Serie A·Etapa 36·
Serie A·Etapa 36·Statistici estimate
Goluri
22%
23%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,041,792,82sigur0,07–2,010,93–2,641,00–4,65mai sigur0,00–2,260,70–2,870,52–5,13
Șuturi pe poartă
24%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,725,309,02sigur1,86–5,583,55–7,045,41–12,62mai sigur1,37–6,073,09–7,514,46–13,58
Total șuturi
30%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,0614,2826,34sigur8,13–15,9810,72–17,8418,85–33,83mai sigur7,04–17,089,76–18,8016,80–35,88
Șuturi din careu
29%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,759,5517,30sigur4,81–10,706,87–12,2311,68–22,92mai sigur3,98–11,536,13–12,9710,11–24,49
Șuturi blocate
39%
16%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,053,226,27sigur1,17–4,931,57–4,872,73–9,80mai sigur0,62–5,471,08–5,371,70–10,84
Cornere
37%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,845,3710,22sigur2,63–7,063,37–7,376,01–14,43mai sigur2,06–7,632,84–7,914,90–15,54
Posesie %
44%
52%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,2350,91sigur42,44–56,0244,12–57,69mai sigur40,77–57,6942,45–59,36
Pase
43%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție411431841sigur343–478364–497707–975mai sigur325–496347–515672–1010
Precizie pase %
50%
45%
gazdeoaspețipredicție77,3776,96sigur73,34–81,4072,63–81,28mai sigur72,05–82,6971,32–82,59
Faulturi
48%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3912,1424,54sigur9,55–15,239,20–15,0918,75–30,32mai sigur8,80–15,998,45–15,8417,25–31,82
Ofsaiduri
14%
16%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,242,834,07sigur0,08–2,401,74–3,931,82–6,32mai sigur0,00–2,701,45–4,211,23–6,91
Cartonașe galbene
39%
22%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,741,743,48sigur0,69–2,790,61–2,871,30–5,66mai sigur0,42–3,050,32–3,160,75–6,22
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,080,19sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,270,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,400,00–0,82
Parade portar
55%
16%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,402,595,98sigur1,96–4,831,03–4,142,99–8,98mai sigur1,57–5,220,60–4,572,18–9,79
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,04 0,07–2,01 0,00–2,26 | 1,79 0,93–2,64 0,70–2,87 | 2,82 1,00–4,65 0,52–5,13 | 22% 23% 55% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,72 1,86–5,58 1,37–6,07 | 5,30 3,55–7,04 3,09–7,51 | 9,02 5,41–12,62 4,46–13,58 | 24% 64% |
| Total șuturi | 12,06 8,13–15,98 7,04–17,08 | 14,28 10,72–17,84 9,76–18,80 | 26,34 18,85–33,83 16,80–35,88 | 30% 63% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,75 4,81–10,70 3,98–11,53 | 9,55 6,87–12,23 6,13–12,97 | 17,30 11,68–22,92 10,11–24,49 | 29% 62% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,05 1,17–4,93 0,62–5,47 | 3,22 1,57–4,87 1,08–5,37 | 6,27 2,73–9,80 1,70–10,84 | 39% 16% 45% |
| Cornere | 4,84 2,63–7,06 2,06–7,63 | 5,37 3,37–7,37 2,84–7,91 | 10,22 6,01–14,43 4,90–15,54 | 37% 50% |
| Posesie % | 49,23 42,44–56,02 40,77–57,69 | 50,91 44,12–57,69 42,45–59,36 | — | 44% 52% |
| Pase | 411 343–478 325–496 | 431 364–497 347–515 | 841 707–975 672–1010 | 43% 56% |
| Precizie pase % | 77,37 73,34–81,40 72,05–82,69 | 76,96 72,63–81,28 71,32–82,59 | — | 50% 45% |
| Faulturi | 12,39 9,55–15,23 8,80–15,99 | 12,14 9,20–15,09 8,45–15,84 | 24,54 18,75–30,32 17,25–31,82 | 48% 44% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,24 0,08–2,40 0,00–2,70 | 2,83 1,74–3,93 1,45–4,21 | 4,07 1,82–6,32 1,23–6,91 | 14% 16% 70% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,74 0,69–2,79 0,42–3,05 | 1,74 0,61–2,87 0,32–3,16 | 3,48 1,30–5,66 0,75–6,22 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,19 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,82 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 3,40 1,96–4,83 1,57–5,22 | 2,59 1,03–4,14 0,60–4,57 | 5,98 2,99–8,98 2,18–9,79 | 55% 16% 29% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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