Eredivisie·Etapa 14·
Eredivisie·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
21%
21%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,152,033,17sigur0,18–2,111,17–2,881,35–4,99mai sigur0,00–2,360,94–3,110,87–5,47
Șuturi pe poartă
24%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,995,639,62sigur2,13–5,863,88–7,376,02–13,23mai sigur1,64–6,353,42–7,845,06–14,18
Total șuturi
37%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,2014,5127,71sigur9,27–17,1210,95–18,0720,22–35,19mai sigur8,18–18,219,99–19,0318,17–37,24
Șuturi din careu
31%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,4410,1218,56sigur5,50–11,387,44–12,8012,94–24,19mai sigur4,67–12,216,71–13,5411,37–25,75
Șuturi blocate
31%
14%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,584,468,04sigur1,70–5,472,80–6,114,51–11,58mai sigur1,16–6,012,31–6,603,47–12,61
Cornere
27%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,636,1710,80sigur2,42–6,844,17–8,176,59–15,02mai sigur1,84–7,423,64–8,715,48–16,12
Posesie %
21%
76%
gazdeoaspețipredicție43,7556,65sigur36,96–50,5449,86–63,43mai sigur35,29–52,2148,19–65,11
Pase
18%
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție388496885sigur321–456430–563751–1018mai sigur303–474412–580715–1054
Precizie pase %
84%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,2677,61sigur65,23–73,2973,29–81,93mai sigur63,94–74,5871,98–83,24
Faulturi
36%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,6811,9222,60sigur7,85–13,528,97–14,8616,82–28,38mai sigur7,09–14,288,22–15,6115,31–29,89
Ofsaiduri
44%
23%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,821,553,37sigur0,66–2,980,46–2,641,12–5,63mai sigur0,36–3,290,17–2,930,53–6,22
Cartonașe galbene
35%
22%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,631,823,45sigur0,58–2,680,69–2,951,27–5,63mai sigur0,31–2,950,40–3,240,72–6,19
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,080,18sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,270,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,400,00–0,81
Parade portar
54%
15%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,612,876,49sigur2,18–5,051,32–4,433,50–9,48mai sigur1,79–5,440,89–4,852,68–10,29
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,15 0,18–2,11 0,00–2,36 | 2,03 1,17–2,88 0,94–3,11 | 3,17 1,35–4,99 0,87–5,47 | 21% 21% 58% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,99 2,13–5,86 1,64–6,35 | 5,63 3,88–7,37 3,42–7,84 | 9,62 6,02–13,23 5,06–14,18 | 24% 64% |
| Total șuturi | 13,20 9,27–17,12 8,18–18,21 | 14,51 10,95–18,07 9,99–19,03 | 27,71 20,22–35,19 18,17–37,24 | 37% 56% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,44 5,50–11,38 4,67–12,21 | 10,12 7,44–12,80 6,71–13,54 | 18,56 12,94–24,19 11,37–25,75 | 31% 61% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,58 1,70–5,47 1,16–6,01 | 4,46 2,80–6,11 2,31–6,60 | 8,04 4,51–11,58 3,47–12,61 | 31% 14% 55% |
| Cornere | 4,63 2,42–6,84 1,84–7,42 | 6,17 4,17–8,17 3,64–8,71 | 10,80 6,59–15,02 5,48–16,12 | 27% 62% |
| Posesie % | 43,75 36,96–50,54 35,29–52,21 | 56,65 49,86–63,43 48,19–65,11 | — | 21% 76% |
| Pase | 388 321–456 303–474 | 496 430–563 412–580 | 885 751–1018 715–1054 | 18% 82% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,26 65,23–73,29 63,94–74,58 | 77,61 73,29–81,93 71,98–83,24 | — | 84% |
| Faulturi | 10,68 7,85–13,52 7,09–14,28 | 11,92 8,97–14,86 8,22–15,61 | 22,60 16,82–28,38 15,31–29,89 | 36% 56% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,82 0,66–2,98 0,36–3,29 | 1,55 0,46–2,64 0,17–2,93 | 3,37 1,12–5,63 0,53–6,22 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,63 0,58–2,68 0,31–2,95 | 1,82 0,69–2,95 0,40–3,24 | 3,45 1,27–5,63 0,72–6,19 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 3,61 2,18–5,05 1,79–5,44 | 2,87 1,32–4,43 0,89–4,85 | 6,49 3,50–9,48 2,68–10,29 | 54% 15% 31% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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