Eredivisie·Etapa 8·
Eredivisie·Etapa 8·Statistici estimate
Goluri
47%
25%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,571,162,73sigur0,60–2,540,30–2,010,90–4,55mai sigur0,35–2,790,08–2,240,42–5,03
Șuturi pe poartă
57%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,154,109,25sigur3,29–7,012,36–5,845,64–12,85mai sigur2,80–7,501,89–6,314,69–13,81
Total șuturi
64%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,7612,3727,13sigur10,84–18,698,81–15,9319,65–34,62mai sigur9,75–19,787,85–16,8917,59–36,67
Șuturi din careu
72%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,987,1017,08sigur7,04–12,924,42–9,7811,46–22,71mai sigur6,21–13,753,68–10,529,89–24,27
Șuturi blocate
51%
16%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,522,956,47sigur1,64–5,401,30–4,612,94–10,01mai sigur1,09–5,950,81–5,101,90–11,04
Cornere
58%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,584,4110,00sigur3,37–7,802,41–6,415,78–14,21mai sigur2,80–8,371,88–6,954,68–15,32
Posesie %
40%
55%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,5751,67sigur41,78–55,3644,89–58,45mai sigur40,11–57,0343,21–60,13
Pase
46%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție422434856sigur354–489368–501722–989mai sigur336–507350–518686–1025
Precizie pase %
29%
66%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,4771,22sigur63,44–71,5066,89–75,54mai sigur62,15–72,7965,59–76,85
Faulturi
23%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,8914,0524,94sigur8,05–13,7211,11–17,0019,16–30,72mai sigur7,29–14,4810,36–17,7517,65–32,23
Ofsaiduri
46%
23%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,771,403,17sigur0,60–2,930,31–2,500,92–5,42mai sigur0,30–3,230,02–2,790,33–6,01
Cartonașe galbene
26%
20%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,522,223,74sigur0,47–2,561,10–3,351,56–5,92mai sigur0,20–2,830,80–3,641,00–6,47
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,110,16sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,300,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,430,00–0,79
Parade portar
34%
15%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,013,596,60sigur1,58–4,452,03–5,153,61–9,59mai sigur1,19–4,841,61–5,572,80–10,41
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,57 0,60–2,54 0,35–2,79 | 1,16 0,30–2,01 0,08–2,24 | 2,73 0,90–4,55 0,42–5,03 | 47% 25% 28% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,15 3,29–7,01 2,80–7,50 | 4,10 2,36–5,84 1,89–6,31 | 9,25 5,64–12,85 4,69–13,81 | 57% 30% |
| Total șuturi | 14,76 10,84–18,69 9,75–19,78 | 12,37 8,81–15,93 7,85–16,89 | 27,13 19,65–34,62 17,59–36,67 | 64% 29% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,98 7,04–12,92 6,21–13,75 | 7,10 4,42–9,78 3,68–10,52 | 17,08 11,46–22,71 9,89–24,27 | 72% 21% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,52 1,64–5,40 1,09–5,95 | 2,95 1,30–4,61 0,81–5,10 | 6,47 2,94–10,01 1,90–11,04 | 51% 16% 34% |
| Cornere | 5,58 3,37–7,80 2,80–8,37 | 4,41 2,41–6,41 1,88–6,95 | 10,00 5,78–14,21 4,68–15,32 | 58% 30% |
| Posesie % | 48,57 41,78–55,36 40,11–57,03 | 51,67 44,89–58,45 43,21–60,13 | — | 40% 55% |
| Pase | 422 354–489 336–507 | 434 368–501 350–518 | 856 722–989 686–1025 | 46% 54% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,47 63,44–71,50 62,15–72,79 | 71,22 66,89–75,54 65,59–76,85 | — | 29% 66% |
| Faulturi | 10,89 8,05–13,72 7,29–14,48 | 14,05 11,11–17,00 10,36–17,75 | 24,94 19,16–30,72 17,65–32,23 | 23% 70% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,77 0,60–2,93 0,30–3,23 | 1,40 0,31–2,50 0,02–2,79 | 3,17 0,92–5,42 0,33–6,01 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,52 0,47–2,56 0,20–2,83 | 2,22 1,10–3,35 0,80–3,64 | 3,74 1,56–5,92 1,00–6,47 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,01 1,58–4,45 1,19–4,84 | 3,59 2,03–5,15 1,61–5,57 | 6,60 3,61–9,59 2,80–10,41 | 34% 15% 51% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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