Eredivisie·Etapa 13·
Eredivisie·Etapa 13·Statistici estimate
Goluri
33%
24%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,391,643,03sigur0,43–2,360,78–2,491,21–4,85mai sigur0,18–2,610,55–2,720,73–5,33
Șuturi pe poartă
40%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,885,1710,05sigur3,02–6,743,43–6,916,44–13,65mai sigur2,53–7,232,96–7,385,49–14,61
Total șuturi
54%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,2614,2629,52sigur11,33–19,1810,70–17,8222,03–37,01mai sigur10,24–20,279,74–18,7819,98–39,06
Șuturi din careu
42%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,419,7819,19sigur6,46–12,357,10–12,4613,56–24,81mai sigur5,63–13,186,36–13,2012,00–26,38
Șuturi blocate
45%
14%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,404,308,70sigur2,52–6,292,65–5,955,17–12,24mai sigur1,98–6,832,15–6,444,13–13,27
Cornere
43%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,245,3410,57sigur3,02–7,453,34–7,346,36–14,79mai sigur2,45–8,022,80–7,875,25–15,89
Posesie %
39%
56%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,4251,98sigur41,63–55,2145,20–58,77mai sigur39,96–56,8843,52–60,44
Pase
37%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție416456872sigur349–483390–523738–1006mai sigur330–501372–540702–1041
Precizie pase %
18%
79%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,0775,75sigur65,04–73,1071,42–80,07mai sigur63,75–74,3970,12–81,38
Faulturi
32%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,6911,2720,96sigur6,85–12,538,32–14,2115,18–26,74mai sigur6,10–13,297,57–14,9613,67–28,25
Ofsaiduri
50%
24%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,721,192,91sigur0,56–2,880,10–2,290,66–5,16mai sigur0,25–3,180,00–2,580,07–5,75
Cartonașe galbene
29%
23%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,321,743,06sigur0,28–2,370,61–2,870,88–5,24mai sigur0,01–2,640,32–3,160,33–5,80
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,080,14sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,270,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,400,00–0,77
Parade portar
37%
15%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,393,737,13sigur1,96–4,832,18–5,294,13–10,12mai sigur1,57–5,221,75–5,713,32–10,93
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,39 0,43–2,36 0,18–2,61 | 1,64 0,78–2,49 0,55–2,72 | 3,03 1,21–4,85 0,73–5,33 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,88 3,02–6,74 2,53–7,23 | 5,17 3,43–6,91 2,96–7,38 | 10,05 6,44–13,65 5,49–14,61 | 40% 47% |
| Total șuturi | 15,26 11,33–19,18 10,24–20,27 | 14,26 10,70–17,82 9,74–18,78 | 29,52 22,03–37,01 19,98–39,06 | 54% 39% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,41 6,46–12,35 5,63–13,18 | 9,78 7,10–12,46 6,36–13,20 | 19,19 13,56–24,81 12,00–26,38 | 42% 49% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,40 2,52–6,29 1,98–6,83 | 4,30 2,65–5,95 2,15–6,44 | 8,70 5,17–12,24 4,13–13,27 | 45% 14% 42% |
| Cornere | 5,24 3,02–7,45 2,45–8,02 | 5,34 3,34–7,34 2,80–7,87 | 10,57 6,36–14,79 5,25–15,89 | 43% 45% |
| Posesie % | 48,42 41,63–55,21 39,96–56,88 | 51,98 45,20–58,77 43,52–60,44 | — | 39% 56% |
| Pase | 416 349–483 330–501 | 456 390–523 372–540 | 872 738–1006 702–1041 | 37% 63% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,07 65,04–73,10 63,75–74,39 | 75,75 71,42–80,07 70,12–81,38 | — | 18% 79% |
| Faulturi | 9,69 6,85–12,53 6,10–13,29 | 11,27 8,32–14,21 7,57–14,96 | 20,96 15,18–26,74 13,67–28,25 | 32% 59% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,72 0,56–2,88 0,25–3,18 | 1,19 0,10–2,29 0,00–2,58 | 2,91 0,66–5,16 0,07–5,75 | 50% 24% 27% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,32 0,28–2,37 0,01–2,64 | 1,74 0,61–2,87 0,32–3,16 | 3,06 0,88–5,24 0,33–5,80 | 29% 23% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 3,39 1,96–4,83 1,57–5,22 | 3,73 2,18–5,29 1,75–5,71 | 7,13 4,13–10,12 3,32–10,93 | 37% 15% 47% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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