Eredivisie·Etapa 12·
Eredivisie·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
45%
25%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,571,232,80sigur0,60–2,540,38–2,090,98–4,62mai sigur0,35–2,790,15–2,310,50–5,10
Șuturi pe poartă
51%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,164,559,71sigur3,29–7,022,81–6,296,10–13,31mai sigur2,80–7,512,34–6,765,15–14,27
Total șuturi
46%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,6713,7327,40sigur9,74–17,5910,17–17,2919,91–34,88mai sigur8,65–18,689,21–18,2517,86–36,94
Șuturi din careu
62%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,687,8517,53sigur6,74–12,635,17–10,5311,91–23,16mai sigur5,91–13,454,43–11,2710,34–24,72
Șuturi blocate
38%
15%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,523,847,36sigur1,64–5,402,19–5,493,82–10,89mai sigur1,09–5,941,70–5,992,79–11,93
Cornere
50%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,565,0410,60sigur3,35–7,773,04–7,046,39–14,82mai sigur2,77–8,352,51–7,585,28–15,92
Posesie %
30%
66%
gazdeoaspețipredicție46,0554,16sigur39,26–52,8447,38–60,95mai sigur37,59–54,5145,71–62,62
Pase
30%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție421485907sigur354–489419–552773–1040mai sigur336–507401–569737–1076
Precizie pase %
14%
83%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,9372,77sigur60,90–68,9668,44–77,09mai sigur59,61–70,2567,13–78,40
Faulturi
55%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3111,2123,52sigur9,47–15,158,26–14,1517,74–29,30mai sigur8,72–15,917,52–14,9016,23–30,81
Ofsaiduri
51%
23%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,831,263,09sigur0,67–2,990,16–2,350,84–5,34mai sigur0,37–3,290,00–2,640,25–5,93
Cartonașe galbene
39%
23%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,711,713,41sigur0,66–2,760,58–2,831,23–5,59mai sigur0,39–3,020,29–3,130,68–6,15
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,070,15sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,260,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,390,00–0,78
Parade portar
41%
16%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,303,386,68sigur1,87–4,741,82–4,933,69–9,67mai sigur1,48–5,131,40–5,362,88–10,48
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,57 0,60–2,54 0,35–2,79 | 1,23 0,38–2,09 0,15–2,31 | 2,80 0,98–4,62 0,50–5,10 | 45% 25% 30% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,16 3,29–7,02 2,80–7,51 | 4,55 2,81–6,29 2,34–6,76 | 9,71 6,10–13,31 5,15–14,27 | 51% 36% |
| Total șuturi | 13,67 9,74–17,59 8,65–18,68 | 13,73 10,17–17,29 9,21–18,25 | 27,40 19,91–34,88 17,86–36,94 | 46% 47% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,68 6,74–12,63 5,91–13,45 | 7,85 5,17–10,53 4,43–11,27 | 17,53 11,91–23,16 10,34–24,72 | 62% 29% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,52 1,64–5,40 1,09–5,94 | 3,84 2,19–5,49 1,70–5,99 | 7,36 3,82–10,89 2,79–11,93 | 38% 15% 47% |
| Cornere | 5,56 3,35–7,77 2,77–8,35 | 5,04 3,04–7,04 2,51–7,58 | 10,60 6,39–14,82 5,28–15,92 | 50% 38% |
| Posesie % | 46,05 39,26–52,84 37,59–54,51 | 54,16 47,38–60,95 45,71–62,62 | — | 30% 66% |
| Pase | 421 354–489 336–507 | 485 419–552 401–569 | 907 773–1040 737–1076 | 30% 70% |
| Precizie pase % | 64,93 60,90–68,96 59,61–70,25 | 72,77 68,44–77,09 67,13–78,40 | — | 14% 83% |
| Faulturi | 12,31 9,47–15,15 8,72–15,91 | 11,21 8,26–14,15 7,52–14,90 | 23,52 17,74–29,30 16,23–30,81 | 55% 37% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,83 0,67–2,99 0,37–3,29 | 1,26 0,16–2,35 0,00–2,64 | 3,09 0,84–5,34 0,25–5,93 | 51% 23% 26% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,71 0,66–2,76 0,39–3,02 | 1,71 0,58–2,83 0,29–3,13 | 3,41 1,23–5,59 0,68–6,15 | 39% 23% 39% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,07 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,39 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,30 1,87–4,74 1,48–5,13 | 3,38 1,82–4,93 1,40–5,36 | 6,68 3,69–9,67 2,88–10,48 | 41% 16% 43% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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