Superliga·Etapa 16·
Superliga·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
44%
26%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,491,212,70sigur0,52–2,460,36–2,070,88–4,52mai sigur0,27–2,710,13–2,290,40–5,00
Șuturi pe poartă
65%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,363,679,04sigur3,50–7,221,93–5,425,43–12,64mai sigur3,01–7,711,47–5,884,48–13,60
Total șuturi
79%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,0211,3627,38sigur12,09–19,947,80–14,9319,89–34,87mai sigur11,00–21,036,84–15,8917,84–36,92
Șuturi din careu
69%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,817,3117,12sigur6,87–12,764,62–9,9911,50–22,74mai sigur6,04–13,593,89–10,729,93–24,31
Șuturi blocate
66%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,703,067,76sigur2,81–6,581,41–4,724,22–11,29mai sigur2,27–7,120,92–5,213,19–12,33
Cornere
61%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,664,259,91sigur3,45–7,872,25–6,255,70–14,13mai sigur2,87–8,451,72–6,794,59–15,23
Posesie %
69%
27%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,8545,49sigur48,06–61,6438,70–52,27mai sigur46,39–63,3137,03–53,94
Pase
82%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție494384878sigur427–562317–450744–1012mai sigur409–580300–468709–1047
Precizie pase %
40%
55%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,0668,56sigur63,03–71,0964,23–72,88mai sigur61,74–72,3862,92–74,19
Faulturi
36%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7213,0424,76sigur8,88–14,5610,10–15,9918,98–30,54mai sigur8,12–15,319,35–16,7417,48–32,05
Ofsaiduri
51%
21%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,071,483,54sigur0,90–3,230,39–2,571,29–5,80mai sigur0,60–3,530,10–2,860,70–6,39
Cartonașe galbene
28%
21%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,492,033,52sigur0,44–2,540,90–3,161,34–5,70mai sigur0,17–2,800,61–3,450,78–6,25
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,18sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,81
Parade portar
26%
15%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,563,666,22sigur1,13–4,002,10–5,213,23–9,22mai sigur0,74–4,391,68–5,642,42–10,03
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,49 0,52–2,46 0,27–2,71 | 1,21 0,36–2,07 0,13–2,29 | 2,70 0,88–4,52 0,40–5,00 | 44% 26% 31% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,36 3,50–7,22 3,01–7,71 | 3,67 1,93–5,42 1,47–5,88 | 9,04 5,43–12,64 4,48–13,60 | 65% 23% |
| Total șuturi | 16,02 12,09–19,94 11,00–21,03 | 11,36 7,80–14,93 6,84–15,89 | 27,38 19,89–34,87 17,84–36,92 | 79% 16% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,81 6,87–12,76 6,04–13,59 | 7,31 4,62–9,99 3,89–10,72 | 17,12 11,50–22,74 9,93–24,31 | 69% 23% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,70 2,81–6,58 2,27–7,12 | 3,06 1,41–4,72 0,92–5,21 | 7,76 4,22–11,29 3,19–12,33 | 66% 22% |
| Cornere | 5,66 3,45–7,87 2,87–8,45 | 4,25 2,25–6,25 1,72–6,79 | 9,91 5,70–14,13 4,59–15,23 | 61% 27% |
| Posesie % | 54,85 48,06–61,64 46,39–63,31 | 45,49 38,70–52,27 37,03–53,94 | — | 69% 27% |
| Pase | 494 427–562 409–580 | 384 317–450 300–468 | 878 744–1012 709–1047 | 82% 18% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,06 63,03–71,09 61,74–72,38 | 68,56 64,23–72,88 62,92–74,19 | — | 40% 55% |
| Faulturi | 11,72 8,88–14,56 8,12–15,31 | 13,04 10,10–15,99 9,35–16,74 | 24,76 18,98–30,54 17,48–32,05 | 36% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,07 0,90–3,23 0,60–3,53 | 1,48 0,39–2,57 0,10–2,86 | 3,54 1,29–5,80 0,70–6,39 | 51% 21% 28% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,49 0,44–2,54 0,17–2,80 | 2,03 0,90–3,16 0,61–3,45 | 3,52 1,34–5,70 0,78–6,25 | 28% 21% 50% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,56 1,13–4,00 0,74–4,39 | 3,66 2,10–5,21 1,68–5,64 | 6,22 3,23–9,22 2,42–10,03 | 26% 15% 59% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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