Eredivisie·Etapa 11·
Eredivisie·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
52%
22%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,911,303,21sigur0,95–2,880,44–2,151,39–5,03mai sigur0,69–3,130,21–2,380,91–5,51
Șuturi pe poartă
64%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,784,169,93sigur3,91–7,642,42–5,906,33–13,54mai sigur3,42–8,131,95–6,375,37–14,50
Total șuturi
80%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,7010,8226,52sigur11,78–19,637,26–14,3819,04–34,01mai sigur10,69–20,726,30–15,3416,99–36,06
Șuturi din careu
79%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,047,1518,20sigur8,10–13,994,47–9,8312,57–23,82mai sigur7,27–14,823,73–10,5711,01–25,39
Șuturi blocate
55%
14%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,183,347,53sigur2,30–6,061,69–5,003,99–11,06mai sigur1,76–6,611,20–5,492,95–12,10
Cornere
71%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,414,1010,51sigur4,19–8,622,10–6,106,29–14,72mai sigur3,62–9,191,57–6,635,19–15,83
Posesie %
66%
30%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,3046,52sigur47,51–61,0939,74–53,31mai sigur45,84–62,7638,07–54,98
Pase
72%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție511441952sigur443–578374–507818–1085mai sigur425–596357–525782–1121
Precizie pase %
44%
51%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,5776,27sigur71,54–79,6071,95–80,60mai sigur70,24–80,8970,64–81,91
Faulturi
39%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,4011,1321,53sigur7,56–13,248,19–14,0815,75–27,31mai sigur6,81–13,997,44–14,8214,24–28,82
Ofsaiduri
42%
21%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,991,873,86sigur0,83–3,150,77–2,961,61–6,11mai sigur0,53–3,450,49–3,251,02–6,70
Cartonașe galbene
24%
19%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,532,383,91sigur0,48–2,581,25–3,511,73–6,09mai sigur0,22–2,850,96–3,801,18–6,65
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,140,20sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,330,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,460,00–0,83
Parade portar
30%
15%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,833,636,47sigur1,40–4,272,08–5,193,48–9,46mai sigur1,01–4,661,65–5,612,66–10,27
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,91 0,95–2,88 0,69–3,13 | 1,30 0,44–2,15 0,21–2,38 | 3,21 1,39–5,03 0,91–5,51 | 52% 22% 26% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,78 3,91–7,64 3,42–8,13 | 4,16 2,42–5,90 1,95–6,37 | 9,93 6,33–13,54 5,37–14,50 | 64% 25% |
| Total șuturi | 15,70 11,78–19,63 10,69–20,72 | 10,82 7,26–14,38 6,30–15,34 | 26,52 19,04–34,01 16,99–36,06 | 80% 15% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,04 8,10–13,99 7,27–14,82 | 7,15 4,47–9,83 3,73–10,57 | 18,20 12,57–23,82 11,01–25,39 | 79% 15% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,18 2,30–6,06 1,76–6,61 | 3,34 1,69–5,00 1,20–5,49 | 7,53 3,99–11,06 2,95–12,10 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Cornere | 6,41 4,19–8,62 3,62–9,19 | 4,10 2,10–6,10 1,57–6,63 | 10,51 6,29–14,72 5,19–15,83 | 71% 19% |
| Posesie % | 54,30 47,51–61,09 45,84–62,76 | 46,52 39,74–53,31 38,07–54,98 | — | 66% 30% |
| Pase | 511 443–578 425–596 | 441 374–507 357–525 | 952 818–1085 782–1121 | 72% 28% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,57 71,54–79,60 70,24–80,89 | 76,27 71,95–80,60 70,64–81,91 | — | 44% 51% |
| Faulturi | 10,40 7,56–13,24 6,81–13,99 | 11,13 8,19–14,08 7,44–14,82 | 21,53 15,75–27,31 14,24–28,82 | 39% 52% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,99 0,83–3,15 0,53–3,45 | 1,87 0,77–2,96 0,49–3,25 | 3,86 1,61–6,11 1,02–6,70 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,53 0,48–2,58 0,22–2,85 | 2,38 1,25–3,51 0,96–3,80 | 3,91 1,73–6,09 1,18–6,65 | 24% 19% 56% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,14 0,00–0,33 0,00–0,46 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,83 1,40–4,27 1,01–4,66 | 3,63 2,08–5,19 1,65–5,61 | 6,47 3,48–9,46 2,66–10,27 | 30% 15% 54% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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