Eredivisie·Etapa 8·
Eredivisie·Etapa 8·Statistici estimate
Goluri
56%
22%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,961,173,13sigur0,99–2,930,31–2,021,31–4,95mai sigur0,74–3,180,09–2,250,83–5,43
Șuturi pe poartă
61%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,804,3910,19sigur3,94–7,672,65–6,136,59–13,80mai sigur3,45–8,152,18–6,605,63–14,75
Total șuturi
72%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,0712,4928,56sigur12,15–19,998,93–16,0521,07–36,05mai sigur11,05–21,097,97–17,0119,02–38,10
Șuturi din careu
77%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,357,6018,96sigur8,41–14,294,92–10,2913,33–24,58mai sigur7,58–15,124,19–11,0211,77–26,15
Șuturi blocate
49%
15%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,943,497,43sigur2,06–5,821,84–5,143,90–10,97mai sigur1,51–6,371,35–5,642,86–12,00
Cornere
61%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,134,7410,87sigur3,92–8,352,74–6,746,66–15,08mai sigur3,35–8,922,21–7,275,55–16,19
Posesie %
46%
50%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,7350,60sigur42,94–56,5243,82–57,39mai sigur41,27–58,1942,15–59,06
Pase
44%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție460479939sigur393–527413–546806–1073mai sigur375–546395–563770–1109
Precizie pase %
24%
72%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,3675,36sigur66,33–74,3971,03–79,68mai sigur65,04–75,6869,72–80,99
Faulturi
39%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,6211,4022,01sigur7,78–13,458,45–14,3416,23–27,79mai sigur7,02–14,217,70–15,0914,72–29,30
Ofsaiduri
49%
21%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,041,583,62sigur0,88–3,200,49–2,671,36–5,87mai sigur0,58–3,500,20–2,960,77–6,46
Cartonașe galbene
25%
21%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,442,173,61sigur0,39–2,491,04–3,301,43–5,78mai sigur0,12–2,750,75–3,590,87–6,34
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,17sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,290,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,420,00–0,80
Parade portar
32%
15%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,903,586,47sigur1,46–4,332,02–5,133,48–9,46mai sigur1,07–4,721,60–5,562,67–10,28
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,96 0,99–2,93 0,74–3,18 | 1,17 0,31–2,02 0,09–2,25 | 3,13 1,31–4,95 0,83–5,43 | 56% 22% 22% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,80 3,94–7,67 3,45–8,15 | 4,39 2,65–6,13 2,18–6,60 | 10,19 6,59–13,80 5,63–14,75 | 61% 27% |
| Total șuturi | 16,07 12,15–19,99 11,05–21,09 | 12,49 8,93–16,05 7,97–17,01 | 28,56 21,07–36,05 19,02–38,10 | 72% 22% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,35 8,41–14,29 7,58–15,12 | 7,60 4,92–10,29 4,19–11,02 | 18,96 13,33–24,58 11,77–26,15 | 77% 16% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,94 2,06–5,82 1,51–6,37 | 3,49 1,84–5,14 1,35–5,64 | 7,43 3,90–10,97 2,86–12,00 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Cornere | 6,13 3,92–8,35 3,35–8,92 | 4,74 2,74–6,74 2,21–7,27 | 10,87 6,66–15,08 5,55–16,19 | 61% 28% |
| Posesie % | 49,73 42,94–56,52 41,27–58,19 | 50,60 43,82–57,39 42,15–59,06 | — | 46% 50% |
| Pase | 460 393–527 375–546 | 479 413–546 395–563 | 939 806–1073 770–1109 | 44% 56% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,36 66,33–74,39 65,04–75,68 | 75,36 71,03–79,68 69,72–80,99 | — | 24% 72% |
| Faulturi | 10,62 7,78–13,45 7,02–14,21 | 11,40 8,45–14,34 7,70–15,09 | 22,01 16,23–27,79 14,72–29,30 | 39% 52% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,04 0,88–3,20 0,58–3,50 | 1,58 0,49–2,67 0,20–2,96 | 3,62 1,36–5,87 0,77–6,46 | 49% 21% 30% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,44 0,39–2,49 0,12–2,75 | 2,17 1,04–3,30 0,75–3,59 | 3,61 1,43–5,78 0,87–6,34 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,90 1,46–4,33 1,07–4,72 | 3,58 2,02–5,13 1,60–5,56 | 6,47 3,48–9,46 2,67–10,28 | 32% 15% 53% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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