Serie A·Etapa 18·
Serie A·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
54%
24%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,710,982,69sigur0,74–2,680,13–1,840,87–4,52mai sigur0,49–2,930,00–2,070,39–4,99
Șuturi pe poartă
68%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,253,348,59sigur3,39–7,111,60–5,094,99–12,20mai sigur2,90–7,601,14–5,554,03–13,15
Total șuturi
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,909,7925,69sigur11,97–19,826,23–13,3518,20–33,18mai sigur10,88–20,925,27–14,3116,15–35,23
Șuturi din careu
81%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,695,8015,49sigur6,75–12,633,12–8,489,87–21,11mai sigur5,92–13,462,38–9,228,30–22,68
Șuturi blocate
67%
14%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,882,306,18sigur2,00–5,760,64–3,952,64–9,71mai sigur1,45–6,300,15–4,441,61–10,75
Cornere
73%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,793,439,22sigur3,57–8,001,43–5,435,00–13,43mai sigur3,00–8,580,89–5,963,90–14,54
Posesie %
94%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,1236,89sigur57,33–70,9130,11–43,68mai sigur55,66–72,5828,44–45,35
Pase
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție595345940sigur527–662278–411806–1073mai sigur509–680261–429770–1109
Precizie pase %
93%
gazdeoaspețipredicție88,3276,36sigur84,29–92,3472,03–80,68mai sigur82,99–93,6470,72–81,99
Faulturi
26%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9513,5724,52sigur8,11–13,7910,63–16,5218,74–30,30mai sigur7,36–14,549,88–17,2617,23–31,81
Ofsaiduri
27%
21%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,442,063,50sigur0,28–2,600,97–3,151,25–5,75mai sigur0,00–2,900,68–3,440,66–6,34
Cartonașe galbene
26%
19%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,662,424,08sigur0,61–2,711,29–3,551,91–6,26mai sigur0,35–2,981,00–3,841,35–6,82
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,110,17sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,300,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,430,00–0,80
Parade portar
25%
16%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,363,435,79sigur0,92–3,801,87–4,992,80–8,78mai sigur0,54–4,181,45–5,411,99–9,60
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,71 0,74–2,68 0,49–2,93 | 0,98 0,13–1,84 0,00–2,07 | 2,69 0,87–4,52 0,39–4,99 | 54% 24% 22% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,25 3,39–7,11 2,90–7,60 | 3,34 1,60–5,09 1,14–5,55 | 8,59 4,99–12,20 4,03–13,15 | 68% 20% |
| Total șuturi | 15,90 11,97–19,82 10,88–20,92 | 9,79 6,23–13,35 5,27–14,31 | 25,69 18,20–33,18 16,15–35,23 | 87% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,69 6,75–12,63 5,92–13,46 | 5,80 3,12–8,48 2,38–9,22 | 15,49 9,87–21,11 8,30–22,68 | 81% 13% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,88 2,00–5,76 1,45–6,30 | 2,30 0,64–3,95 0,15–4,44 | 6,18 2,64–9,71 1,61–10,75 | 67% 14% 20% |
| Cornere | 5,79 3,57–8,00 3,00–8,58 | 3,43 1,43–5,43 0,89–5,96 | 9,22 5,00–13,43 3,90–14,54 | 73% 17% |
| Posesie % | 64,12 57,33–70,91 55,66–72,58 | 36,89 30,11–43,68 28,44–45,35 | — | 94% |
| Pase | 595 527–662 509–680 | 345 278–411 261–429 | 940 806–1073 770–1109 | 98% |
| Precizie pase % | 88,32 84,29–92,34 82,99–93,64 | 76,36 72,03–80,68 70,72–81,99 | — | 93% |
| Faulturi | 10,95 8,11–13,79 7,36–14,54 | 13,57 10,63–16,52 9,88–17,26 | 24,52 18,74–30,30 17,23–31,81 | 26% 67% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,44 0,28–2,60 0,00–2,90 | 2,06 0,97–3,15 0,68–3,44 | 3,50 1,25–5,75 0,66–6,34 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,66 0,61–2,71 0,35–2,98 | 2,42 1,29–3,55 1,00–3,84 | 4,08 1,91–6,26 1,35–6,82 | 26% 19% 55% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,36 0,92–3,80 0,54–4,18 | 3,43 1,87–4,99 1,45–5,41 | 5,79 2,80–8,78 1,99–9,60 | 25% 16% 59% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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