,891,09–3,341,87–6,23mai sigur0,52–3,150,79–3,641,32–6,79
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,090,19sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,280,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,410,00–0,82
Parade portar
37%
16%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,913,196,10sigur1,48–4,351,63–4,753,11–9,09mai sigur1,09–4,741,21–5,172,30–9,91
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,32 0,35–2,29 0,10–2,54 | 1,27 0,42–2,13 0,19–2,36 | 2,59 0,77–4,41 0,29–4,89 | 38% 26% 36% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,40 2,54–6,26 2,05–6,75 | 4,41 2,67–6,15 2,20–6,62 | 8,81 5,20–12,41 4,25–13,37 | 43% 14% 43% |
| Total șuturi | 13,84 9,91–17,76 8,82–18,85 | 12,25 8,68–15,81 7,72–16,77 | 26,08 18,59–33,57 16,54–35,62 | 58% 34% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,33 5,39–11,27 4,56–12,10 | 8,61 5,93–11,29 5,20–12,03 | 16,95 11,32–22,57 9,76–24,14 | 42% 48% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,36 2,48–6,24 1,93–6,79 | 3,51 1,86–5,16 1,36–5,66 | 7,87 4,33–11,41 3,30–12,44 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Cornere | 5,23 3,02–7,44 2,44–8,02 | 4,65 2,65–6,65 2,12–7,19 | 9,88 5,67–14,09 4,56–15,20 | 51% 36% |
| Posesie % | 53,86 47,07–60,65 45,40–62,32 | 45,92 39,13–52,70 37,46–54,37 | — | 66% 30% |
| Pase | 497 430–565 412–583 | 388 322–455 304–472 | 886 752–1019 716–1055 | 82% 18% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,36 67,33–75,39 66,04–76,68 | 70,93 66,61–75,26 65,30–76,57 | — | 50% 45% |
| Faulturi | 12,63 9,79–15,47 9,04–16,22 | 14,39 11,45–17,34 10,70–18,09 | 27,02 21,24–32,81 19,74–34,31 | 33% 60% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,92 0,76–3,08 0,46–3,38 | 2,08 0,99–3,17 0,70–3,46 | 4,00 1,75–6,25 1,16–6,84 | 37% 21% 43% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,84 0,79–2,89 0,52–3,15 | 2,21 1,09–3,34 0,79–3,64 | 4,05 1,87–6,23 1,32–6,79 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,91 1,48–4,35 1,09–4,74 | 3,19 1,63–4,75 1,21–5,17 | 6,10 3,11–9,09 2,30–9,91 | 37% 16% 46% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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