Superliga·Etapa 18·
Superliga·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
47%
25%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,611,202,81sigur0,64–2,580,35–2,060,99–4,63mai sigur0,39–2,830,12–2,280,51–5,11
Șuturi pe poartă
63%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,403,869,26sigur3,54–7,262,12–5,605,65–12,86mai sigur3,05–7,751,65–6,074,70–13,82
Total șuturi
81%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,8110,8526,66sigur11,88–19,737,29–14,4119,17–34,14mai sigur10,79–20,826,33–15,3717,12–36,20
Șuturi din careu
74%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,267,0317,30sigur7,32–13,214,35–9,7211,67–22,92mai sigur6,49–14,043,62–10,4510,11–24,49
Șuturi blocate
74%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,592,427,01sigur2,71–6,470,77–4,073,47–10,54mai sigur2,16–7,020,27–4,562,44–11,58
Cornere
66%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,793,999,79sigur3,58–8,011,99–5,995,57–14,00mai sigur3,00–8,581,46–6,534,46–15,11
Posesie %
70%
26%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,4045,42sigur48,61–62,1938,64–52,21mai sigur46,94–63,8636,97–53,88
Pase
78%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție519427947sigur452–587361–494813–1080mai sigur434–605343–511777–1116
Precizie pase %
49%
46%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,5969,26sigur65,56–73,6264,94–73,58mai sigur64,27–74,9163,63–74,89
Faulturi
46%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,0312,0224,05sigur9,19–14,879,08–14,9718,27–29,84mai sigur8,44–15,628,33–15,7216,77–31,34
Ofsaiduri
51%
22%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,971,403,37sigur0,81–3,130,31–2,491,12–5,62mai sigur0,51–3,430,02–2,780,53–6,21
Cartonașe galbene
31%
22%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,511,933,44sigur0,46–2,560,80–3,051,26–5,62mai sigur0,20–2,830,51–3,350,70–6,17
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,100,15sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,420,00–0,78
Parade portar
25%
15%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,543,676,21sigur1,11–3,982,11–5,233,22–9,21mai sigur0,72–4,371,69–5,652,41–10,02
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,61 0,64–2,58 0,39–2,83 | 1,20 0,35–2,06 0,12–2,28 | 2,81 0,99–4,63 0,51–5,11 | 47% 25% 29% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,40 3,54–7,26 3,05–7,75 | 3,86 2,12–5,60 1,65–6,07 | 9,26 5,65–12,86 4,70–13,82 | 63% 25% |
| Total șuturi | 15,81 11,88–19,73 10,79–20,82 | 10,85 7,29–14,41 6,33–15,37 | 26,66 19,17–34,14 17,12–36,20 | 81% 14% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,26 7,32–13,21 6,49–14,04 | 7,03 4,35–9,72 3,62–10,45 | 17,30 11,67–22,92 10,11–24,49 | 74% 18% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,59 2,71–6,47 2,16–7,02 | 2,42 0,77–4,07 0,27–4,56 | 7,01 3,47–10,54 2,44–11,58 | 74% 15% |
| Cornere | 5,79 3,58–8,01 3,00–8,58 | 3,99 1,99–5,99 1,46–6,53 | 9,79 5,57–14,00 4,46–15,11 | 66% 23% |
| Posesie % | 55,40 48,61–62,19 46,94–63,86 | 45,42 38,64–52,21 36,97–53,88 | — | 70% 26% |
| Pase | 519 452–587 434–605 | 427 361–494 343–511 | 947 813–1080 777–1116 | 78% 22% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,59 65,56–73,62 64,27–74,91 | 69,26 64,94–73,58 63,63–74,89 | — | 49% 46% |
| Faulturi | 12,03 9,19–14,87 8,44–15,62 | 12,02 9,08–14,97 8,33–15,72 | 24,05 18,27–29,84 16,77–31,34 | 46% 46% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,97 0,81–3,13 0,51–3,43 | 1,40 0,31–2,49 0,02–2,78 | 3,37 1,12–5,62 0,53–6,21 | 51% 22% 27% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,51 0,46–2,56 0,20–2,83 | 1,93 0,80–3,05 0,51–3,35 | 3,44 1,26–5,62 0,70–6,17 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,54 1,11–3,98 0,72–4,37 | 3,67 2,11–5,23 1,69–5,65 | 6,21 3,22–9,21 2,41–10,02 | 25% 15% 60% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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