Serie A·Etapa 38·
Serie A·Etapa 38·Statistici estimate
Goluri
37%
26%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,351,342,69sigur0,38–2,320,48–2,190,87–4,51mai sigur0,13–2,570,25–2,420,39–4,99
Șuturi pe poartă
46%
14%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,564,398,95sigur2,70–6,432,65–6,135,35–12,56mai sigur2,21–6,922,18–6,604,39–13,51
Total șuturi
54%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,8312,8126,65sigur9,91–17,769,25–16,3819,16–34,13mai sigur8,82–18,858,29–17,3417,11–36,18
Șuturi din careu
51%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,297,6415,93sigur5,35–11,244,96–10,3210,31–21,56mai sigur4,52–12,074,22–11,068,74–23,12
Șuturi blocate
51%
16%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,553,006,55sigur1,67–5,431,35–4,653,01–10,08mai sigur1,12–5,970,85–5,141,98–11,12
Cornere
54%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,284,459,74sigur3,07–7,502,45–6,455,52–13,95mai sigur2,50–8,071,92–6,994,42–15,06
Posesie %
73%
23%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,6244,04sigur48,83–62,4137,26–50,83mai sigur47,16–64,0835,59–52,50
Pase
81%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție501395896sigur434–569329–461763–1030mai sigur416–587311–479727–1066
Precizie pase %
83%
14%
gazdeoaspețipredicție85,6377,74sigur81,60–89,6673,42–82,07mai sigur80,31–90,9572,11–83,38
Faulturi
39%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3413,2625,59sigur9,50–15,1710,31–16,2019,81–31,38mai sigur8,74–15,939,56–16,9518,31–32,88
Ofsaiduri
36%
24%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,431,542,97sigur0,27–2,590,44–2,630,72–5,23mai sigur0,00–2,900,16–2,920,13–5,82
Cartonașe galbene
33%
21%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,752,093,85sigur0,70–2,800,97–3,221,67–6,02mai sigur0,44–3,070,67–3,521,11–6,58
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,110,16sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,290,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,430,00–0,79
Parade portar
39%
17%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,883,035,91sigur1,45–4,321,47–4,582,92–8,90mai sigur1,06–4,711,05–5,012,10–9,71
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,35 0,38–2,32 0,13–2,57 | 1,34 0,48–2,19 0,25–2,42 | 2,69 0,87–4,51 0,39–4,99 | 37% 26% 37% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,56 2,70–6,43 2,21–6,92 | 4,39 2,65–6,13 2,18–6,60 | 8,95 5,35–12,56 4,39–13,51 | 46% 14% 41% |
| Total șuturi | 13,83 9,91–17,76 8,82–18,85 | 12,81 9,25–16,38 8,29–17,34 | 26,65 19,16–34,13 17,11–36,18 | 54% 38% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,29 5,35–11,24 4,52–12,07 | 7,64 4,96–10,32 4,22–11,06 | 15,93 10,31–21,56 8,74–23,12 | 51% 39% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,55 1,67–5,43 1,12–5,97 | 3,00 1,35–4,65 0,85–5,14 | 6,55 3,01–10,08 1,98–11,12 | 51% 16% 34% |
| Cornere | 5,28 3,07–7,50 2,50–8,07 | 4,45 2,45–6,45 1,92–6,99 | 9,74 5,52–13,95 4,42–15,06 | 54% 33% |
| Posesie % | 55,62 48,83–62,41 47,16–64,08 | 44,04 37,26–50,83 35,59–52,50 | — | 73% 23% |
| Pase | 501 434–569 416–587 | 395 329–461 311–479 | 896 763–1030 727–1066 | 81% 19% |
| Precizie pase % | 85,63 81,60–89,66 80,31–90,95 | 77,74 73,42–82,07 72,11–83,38 | — | 83% 14% |
| Faulturi | 12,34 9,50–15,17 8,74–15,93 | 13,26 10,31–16,20 9,56–16,95 | 25,59 19,81–31,38 18,31–32,88 | 39% 53% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,43 0,27–2,59 0,00–2,90 | 1,54 0,44–2,63 0,16–2,92 | 2,97 0,72–5,23 0,13–5,82 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,75 0,70–2,80 0,44–3,07 | 2,09 0,97–3,22 0,67–3,52 | 3,85 1,67–6,02 1,11–6,58 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,88 1,45–4,32 1,06–4,71 | 3,03 1,47–4,58 1,05–5,01 | 5,91 2,92–8,90 2,10–9,71 | 39% 17% 44% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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