Eredivisie·Etapa 11·
Eredivisie·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
42%
24%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,601,443,04sigur0,64–2,570,58–2,291,22–4,86mai sigur0,38–2,820,36–2,520,74–5,34
Șuturi pe poartă
56%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,444,499,93sigur3,58–7,312,74–6,236,32–13,53mai sigur3,09–7,802,28–6,705,37–14,49
Total șuturi
73%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,4212,6629,08sigur12,49–20,349,10–16,2321,59–36,57mai sigur11,40–21,438,14–17,1919,54–38,62
Șuturi din careu
62%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,318,4918,80sigur7,37–13,255,81–11,1713,18–24,42mai sigur6,54–14,085,07–11,9111,61–25,99
Șuturi blocate
60%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,813,578,38sigur2,93–6,691,91–5,224,84–11,91mai sigur2,39–7,241,42–5,713,81–12,95
Cornere
56%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,035,0311,07sigur3,82–8,253,03–7,036,86–15,28mai sigur3,25–8,822,50–7,575,75–16,39
Posesie %
62%
33%
gazdeoaspețipredicție53,1346,81sigur46,34–59,9240,02–53,59mai sigur44,67–61,5938,35–55,26
Pase
64%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție446402849sigur379–514336–469715–982mai sigur361–532318–486679–1018
Precizie pase %
45%
50%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,4469,92sigur65,41–73,4765,59–74,24mai sigur64,12–74,7664,28–75,55
Faulturi
41%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,4711,0121,48sigur7,63–13,318,07–13,9615,70–27,26mai sigur6,88–14,067,32–14,7014,19–28,77
Ofsaiduri
47%
25%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,611,202,81sigur0,45–2,770,10–2,290,56–5,07mai sigur0,15–3,080,00–2,580,00–5,65
Cartonașe galbene
29%
23%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,351,793,14sigur0,30–2,400,66–2,920,96–5,32mai sigur0,03–2,660,37–3,210,40–5,87
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,270,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,410,00–0,78
Parade portar
29%
14%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,134,087,21sigur1,69–4,562,52–5,644,21–10,20mai sigur1,30–4,952,10–6,063,40–11,01
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,60 0,64–2,57 0,38–2,82 | 1,44 0,58–2,29 0,36–2,52 | 3,04 1,22–4,86 0,74–5,34 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,44 3,58–7,31 3,09–7,80 | 4,49 2,74–6,23 2,28–6,70 | 9,93 6,32–13,53 5,37–14,49 | 56% 32% |
| Total șuturi | 16,42 12,49–20,34 11,40–21,43 | 12,66 9,10–16,23 8,14–17,19 | 29,08 21,59–36,57 19,54–38,62 | 73% 21% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,31 7,37–13,25 6,54–14,08 | 8,49 5,81–11,17 5,07–11,91 | 18,80 13,18–24,42 11,61–25,99 | 62% 30% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,81 2,93–6,69 2,39–7,24 | 3,57 1,91–5,22 1,42–5,71 | 8,38 4,84–11,91 3,81–12,95 | 60% 27% |
| Cornere | 6,03 3,82–8,25 3,25–8,82 | 5,03 3,03–7,03 2,50–7,57 | 11,07 6,86–15,28 5,75–16,39 | 56% 32% |
| Posesie % | 53,13 46,34–59,92 44,67–61,59 | 46,81 40,02–53,59 38,35–55,26 | — | 62% 33% |
| Pase | 446 379–514 361–532 | 402 336–469 318–486 | 849 715–982 679–1018 | 64% 35% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,44 65,41–73,47 64,12–74,76 | 69,92 65,59–74,24 64,28–75,55 | — | 45% 50% |
| Faulturi | 10,47 7,63–13,31 6,88–14,06 | 11,01 8,07–13,96 7,32–14,70 | 21,48 15,70–27,26 14,19–28,77 | 41% 50% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,61 0,45–2,77 0,15–3,08 | 1,20 0,10–2,29 0,00–2,58 | 2,81 0,56–5,07 0,00–5,65 | 47% 25% 28% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,35 0,30–2,40 0,03–2,66 | 1,79 0,66–2,92 0,37–3,21 | 3,14 0,96–5,32 0,40–5,87 | 29% 23% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 3,13 1,69–4,56 1,30–4,95 | 4,08 2,52–5,64 2,10–6,06 | 7,21 4,21–10,20 3,40–11,01 | 29% 14% 56% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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