Eredivisie·Etapa 15·
Eredivisie·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
32%
23%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,471,793,26sigur0,50–2,440,94–2,651,44–5,08mai sigur0,25–2,690,71–2,870,96–5,56
Șuturi pe poartă
39%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,895,2910,18sigur3,03–6,763,55–7,036,58–13,79mai sigur2,54–7,253,08–7,505,62–14,74
Total șuturi
53%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,3213,4427,76sigur10,39–18,249,88–17,0020,27–35,25mai sigur9,30–19,348,92–17,9618,22–37,30
Șuturi din careu
43%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,669,9019,56sigur6,72–12,607,22–12,5813,94–25,19mai sigur5,89–13,436,49–13,3212,37–26,75
Șuturi blocate
45%
14%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,234,068,30sigur2,35–6,122,41–5,724,76–11,83mai sigur1,81–6,661,92–6,213,73–12,87
Cornere
43%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,145,2210,35sigur2,92–7,353,22–7,226,14–14,57mai sigur2,35–7,922,68–7,755,03–15,67
Posesie %
47%
48%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,8251,09sigur44,03–57,6144,30–57,87mai sigur42,36–59,2842,63–59,54
Pase
47%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție455465919sigur387–522398–531786–1053mai sigur369–540381–549750–1089
Precizie pase %
32%
63%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,7775,89sigur68,75–76,8071,57–80,21mai sigur67,45–78,1070,26–81,52
Faulturi
30%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,5612,5623,12sigur7,72–13,409,61–15,5017,34–28,90mai sigur6,97–14,168,86–16,2515,83–30,41
Ofsaiduri
29%
22%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,451,923,38sigur0,29–2,610,83–3,021,12–5,63mai sigur0,00–2,910,54–3,310,53–6,22
Cartonașe galbene
37%
22%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,801,883,68sigur0,75–2,850,75–3,011,50–5,86mai sigur0,48–3,110,46–3,300,94–6,41
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,070,14sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,260,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,390,00–0,77
Parade portar
49%
16%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,553,136,69sigur2,12–4,991,58–4,693,69–9,68mai sigur1,73–5,381,15–5,112,88–10,49
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,47 0,50–2,44 0,25–2,69 | 1,79 0,94–2,65 0,71–2,87 | 3,26 1,44–5,08 0,96–5,56 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,89 3,03–6,76 2,54–7,25 | 5,29 3,55–7,03 3,08–7,50 | 10,18 6,58–13,79 5,62–14,74 | 39% 49% |
| Total șuturi | 14,32 10,39–18,24 9,30–19,34 | 13,44 9,88–17,00 8,92–17,96 | 27,76 20,27–35,25 18,22–37,30 | 53% 40% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,66 6,72–12,60 5,89–13,43 | 9,90 7,22–12,58 6,49–13,32 | 19,56 13,94–25,19 12,37–26,75 | 43% 48% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,23 2,35–6,12 1,81–6,66 | 4,06 2,41–5,72 1,92–6,21 | 8,30 4,76–11,83 3,73–12,87 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Cornere | 5,14 2,92–7,35 2,35–7,92 | 5,22 3,22–7,22 2,68–7,75 | 10,35 6,14–14,57 5,03–15,67 | 43% 45% |
| Posesie % | 50,82 44,03–57,61 42,36–59,28 | 51,09 44,30–57,87 42,63–59,54 | — | 47% 48% |
| Pase | 455 387–522 369–540 | 465 398–531 381–549 | 919 786–1053 750–1089 | 47% 53% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,77 68,75–76,80 67,45–78,10 | 75,89 71,57–80,21 70,26–81,52 | — | 32% 63% |
| Faulturi | 10,56 7,72–13,40 6,97–14,16 | 12,56 9,61–15,50 8,86–16,25 | 23,12 17,34–28,90 15,83–30,41 | 30% 62% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,45 0,29–2,61 0,00–2,91 | 1,92 0,83–3,02 0,54–3,31 | 3,38 1,12–5,63 0,53–6,22 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,80 0,75–2,85 0,48–3,11 | 1,88 0,75–3,01 0,46–3,30 | 3,68 1,50–5,86 0,94–6,41 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,37 | 0,07 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,39 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 3,55 2,12–4,99 1,73–5,38 | 3,13 1,58–4,69 1,15–5,11 | 6,69 3,69–9,68 2,88–10,49 | 49% 16% 36% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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