Superliga·Etapa 15·
Superliga·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
30%
23%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,401,783,18sigur0,43–2,370,92–2,631,36–5,00mai sigur0,18–2,620,70–2,860,88–5,48
Șuturi pe poartă
33%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,455,349,78sigur2,58–6,313,59–7,086,18–13,39mai sigur2,10–6,803,13–7,545,22–14,34
Total șuturi
37%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,1214,3927,50sigur9,19–17,0410,83–17,9520,02–34,99mai sigur8,10–18,139,87–18,9117,97–37,04
Șuturi din careu
40%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,289,8819,17sigur6,34–12,237,20–12,5613,54–24,79mai sigur5,51–13,066,46–13,3011,98–26,36
Șuturi blocate
39%
14%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,764,067,82sigur1,88–5,642,40–5,714,28–11,35mai sigur1,33–6,191,91–6,203,25–12,39
Cornere
44%
13%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,674,649,31sigur2,45–6,882,64–6,645,10–13,52mai sigur1,88–7,452,11–7,183,99–14,63
Posesie %
70%
26%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,7445,05sigur47,95–61,5338,27–51,84mai sigur46,28–63,2036,60–53,51
Pase
83%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție549435983sigur482–616368–501850–1117mai sigur463–634351–519814–1153
Precizie pase %
45%
50%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,4170,97sigur66,38–74,4366,64–75,29mai sigur65,08–75,7365,33–76,60
Faulturi
43%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,6711,0021,67sigur7,83–13,518,05–13,9415,89–27,45mai sigur7,08–14,277,30–14,6914,38–28,96
Ofsaiduri
41%
24%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,611,453,06sigur0,45–2,770,36–2,540,81–5,31mai sigur0,15–3,070,07–2,830,22–5,90
Cartonașe galbene
38%
22%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,781,823,60sigur0,73–2,830,70–2,951,42–5,78mai sigur0,46–3,090,40–3,250,87–6,34
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,090,16sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,270,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,410,00–0,79
Parade portar
51%
15%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,633,076,69sigur2,19–5,061,51–4,623,70–9,68mai sigur1,80–5,451,09–5,052,89–10,50
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,40 0,43–2,37 0,18–2,62 | 1,78 0,92–2,63 0,70–2,86 | 3,18 1,36–5,00 0,88–5,48 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,45 2,58–6,31 2,10–6,80 | 5,34 3,59–7,08 3,13–7,54 | 9,78 6,18–13,39 5,22–14,34 | 33% 55% |
| Total șuturi | 13,12 9,19–17,04 8,10–18,13 | 14,39 10,83–17,95 9,87–18,91 | 27,50 20,02–34,99 17,97–37,04 | 37% 56% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,28 6,34–12,23 5,51–13,06 | 9,88 7,20–12,56 6,46–13,30 | 19,17 13,54–24,79 11,98–26,36 | 40% 51% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,76 1,88–5,64 1,33–6,19 | 4,06 2,40–5,71 1,91–6,20 | 7,82 4,28–11,35 3,25–12,39 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Cornere | 4,67 2,45–6,88 1,88–7,45 | 4,64 2,64–6,64 2,11–7,18 | 9,31 5,10–13,52 3,99–14,63 | 44% 13% 43% |
| Posesie % | 54,74 47,95–61,53 46,28–63,20 | 45,05 38,27–51,84 36,60–53,51 | — | 70% 26% |
| Pase | 549 482–616 463–634 | 435 368–501 351–519 | 983 850–1117 814–1153 | 83% 17% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,41 66,38–74,43 65,08–75,73 | 70,97 66,64–75,29 65,33–76,60 | — | 45% 50% |
| Faulturi | 10,67 7,83–13,51 7,08–14,27 | 11,00 8,05–13,94 7,30–14,69 | 21,67 15,89–27,45 14,38–28,96 | 43% 48% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,61 0,45–2,77 0,15–3,07 | 1,45 0,36–2,54 0,07–2,83 | 3,06 0,81–5,31 0,22–5,90 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,78 0,73–2,83 0,46–3,09 | 1,82 0,70–2,95 0,40–3,25 | 3,60 1,42–5,78 0,87–6,34 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,16 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,63 2,19–5,06 1,80–5,45 | 3,07 1,51–4,62 1,09–5,05 | 6,69 3,70–9,68 2,89–10,50 | 51% 15% 34% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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