Serie A·Etapa 8·
Serie A·Etapa 8·Statistici estimate
Goluri
64%
20%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,170,993,16sigur1,20–3,140,13–1,841,34–4,98mai sigur0,95–3,390,00–2,070,86–5,46
Șuturi pe poartă
75%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,393,7810,17sigur4,53–8,252,04–5,536,57–13,78mai sigur4,04–8,741,58–5,995,61–14,73
Total șuturi
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,7810,6128,39sigur13,86–21,717,05–14,1720,90–35,88mai sigur12,77–22,806,09–15,1318,85–37,93
Șuturi din careu
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,627,0318,65sigur8,68–14,564,35–9,7113,02–24,27mai sigur7,85–15,393,61–10,4411,46–25,84
Șuturi blocate
71%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,582,617,19sigur2,70–6,460,96–4,263,66–10,73mai sigur2,16–7,010,47–4,762,62–11,76
Cornere
77%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,623,7610,38sigur4,41–8,831,76–5,766,17–14,60mai sigur3,83–9,411,23–6,305,06–15,70
Posesie %
96%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,6435,39sigur58,85–72,4328,60–42,17mai sigur57,18–74,1026,93–43,84
Pase
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție604335939sigur536–671269–402805–1073mai sigur518–689251–419769–1108
Precizie pase %
94%
gazdeoaspețipredicție88,8176,07sigur84,78–92,8471,75–80,40mai sigur83,49–94,1370,44–81,70
Faulturi
38%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,6211,5522,17sigur7,78–13,468,60–14,4916,39–27,95mai sigur7,03–14,217,85–15,2414,88–29,45
Ofsaiduri
35%
23%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,591,753,34sigur0,43–2,750,65–2,841,08–5,59mai sigur0,13–3,050,37–3,130,50–6,18
Cartonașe galbene
26%
21%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,442,103,53sigur0,39–2,490,97–3,231,36–5,71mai sigur0,12–2,750,68–3,520,80–6,27
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,040,100,14sigur0,00–0,200,00–0,280,00–0,48mai sigur0,00–0,350,00–0,420,00–0,77
Parade portar
21%
13%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,574,086,65sigur1,13–4,002,52–5,643,65–9,64mai sigur0,74–4,392,10–6,062,84–10,45
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,17 1,20–3,14 0,95–3,39 | 0,99 0,13–1,84 0,00–2,07 | 3,16 1,34–4,98 0,86–5,46 | 64% 20% 16% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,39 4,53–8,25 4,04–8,74 | 3,78 2,04–5,53 1,58–5,99 | 10,17 6,57–13,78 5,61–14,73 | 75% 16% |
| Total șuturi | 17,78 13,86–21,71 12,77–22,80 | 10,61 7,05–14,17 6,09–15,13 | 28,39 20,90–35,88 18,85–37,93 | 90% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,62 8,68–14,56 7,85–15,39 | 7,03 4,35–9,71 3,61–10,44 | 18,65 13,02–24,27 11,46–25,84 | 83% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,58 2,70–6,46 2,16–7,01 | 2,61 0,96–4,26 0,47–4,76 | 7,19 3,66–10,73 2,62–11,76 | 71% 17% |
| Cornere | 6,62 4,41–8,83 3,83–9,41 | 3,76 1,76–5,76 1,23–6,30 | 10,38 6,17–14,60 5,06–15,70 | 77% 15% |
| Posesie % | 65,64 58,85–72,43 57,18–74,10 | 35,39 28,60–42,17 26,93–43,84 | — | 96% |
| Pase | 604 536–671 518–689 | 335 269–402 251–419 | 939 805–1073 769–1108 | 99% |
| Precizie pase % | 88,81 84,78–92,84 83,49–94,13 | 76,07 71,75–80,40 70,44–81,70 | — | 94% |
| Faulturi | 10,62 7,78–13,46 7,03–14,21 | 11,55 8,60–14,49 7,85–15,24 | 22,17 16,39–27,95 14,88–29,45 | 38% 54% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,59 0,43–2,75 0,13–3,05 | 1,75 0,65–2,84 0,37–3,13 | 3,34 1,08–5,59 0,50–6,18 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,44 0,39–2,49 0,12–2,75 | 2,10 0,97–3,23 0,68–3,52 | 3,53 1,36–5,71 0,80–6,27 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,04 0,00–0,20 0,00–0,35 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,14 0,00–0,48 0,00–0,77 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 2,57 1,13–4,00 0,74–4,39 | 4,08 2,52–5,64 2,10–6,06 | 6,65 3,65–9,64 2,84–10,45 | 21% 13% 65% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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