Serie A·Etapa 9·
Serie A·Etapa 9·Statistici estimate
Goluri
36%
27%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,231,272,50sigur0,26–2,200,41–2,120,68–4,32mai sigur0,01–2,450,19–2,350,20–4,80
Șuturi pe poartă
48%
14%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,494,108,59sigur2,62–6,352,36–5,854,98–12,19mai sigur2,13–6,841,89–6,314,03–13,15
Total șuturi
68%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,3611,5225,87sigur10,43–18,287,95–15,0818,39–33,36mai sigur9,34–19,386,99–16,0416,34–35,41
Șuturi din careu
66%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,607,4317,03sigur6,66–12,544,74–10,1111,40–22,65mai sigur5,83–13,374,01–10,849,84–24,22
Șuturi blocate
49%
15%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,943,517,45sigur2,06–5,821,85–5,163,91–10,98mai sigur1,51–6,361,36–5,652,87–12,02
Cornere
51%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,284,7210,00sigur3,07–7,502,72–6,725,79–14,22mai sigur2,50–8,072,18–7,254,68–15,32
Posesie %
20%
76%
gazdeoaspețipredicție43,5656,55sigur36,77–50,3549,77–63,34mai sigur35,10–52,0248,10–65,01
Pase
15%
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție392518910sigur325–460452–584777–1044mai sigur307–478434–602741–1080
Precizie pase %
14%
82%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,3284,05sigur72,29–80,3479,73–88,38mai sigur70,99–81,6478,42–89,68
Faulturi
54%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3811,3423,72sigur9,54–15,218,40–14,2917,93–29,50mai sigur8,78–15,977,65–15,0316,43–31,00
Ofsaiduri
60%
20%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,161,183,34sigur1,00–3,320,08–2,271,09–5,59mai sigur0,70–3,620,00–2,560,50–6,18
Cartonașe galbene
45%
22%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,961,703,66sigur0,91–3,010,57–2,821,48–5,83mai sigur0,65–3,280,27–3,120,92–6,39
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,070,16sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,260,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,390,00–0,79
Parade portar
34%
16%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,793,326,11sigur1,35–4,221,76–4,883,11–9,10mai sigur0,96–4,611,34–5,302,30–9,91
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,23 0,26–2,20 0,01–2,45 | 1,27 0,41–2,12 0,19–2,35 | 2,50 0,68–4,32 0,20–4,80 | 36% 27% 37% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,49 2,62–6,35 2,13–6,84 | 4,10 2,36–5,85 1,89–6,31 | 8,59 4,98–12,19 4,03–13,15 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Total șuturi | 14,36 10,43–18,28 9,34–19,38 | 11,52 7,95–15,08 6,99–16,04 | 25,87 18,39–33,36 16,34–35,41 | 68% 25% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,60 6,66–12,54 5,83–13,37 | 7,43 4,74–10,11 4,01–10,84 | 17,03 11,40–22,65 9,84–24,22 | 66% 26% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,94 2,06–5,82 1,51–6,36 | 3,51 1,85–5,16 1,36–5,65 | 7,45 3,91–10,98 2,87–12,02 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Cornere | 5,28 3,07–7,50 2,50–8,07 | 4,72 2,72–6,72 2,18–7,25 | 10,00 5,79–14,22 4,68–15,32 | 51% 37% |
| Posesie % | 43,56 36,77–50,35 35,10–52,02 | 56,55 49,77–63,34 48,10–65,01 | — | 20% 76% |
| Pase | 392 325–460 307–478 | 518 452–584 434–602 | 910 777–1044 741–1080 | 15% 85% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,32 72,29–80,34 70,99–81,64 | 84,05 79,73–88,38 78,42–89,68 | — | 14% 82% |
| Faulturi | 12,38 9,54–15,21 8,78–15,97 | 11,34 8,40–14,29 7,65–15,03 | 23,72 17,93–29,50 16,43–31,00 | 54% 38% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,16 1,00–3,32 0,70–3,62 | 1,18 0,08–2,27 0,00–2,56 | 3,34 1,09–5,59 0,50–6,18 | 60% 20% 20% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,96 0,91–3,01 0,65–3,28 | 1,70 0,57–2,82 0,27–3,12 | 3,66 1,48–5,83 0,92–6,39 | 45% 22% 34% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,07 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,39 | 0,16 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,79 1,35–4,22 0,96–4,61 | 3,32 1,76–4,88 1,34–5,30 | 6,11 3,11–9,10 2,30–9,91 | 34% 16% 50% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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