Superliga·Etapa 21·
Superliga·Etapa 21·Statistici estimate
Goluri
27%
23%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,251,753,00sigur0,28–2,220,90–2,611,18–4,82mai sigur0,03–2,470,67–2,840,70–5,30
Șuturi pe poartă
33%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,195,039,23sigur2,33–6,063,29–6,775,62–12,83mai sigur1,84–6,552,82–7,244,67–13,79
Total șuturi
48%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,5714,2728,84sigur10,64–18,4910,71–17,8321,35–36,33mai sigur9,55–19,589,75–18,7919,30–38,38
Șuturi din careu
38%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,389,1217,50sigur5,44–11,326,44–11,8011,88–23,12mai sigur4,61–12,155,70–12,5410,31–24,69
Șuturi blocate
40%
15%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,633,787,41sigur1,75–5,512,13–5,443,88–10,95mai sigur1,21–6,061,64–5,932,84–11,99
Cornere
33%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,635,5410,18sigur2,42–6,843,54–7,545,96–14,39mai sigur1,84–7,423,01–8,084,86–15,50
Posesie %
43%
52%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,7350,73sigur41,94–55,5243,94–57,51mai sigur40,27–57,1942,27–59,18
Pase
48%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție461466927sigur394–528400–533793–1061mai sigur376–546382–550758–1097
Precizie pase %
26%
70%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,8073,32sigur64,77–72,8368,99–77,64mai sigur63,48–74,1267,69–78,95
Faulturi
56%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,5411,3423,88sigur9,70–15,378,39–14,2818,09–29,66mai sigur8,94–16,137,65–15,0316,59–31,16
Ofsaiduri
53%
20%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,321,623,94sigur1,15–3,480,53–2,721,69–6,19mai sigur0,85–3,780,24–3,011,10–6,78
Cartonașe galbene
40%
22%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,861,823,67sigur0,81–2,910,69–2,941,49–5,85mai sigur0,54–3,170,40–3,240,94–6,41
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,130,24sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,320,00–0,59mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,450,00–0,87
Parade portar
45%
16%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,253,046,29sigur1,82–4,691,48–4,593,30–9,28mai sigur1,43–5,081,06–5,022,49–10,10
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,25 0,28–2,22 0,03–2,47 | 1,75 0,90–2,61 0,67–2,84 | 3,00 1,18–4,82 0,70–5,30 | 27% 23% 49% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,19 2,33–6,06 1,84–6,55 | 5,03 3,29–6,77 2,82–7,24 | 9,23 5,62–12,83 4,67–13,79 | 33% 54% |
| Total șuturi | 14,57 10,64–18,49 9,55–19,58 | 14,27 10,71–17,83 9,75–18,79 | 28,84 21,35–36,33 19,30–38,38 | 48% 44% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,38 5,44–11,32 4,61–12,15 | 9,12 6,44–11,80 5,70–12,54 | 17,50 11,88–23,12 10,31–24,69 | 38% 52% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,63 1,75–5,51 1,21–6,06 | 3,78 2,13–5,44 1,64–5,93 | 7,41 3,88–10,95 2,84–11,99 | 40% 15% 45% |
| Cornere | 4,63 2,42–6,84 1,84–7,42 | 5,54 3,54–7,54 3,01–8,08 | 10,18 5,96–14,39 4,86–15,50 | 33% 55% |
| Posesie % | 48,73 41,94–55,52 40,27–57,19 | 50,73 43,94–57,51 42,27–59,18 | — | 43% 52% |
| Pase | 461 394–528 376–546 | 466 400–533 382–550 | 927 793–1061 758–1097 | 48% 52% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,80 64,77–72,83 63,48–74,12 | 73,32 68,99–77,64 67,69–78,95 | — | 26% 70% |
| Faulturi | 12,54 9,70–15,37 8,94–16,13 | 11,34 8,39–14,28 7,65–15,03 | 23,88 18,09–29,66 16,59–31,16 | 56% 36% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,32 1,15–3,48 0,85–3,78 | 1,62 0,53–2,72 0,24–3,01 | 3,94 1,69–6,19 1,10–6,78 | 53% 20% 27% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,86 0,81–2,91 0,54–3,17 | 1,82 0,69–2,94 0,40–3,24 | 3,67 1,49–5,85 0,94–6,41 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,13 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,45 | 0,24 0,00–0,59 0,00–0,87 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 3,25 1,82–4,69 1,43–5,08 | 3,04 1,48–4,59 1,06–5,02 | 6,29 3,30–9,28 2,49–10,10 | 45% 16% 39% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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